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Multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis of sheep livestock prices in origin
Authors:P. Pavó  n-Domí  nguez,S. Serrano,F.J. Jimé  nez-Hornero,J.E. Jimé  nez-Hornero,E. Gutié  rrez de Ravé  ,A.B. Ariza-Villaverde
Affiliation:1. Department of Graphics Engineering and Geomatics, Gregor Mendel Building (3rd floor), Campus Rabanales, University of Córdoba, 14071–Córdoba, Spain;2. Department of Food Hygiene and Technology, Darwin Building, Campus Rabanales, University of Córdoba, 14071–Córdoba, Spain;3. Department of Computing and Numerical Analysis, Leonardo da Vinci Bulding, Campus Rabanales, University of Córdoba, 14071–Córdoba, Spain
Abstract:The multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis (MF-DFA) is used to verify whether or not the returns of time series of prices paid to farmers in original markets can be described by the multifractal approach. By way of example, 5 weekly time series of prices of different breeds, slaughter weight and market differentiation from 2000 to 2012 are analyzed. Results obtained from the multifractal parameters and multifractal spectra show that the price series of livestock products are of a multifractal nature. The Hurst exponent shows that these time series are stationary signals, some of which exhibit long memory (Merino milk-fed in Seville and Segureña paschal in Jaen), short memory (Merino paschal in Cordoba and Segureña milk-fed in Jaen) or even are close to an uncorrelated signals (Merino paschal in Seville). MF-DFA is able to discern the different underlying dynamics that play an important role in different types of sheep livestock markets, such as degree and source of multifractality. In addition, the main source of multifractality of these time series is due to the broadness of the probability function, instead of the long-range correlation properties between small and large fluctuations, which play a clearly secondary role.
Keywords:Multifractal detrended   Time series   Prices in origin   Sheep prices
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