| Logistic自记忆模型在国民经济预测中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 余爱华,宋丁全.Logistic自记忆模型在国民经济预测中的应用[J].江汉大学学报(自然科学版),2007,35(3):10-12. |
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| 作者姓名： | 余爱华 宋丁全 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 南京林业大学,土木工程学院,南京,210037
2. 金陵科技学院,南京,210001 |
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| 摘 要： | 运用改进单纯型法、Logistic自记忆模型对国民经济进行预测,并与钟建生等的预测结果进行比较.结果表明:改进单纯型法优于线性变换法;Logistic自记忆模型优于Logistic模型.该研究为各行各业的预测提供了一种新的思路和方法.
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| 关 键 词： | Logistic自记忆模型 改进单纯型法 社会总产值指数 |
| 文章编号： | 1673-0143（2007）03-0010-03 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006-12-14 |
Study on Forecasting National Economy by Logistic Self-memory Model |
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| YU Ai-hua,SONG Ding-quan.Study on Forecasting National Economy by Logistic Self-memory Model[J].Journal of Jianghan University:Natural Sciences,2007,35(3):10-12. |
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| Authors: | YU Ai-hua SONG Ding-quan |
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| Institution: | 1. Nanjing Forestry University, Nanjing 210037, China; 2. Jinling Institute of Technology, Nanjing 210001, China |
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| Abstract: | Study on forecasting national economy by modified simplex method and Logistic self-memory model,then the result comparing with Zhong Jiansheng's prediction result. The results show:modified simplex method suprior to linearity transform model;Logistic self-memory model suprior to Logistic model. Providing a new way for forecasting conditions in every walk of life. |
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| Keywords: | Logistic self-memory model modified simplex method social output value exponent |
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