| ARIMA模型在广西全社会固定资产投资预测中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 蒋燕. ARIMA模型在广西全社会固定资产投资预测中的应用[J]. 数理统计与管理, 2006, 25(5): 588-592 |
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| 作者姓名： | 蒋燕 |
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| 作者单位： | 广西师范大学法商学院,广西,541001 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文采用求和自回归移动平均模型(ARIMA),对《新中国五十年统计资料汇编》及《2004年广西统计年鉴》提供的广西全社会固定资产投资额数据进行分析。结果显示,ARIMA(1,2,1)模型提供了较准确的预测结果,可用于未来的预测。就此,可为广西全社会固定资产投资提供可靠的参考依据。
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| 关 键 词： | ARIMA 全社会固定资产投资额 时间序列分析 |
| 文章编号： | 1002-1566(2006)05-0588-05 |
| 收稿时间： | 2005-05-06 |
| 修稿时间： | 2005-05-06 |
About the Application of ARIMA Model in the Estimation of Guangxi Sccial Fixed Assets Investment |
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| JIANG Yan. About the Application of ARIMA Model in the Estimation of Guangxi Sccial Fixed Assets Investment[J]. Application of Statistics and Management, 2006, 25(5): 588-592 |
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| Authors: | JIANG Yan |
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| Affiliation: | Guangxi Normal University Economics and Business Department Guangxi 541001 China |
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| Abstract: | This articale analyses the data of fixed assets investment furnished by the Guangxi statistics yearbook and new china about fifty years statistics compilation with ARIMA model.The analyses show that ARIMA(1,2,1)provides comparatively precise comparatively estimation results,which can offer a reason able basis for Guangxi social fixed assets investment. |
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| Keywords: | ARIMA |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
