Pseudo-moderate deviations in the euler method for real diffusion process |
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Authors: | Emmanuelle Clement |
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Affiliation: | Equipe d'Analyse et the Mathematiques Appliquees , Université de Marne la Vellee , Cite Descartes, 5 Boulevard Descartes, champs sur Marne, Marne la Vallee Cedex 2, 77454, France |
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Abstract: | We consider the problem of the non-sequential detection of a change in the drift coefficient of a stochastic differential equation, when a misspecified model is used. We formulate the generalized likelihood ratio (GLR) test for this problem, and we study the behaviour of the associated error probabilities (false alarm and nodetection) in the small noise asymptotics. We obtain the following robustness result: even though a wrong model is used, the error probabilities go to zero with exponential rate, and the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the change time is consistent, provided the change to be detected is larger (in some sense) than the misspecification error. We give also computable bounds for selecting the threshold of the test so as to achieve these exponential rates. |
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Keywords: | Diffusion process Large deviations Discretization scheme Euler scheme |
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