The missing part of the greenhouse effect

Summary Global average temperatures from 1860 to 1989 were analysed with a simple fitting procedure. The temperature records can be fitted with a rising exponential up to 1946 and with the same exponential minus an increasing cooling action from 1946 to 1989. It is shown that the results are compatible with the hypothesis of an albedo increase caused by SO₂ emissions. This hypothesis gives satisfactory explanations of the temperature drop in the years 1940–1970, of the different warming of the northern and southern hemispheres and of the slower warming observed over North America. The results give an indication that the greenhouse warming in the next years could be faster than predicted until now. Due to the relevance of its scientific content, this paper has been given priority by the Journal Direction.