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具有熵约束的多阶段均值—绝对偏差模糊投资组合决策
引用本文:张鹏,张卫国,曾玉婷.具有熵约束的多阶段均值—绝对偏差模糊投资组合决策[J].运筹与管理,2016,25(2):71-77.
作者姓名:张鹏  张卫国  曾玉婷
作者单位:1.武汉理工大学 经济学院,湖北 武汉 430070;2.华南理工大学 工商管理学院,广东 广州 510641;3.武汉科技大学 管理学院, 湖北 武汉 430081
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目(71271161);教育部人文社科基金项目资助(09YJC630182)
摘    要:文章运用可能性绝对偏差和比例熵分别度量风险和分散化程度,提出了具有风险控制和线性交易成本的终期财富最大化的多阶段模糊投资组合模型。运用可能理论,将该模型转化为显示的非线性动态优化问题。由于投资过程存在交易成本,上述模型为具有路径依赖性的动态优化问题。文章提出了前向动态规划方法求解。最后, 通过实证研究比较了不同熵的取值投资组合最优投资比例和最终财富的变化。

关 键 词:决策分析  模糊决策  前向动态规划方法  多阶段模糊投资组合    
收稿时间:2014-04-18

Multi-period Mean-absolute Deviation Fuzzy Portfolio Selection Model with Entropy Constraints
ZHANG Peng,ZHANG Wei-guo,ZENG Yu-ting.Multi-period Mean-absolute Deviation Fuzzy Portfolio Selection Model with Entropy Constraints[J].Operations Research and Management Science,2016,25(2):71-77.
Authors:ZHANG Peng  ZHANG Wei-guo  ZENG Yu-ting
Institution:1.School of Economics, Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan 430070, China;2.School of Business Administration, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou 510641, China;3.School of Management, Wuhan University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430081, China
Abstract:This paper considers a multi-period fuzzy portfolio selection problem maximizing the terminal wealth imposed by risk control, in which risk of assets and the divergence measure of portfolio are, respectively, measured by fuzzy absolute deviation and proportion entropy. Based on the theories of possibility theory, the proposed model is transformed into a crisp nonlinear programming problem. Because of the transaction costs, the multi-period portfolio selection is a dynamic optimization problem with path dependence. Furthermore, a forward dynamic programming method is designed to obtain the optimal portfolio strategy. Finally, an example is given to illustrate the behavior of the proposed model and the designed algorithm.
Keywords:decision-making analysis  fuzzy decision  the forward dynamic programming method  multi-period fuzzy portfolio selection  entropy  
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