| 露天矿行车事故频次的灰色预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 李建刚,白润才,刘光伟,程绍恭.露天矿行车事故频次的灰色预测[J].辽宁工程技术大学学报(自然科学版),2005,24(Z1):6-8. |
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| 作者姓名： | 李建刚 白润才 刘光伟 程绍恭 |
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| 作者单位： | 辽宁工程技术大学,资源与环境工程学院,辽宁,阜新,123000 |
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| 基金项目： | 辽宁省教育厅基金资助A类项目(20082116) |
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| 摘 要： | 针对露天矿运输系统行车事故发生频次数据少的缺点,采用了灰色系统理论对其进行灰建模,灰预测.验证了灰建模的可行性,阐述了灰建模基本步骤,通过实例分析了该方法的有效性和适用性,从而为露天矿调度运输系统超前采取防范措施,提供了依据,将事故损失减少到最低,做到防患于未然.
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| 关 键 词： | 露天矿 灰建模 行车事故频次 |
| 文章编号： | 1008-0562(2005)增刊-0006-03 |
| 修稿时间： | 2004年10月15 |
Grey forecast of travel accident frequency in open-pit mine |
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| LI Jian-gang,BAI Run-cai,LIU Guan-wei,CHENG Shao-gong.Grey forecast of travel accident frequency in open-pit mine[J].Journal of Liaoning Technical University (Natural Science Edition),2005,24(Z1):6-8. |
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| Authors: | LI Jian-gang BAI Run-cai LIU Guan-wei CHENG Shao-gong |
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| Abstract: | According to the travel accident occurrence frequency the defect of open mining transportation system, the grey theory is used,the grey forecasting model is established and forecast. The feasibility of grey forecasting model is verified. The basic steps of grey forecasting model is discussed. The validity and applicability is analyzed with example. Thereby it offers the reference of advance countermeasure distributed in the open mining transportation system. The accident loss is reduced to the minimum. |
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| Keywords: | open-pit mine grey establishing model travel accident frequency |
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