| 连续犯罪预测的区域覆盖加权模型(AOWM) |
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| 引用本文： | 薛钟,乔良,王峰,高琦.连续犯罪预测的区域覆盖加权模型(AOWM)[J].数学的实践与认识,2010,40(15). |
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| 作者姓名： | 薛钟 乔良 王峰 高琦 |
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| 摘 要： | 2010年MCM(美国大学生数学建模竞赛)B题-Criminology要求建立连续犯罪的预测模型用于抓捕案犯.利用统计学、犯罪心理学相关知识,建立了区域覆盖加权模型(Area Overlap Weighted Model,简称AOWM).AOWM操作便利,在分析真实案例时的正确率能达到80%以上,因此具有较好的应用前景.
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| 关 键 词： | 区域覆盖加权模型 连续犯罪 犯罪心理学 犯罪图形学 |
The Application of Area Overlap Weighted Model(AOWM) in Series-Crime Prediction |
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| XUE Zhong,QIAO Liang,WANG Feng,GAO Qi.The Application of Area Overlap Weighted Model(AOWM) in Series-Crime Prediction[J].Mathematics in Practice and Theory,2010,40(15). |
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| Authors: | XUE Zhong QIAO Liang WANG Feng GAO Qi |
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| Abstract: | 2010 MCM's(Mathematical Modeling Competition)issue is on the question how to build the criminology prediction models to catch criminals.We have used the knowledge on the probability statistics,the criminal psychology theory and criminal psychology to build the AOWM(Area Overlap Weighted Model) for this issue.It have achieved much better results in real cases. |
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| Keywords: | AOWM continuous crime probability statistics geometric principles criminal psychology geographic Profiling |
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