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基于FNP-ADC模型的弹药调度系统保障效能评估
引用本文:郭小威,吕晓峰,马登武.基于FNP-ADC模型的弹药调度系统保障效能评估[J].数学的实践与认识,2014(22).
作者姓名:郭小威  吕晓峰  马登武
作者单位:海军航空工程学院兵器科学与技术系;
摘    要:正确评估诸如弹药调度系统此类复杂武器装备的系统效能,可为作战指挥决策提供重要支撑依据,从装备系统结构组成及复杂性出发,合理地表示工作状态及其转移过程,在流水网络计划(flow network planning,FNP)技术框架下应用ADC模型开展效能评估.以FNP时间参数为基础,确定了组成分系统故障一般概率分布下的可用性、可信性和保障能力表示方法,分别表示为影响因素的函数关系,最终建立了FNP-ADC模型.综合进行保障效能评估,可进一步分析因素对效能的影响程度,并给出了案例分析.

关 键 词:弹药调度  效能评估  流水网络计划  ADC模型  可用度分配  任务成功概率

Support Effectiveness Evaluation of Ammunition Scheduling System based on FNP-ADC Model
Abstract:Evaluating system effectiveness of such complex armament as ammunition scheduling system provides important basis for command decision-making.Starting from the equipment complexity,working conditions and their transfer process are presented reasonably,and ADC model is used to evaluate effectiveness under the framework of flow network planning(FNP) technique.Availability,dependability and support capability of subsystems with general fault probability distribution are expressed as respective functions of factors at the base of FNP time parameters,and FNP-ADC model is proposed.Support effectiveness is evaluated comprehensively to analyze influence degree of factors,and an example is given.
Keywords:ammunition scheduling  effectiveness evaluation  flow network planning  ADC model  availability allocation  mission completion success probability
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