| 提高洪峰流量预测精度的方法 |
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| 引用本文： | 方必和,汪深,等.提高洪峰流量预测精度的方法[J].运筹与管理,1999,8(3):80-84. |
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| 作者姓名： | 方必和 汪深 |
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| 作者单位： | 合肥工业大学系统工程研究所!安徽合肥230009(方必和)，六安市水电局!安徽六安237007(汪深)，六安地区行暑水电局!安徽六安237005(郭昌兵) |
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| 摘 要： | 文章介绍了预测洪峰流量的两种概率统计方法，指出了它们的不足之处，进而提出了综合使用两种方法可以相互取长补短，从而提高预测的精确度。应用实例表明：其方法是可行的。
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| 关 键 词： | 洪峰流量 防洪设计标准 概率统计 分布函数 |
Methods to Improve the Accuracy of Forecasting the Flood Peak Discharge |
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| FANG Bi he ,WANG Shen ,GUO Chang bin.Methods to Improve the Accuracy of Forecasting the Flood Peak Discharge[J].Operations Research and Management Science,1999,8(3):80-84. |
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| Authors: | FANG Bi he WANG Shen GUO Chang bin |
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| Institution: | FANG Bi he 1,WANG Shen 2,GUO Chang bin 3 |
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| Abstract: | In this paper, two kinds of probability statistics methods are introduced and have shortcomings for forecasting the flood peak discharge. It is presented that the shortcomings can be overcomed and the accuracy of forecasting can be improved when two methods are applied synthetically.The example has indicated that the methods are practical. |
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| Keywords: | flood peak discharge design standard of flood control probability statistics distribution function |
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