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改进的自回归过程结构变点检验
引用本文:金浩,田铮,杨云峰. 改进的自回归过程结构变点检验[J]. 数学研究及应用, 2011, 31(1): 79-90. DOI: 10.3770/j.issn:1000-341X.2011.01.009
作者姓名:金浩  田铮  杨云峰
作者单位:西安科技大学理学院, 陕西 西安 710054; 西北工业大学理学院, 陕西 西安 710072;西北工业大学理学院, 陕西 西安 710072; 遥感应用研究所国家重点实验室,中科院自动化所, 北京 100080;西安科技大学理学院, 陕西 西安 710054
基金项目:国家自然科学基金(Grant 70873094; 08&ZD046; 10926197;2010039).
摘    要:In this paper, we consider the problem of detecting for structural changes in the autoregressive processes including AR(p) process. In performing a test, we employ the conventional residual CUSUM of squares test (RCUSQ) statistic. The RCUSQ test is based on the subsampling method introduced by Jach and Kokoszka [J. Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability 25(2004)]. It is shown that under regularity conditions, the asymptotic distribution of the test statistic is the function of a standard Brownian bridge. Simulation results as to AR(1) process and an example of real data analysis are provided for illustration.

关 键 词:subsampling  RCUSQ test  Brownian bridge  structural changes
收稿时间:2009-03-23
修稿时间:2010-05-28

Modified Testing for Structural Changes in Autoregressive Processes
Hao JIN,Zheng TIAN and Yun Feng YANG. Modified Testing for Structural Changes in Autoregressive Processes[J]. Journal of Mathematical Research with Applications, 2011, 31(1): 79-90. DOI: 10.3770/j.issn:1000-341X.2011.01.009
Authors:Hao JIN  Zheng TIAN  Yun Feng YANG
Affiliation:1. School of Science,Xi'an University of Science and Technology,Shaanxi 710054,P.R.China;Department of Applied Mathematics,Northwestern Polytechnical University,Shaanxi 710072,P.R.China
2. Department of Applied Mathematics,Northwestern Polytechnical University,Shaanxi 710072,P.R.China;State Key Laboratory of Remote Sensing Science,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100101,P.R.China
3. School of Science,Xi'an University of Science and Technology,Shaanxi 710054,P.R.China
Abstract:In this paper, we consider the problem of detecting for structural changes in the autoregressive processes including AR($p$) process. In performing a test, we employ the conventional residual CUSUM of squares test (RCUSQ) statistic. The RCUSQ test is based on the subsampling method introduced by Jach and Kokoszka [J. Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability 25(2004)]. It is shown that under regularity conditions, the asymptotic distribution of the test statistic is the function of a standard Brownian bridge. Simulation results as to AR(1) process and an example of real data analysis are provided for illustration.
Keywords:subsampling   RCUSQ test   Brownian bridge   structural changes.
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