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Studying crime trends in the USA over the years 2000–2012
Authors:Melnykov  Volodymyr  Zhu  Xuwen
Institution:1.Department of Information Systems, Statistics, and Management Science, University of Alabama, Tuscaloosa, AL, 35487, USA
;2.Department of Mathematics, University of Louisville, Louisville, KY, 40292, USA
;
Abstract:

Studying crime trends and tendencies is an important problem that helps to identify socioeconomic patterns and relationships of crucial significance. Finite mixture models are famous for their flexibility in modeling heterogeneity in data. A novel approach designed for accounting for skewness in the distributions of matrix observations is proposed and applied to the United States crime data collected between 2000 and 2012 years. Then, the model is further extended by incorporating explanatory variables. A step-by-step model development demonstrates differences and improvements associated with every stage of the process. Results obtained by the final model are illustrated and thoroughly discussed. Multiple interesting conclusions have been drawn based on the developed model and obtained model-based clustering partition.

Keywords:
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