| Abstract: | Suppose that ξ, ξ(1), ξ(2), ... are independent identically distributed random variables such that ?ξ is semiexponential; i.e., $P( - \xi \geqslant t) = e^{ - t^\beta L(t)} $ is a slowly varying function as t → ∞ possessing some smoothness properties. Let E ξ = 0, D ξ = 1, and S(k) = ξ(1) + ? + ξ(k). Given d > 0, define the first upcrossing time η +(u) = inf{k ≥ 1: S(k) + kd > u} at nonnegative level u ≥ 0 of the walk S(k) + kd with positive drift d > 0. We prove that, under general conditions, the following relation is valid for $u = (n) \in \left {0, dn - N_n \sqrt n } \right]$ : 0.1 $P(\eta + (u) > n) \sim \frac{{E\eta + (u)}}{n}P(S(n) \leqslant x) as n \to \infty $ , where x = u ? nd < 0 and an arbitrary fixed sequence N n not exceeding $d\sqrt n $ tends to ∞. The conditions under which we prove (0.1) coincide exactly with the conditions under which the asymptotic behavior of the probability P(S(n) ≤ x) for $x \leqslant - \sqrt n $ was found in 1] (for $x \in \left { - \sqrt n ,0} \right]$ it follows from the central limit theorem). |
