用带时序子模块的系统动力学模型预测Brent原油价格

提出在系统动力学模型中加入时序自回归AR(p)子模块，并且自动确定每个AR(p)子模块的阶数p。带时序子模块的系统动力学模型既体现了因素问的横向因果关系，又体现了每个因素的纵向关系。建立欧佩克(OPEC)石油产量、世界GDP、煤炭产量与价格、天然气、需求量、供求差额、消费系数、非欧佩克石油产量、非欧佩克供求差额，石油库存和OPEC组织的期望油价共十一个因素影响下的Brent原油价格预测模型，模型的预测结果表明：在系统动力学模型中加入时序自回归AR(p)子模块的方法是可行的、有效的，并且能提高模型的预测精度。     

Interlaboratory comparisons and improvements of methods for acid number determination in used motor oils

The results of two interlaboratory comparisons of acid number determinations in used motor oils are discussed. It is shown that the comparability of the measurement results is not as good as that required by known standards for petroleum products. The problem is motor oil contaminants which accumulated during use, and which are the source of a matrix effect in the acid number determination. The standard methods’ drawbacks are analyzed and some improvements are proposed. Repeatability and accuracy of the improved methods are evaluated. Received: 11 December 2001 Accepted: 15 February 2002     

HM抗磨液压油添加剂的复合效应

对HM抗磨液压油组成中各种添加剂的复合效应进行了探讨,并对国产添加剂和进口添加剂进行了对比分析,为抗磨液压油复合添加剂的研制和生产提供了可靠依据。     

Refractive index of standard oils as a function of wavelength and temperature

The refractive indices (n) of eight standard oils from Physikalisch Technische Bundesanstalt, Germany were determined with an accuracy of ±1×10⁻⁴ by using Abbe Refractometer. The measurements were performed at temperature 20°C in the spectral range 0.4–0.7 μm. The experimental data were fitted to the simple Cauchy dispersion formula and the results were found to be consistent within the limits of experimental error. In all cases, the refractive index decreased monotonically with increasing wavelength. The refractive indices (n) of these oils have been measured as a function of the temperature t (20°C up to 50°C) at λ=0.589 μm and were found to have linear temperature dependencies. The refractive indices of the studied oils and the uncertainty in their values are calculated at λ=0.589. The Lorentz–Lorenz (L–L) formula has been tested and it was found to be valid with a maximum deviation of 0.4% and was used to calculate the molecular polarizability θ.     

A RAPID APPROXIMATION FOR PREDICTING THE HYDROCARBON DISCOVERY RATE: PART 1. ASSESSING THE ACCURACY

The hydrocarbon discovery prediction problem is important to firms having to make decisions about the deployment of scarce exploration resources. Traditional methods for estimating the discovery rate rely on the completion of time consuming simulation experiments. A rapid approximation that does not require the completion of simulation exists and has been shown to have some promise as a prediction tool. This paper investigates the accuracy of the approximation method under a wide variety of distributional and drilling efficiency assumptions. The results indicate that the approximation produces predictions close to those of simulation under most of the tested conditions. This suggests that resource exploration firms could conveniently use the method for a wide variety of planning purposes without incurring the same costs in time and personnel required for simulation.     

EVA接枝共聚物的制备、分析和应用

为解决大庆管输原油含蜡量高、高黏易凝、对包括 EVA在内的多种原油流动改进剂的化学感受性较差的问题 ,进行了 EVA- 1接枝聚合物的研制 ,包括十二烷基马来仲酰胺的制备及其作为接枝组分与 EVA- 1的合成 .利用红外光谱仪对十二胺、马来酸酐及其反应产物进行分析的结果表明 :十二胺与马来酸酐反应生成了十二烷基马来仲酰胺 .利用核磁共振波谱仪对 EVA- 1及其接枝产物进行分析的结果表明 :EVA- 1与十二烷基马来仲酰胺的接枝反应确实存在 ,接枝率可以达到 1 8.8% .对 EVA- 1及其接枝产物对大庆原油的降凝、降黏效果进行对比的结果表明 ,EVA- 1接枝产物对大庆原油的处理效果好于 EVA- 1 ,从而为新型高效降凝剂的研制提供了新的思路     

Polygermoxanes suitable for biochemical purposes. Part I. Digermoxanes (low-viscosity oils)

In order to replace silicones in some of their biomedical applications, e.g. syringe lubrication, implants ets., a series of digermoxanes (R¹R²R³Ge)₂O (R = n–alkyl, aryl) were synthesized. These compounds are thermally stable oils; their viscosities, depending on the nature of substituents, lie in the range 1–72 cPo (mPa s) at 20°C.     

Determination of the boiling point distribution of sulfur compounds in light cycle oil using GC with a flame photometric detector and pyrolyzer

A method has been developed to determine the boiling point distribution of sulfur compounds in light cycle oils (LCO'S). The method chosen for this analysis was GC with a flame photometric detector (FPD) and pyrolyzer. Tests were carried out to evaluate the recovery efficiency, repeatability, and accuracy of the method. Repeatabilities within 2% were obtained. The recovery of benzothiophenes and dibenzothiophenes was close to 100%; this was important because these are the major sulfur components in LCO's. No hydrocarbon or solvent interferences were observed with the use of the pyrolyzer, even for a 95% solvent level. Comparison with results from other techniques showed that the method accurately determined the levels of sulfur compounds in the LCO boiling point range.     

应用全谱直读光谱仪测定原油中铁和钙元素的含量

提出了利用电感耦合等离子发射光谱ICP -AES法测定原油中铁、钙元素含量的方法 ,考察了雾化压力、RF功率等对被测元素分析线强度的影响 ,确定了仪器的最佳使用条件。试验表明 ,该方法简便、快速、精密度和准确度均令人满意 ,能满足实际应用的要求     

Ultrasonic analysis of edible fats and oils

Low intensity ultrasound is a powerful analytical technique for investigating the physico-chemical properties of many biological and non-biological materials. In this article its application for the characterization of edible fats and oils is assessed. Ultrasound can be used to determine the dynamic rheology and composition of oils, the oil content and droplet size of emulsions and the solid fat content of partially crystalline emulsions. It is capable of rapid and precise measurements, is non-destructive and non-invasive, can be used on-line or off-line and is relatively inexpensive. Ultrasonic techniques will therefore prove a useful addition to the existing analytical techniques used to characterize fats and oils.