| 需求不确定的供应链两阶段订货模型 |
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| 引用本文： | 张醒洲,张蕾. 需求不确定的供应链两阶段订货模型[J]. 运筹与管理, 2005, 14(6): 45-50 |
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| 作者姓名： | 张醒洲 张蕾 |
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| 作者单位： | 大连理工大学,管理学院,辽宁,大连,116024 |
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| 摘 要： | 销售商如何在不确定需求的市场环境下根据制造商提供的订货条件进行合理订货是供应链管理的一个核心问题。本文利用信号博弈的原理从销售商的角度研究在不确定需求且传统需求预测方法失效的情况下，允许调整订货量的短生命周期产品两阶段订货模型，得到了在两次订货条件下销售商应该采取的最优订货量与调整策略以及制造商对契约灵活性限制的成本函数。
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| 关 键 词： | 供应链 灵活订货 信号博弈 不确定需求 |
| 文章编号： | 1007-3221(2005)06-0045-06 |
| 收稿时间： | 2005-01-27 |
| 修稿时间： | 2005-01-27 |
Two-Period Supply Contract Model under Uncertain Demand |
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| ZHANG Xing-zhou,ZHANG Lei. Two-Period Supply Contract Model under Uncertain Demand[J]. Operations Research and Management Science, 2005, 14(6): 45-50 |
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| Authors: | ZHANG Xing-zhou ZHANG Lei |
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| Affiliation: | School of Management , Dalian University of Technology, Dalian 116024, China |
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| Abstract: | In this paper we analyze a two-period short life-cycle goods supply contract,which allows a buyer to optimize his order policy in determining the initial order quantities,adjusting the second order,and paying a per unit penalty after observing initial demand.The retailer's policy and the seller's cost function are discussed using signal game theory. |
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| Keywords: | supply chain quantity flexibility signal game uncertain demand |
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