| 不确定性环境下消错决策方法的研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 黄灏然,郭开仲.不确定性环境下消错决策方法的研究[J].运筹与管理,2013,22(6):99-104. |
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| 作者姓名： | 黄灏然 郭开仲 |
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| 作者单位： | 1.仲恺农业工程学院 信息学院,广东 广州 510225;2.广东工业大学 管理学院,广东 广州 510520 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家社会科学基金资助项目(09BTQ008);广州市软科学研究专项资助项目(2011J1300013) |
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| 摘 要： | 针对不确定性决策问题,本文首先给出了错误的概念并提出本研究的两个假设前提,然后在此基础上引出错误绝对损失值的概念,根据错误绝对损失值构建错误绝对损失矩阵。进而构建了消错离心法、消错理想点法和消错投影法三种决策方法。为构建消错组合决策模型,采用Copeland法对上述三种消错决策方法进行组合。最后通过实例说明该方法的有效性和可行性。
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| 关 键 词： | 决策科学 消错决策方法 消错理论 错误损失 不确定 |
| 收稿时间： | 2012-05-26 |
Research on Error-eliminating Decision-making Method Under Uncertainty |
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| HUANG Hao-ran,GUO Kai-zhong.Research on Error-eliminating Decision-making Method Under Uncertainty[J].Operations Research and Management Science,2013,22(6):99-104. |
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| Authors: | HUANG Hao-ran GUO Kai-zhong |
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| Institution: | 1. Information College, Zhongkai University of Agriculture and Engineering, Guangzhou 510225, China;2. School of Management, Guangdong University of Technology, Guangzhou 510520, China |
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| Abstract: | In the study of Decision Making under Uncertainty(DMUU), this paper putsforward two hypotheses and the concept of Error. Then the paper presents the concept of error-absolute-lost value and builds an error-absolute-lost matrix. Three decision-making methods as Error-Eliminating Centrifugation, Error-Eliminating TOPSIS and Error-Eliminating Projection are given. Finally, the paper combines the three methods by the method of Copeland and builds a compound decision-making model. An example is used to demonstrate the feasibility and effectiveness of this model. |
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| Keywords: | decision science error-eliminating decision making method error eliminating theory error-loss uncertainties |
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