对抗意图识别技术研究现状及其突破途径

对抗活动中,能对对方进行正确的意图识别是获取胜利的前提条件。军事领域的意图识别是最困难、最复杂的识别问题之一。简要介绍并分析了几种常用的意图识别技术,包括基于逻辑的意图识别技术和基于概率推理的意图识别技术。指出了现有技术无法解决军事意图识别中存在的缺乏对被识别Agent的完整知识、可用信息矛盾、难以辨别被识别Agent欺骗行为等问题。提出了解决上述问题的基本途径,即基于可拓学和决策分析、冲突分析相结合的军事对抗意图识别方法。

Current situation and breakthrough method of study on adversarial intention recognition technique

Correct recognition of the adversarial intention is the premise of victory in adversarial activity.Intention recognition in military domain is one of the most difficult and complex recognition problems.A brief introduction and analysis are presented about some traditional intention recognition techniques,including the techniques based on logic reasoning and probabilistic reasoning.A few problems that need to be solved in these techniques are also pointed out.These problems include absence of knowledge about the recognized agent,available information conflicting and difficulty to discrimination the feint of the recognized agent.At last,two kinds of approaches based on extension theory,game theory and conflict analysis are presented to solve above-mentioned problems.