突出矿井瓦斯抽放限制影响因素的AHP-熵权法评价模型

为提高煤与瓦斯突出矿井瓦斯抽放效果,建立了3个一级指标、14个二级指标的突出矿井瓦斯抽放限制影响因素评价指标体系,利用AHP和熵权法分别确定指标因子主、客观权重.通过实地调研分析和反馈验证了AHP-熵权法的可行性和正确性,利用加权平均法确定评价模型的综合权重.研究表明:封孔方式、钻孔半径、抽放时间、煤体裂隙发育程度和抽放负压是目前影响煤矿瓦斯抽放效果的主控因素.     

基于概率神经网络的地铁车站易损性分析

基于深度学习方法提出了一种地震响应概率模型，并基于此模型推导了地铁车站结构极限状态超越概率的计算公式，以评价结构的地震易损性。首先采用主成分分析对地震强度指标进行正交化和降维；为了克服传统地震响应概率模型中地震动强度指标与结构地震响应指标服从对数空间线性分布假设的局限性，基于BP神经网络建立趋势模型以预测结构的地震响应；基于概率神经网络建立误差模型以描述基于统计的趋势模型与基于物理机制的数值模型之间的误差，以拓展残差的齐次方差正态分布假设的严格限制。最后，以上海典型2层三跨地铁车站为算例，计算得到其易损性曲线。结果表明，基于深度学习建立的趋势模型较好地模拟了地铁车站结构地震响应随地震强度指标第一主成分的非线性变化特征；建立的误差模型准确地描述了趋势模型预测值的残差随地震强度指标第一主成分的方差非齐次特征。     

Bifurcation analysis of visual angle model with anticipated time and stabilizing driving behavior

In the light of the visual angle model (VAM), an improved car-following model considering driver's visual angle, anticipated time and stabilizing driving behavior is proposed so as to investigate how the driver's behavior factors affect the stability of the traffic flow. Based on the model, linear stability analysis is performed together with bifurcation analysis, whose corresponding stability condition is highly fit to the results of the linear analysis. Furthermore, the time-dependent Ginzburg-Landau (TDGL) equation and the modified Korteweg-de Vries (mKdV) equation are derived by nonlinear analysis, and we obtain the relationship of the two equations through the comparison. Finally, parameter calibration and numerical simulation are conducted to verify the validity of the theoretical analysis, whose results are highly consistent with the theoretical analysis.     

数据驱动的铝基复合材料性能预测和逆向设计

采用数据驱动的方法对 SiCp(0.5CNT)/7075Al 铝基复合材料的化学成分以及制备工艺进行了分析, 针对抗拉强度和延伸率两个力学性能进行了特征重要性分析, 构建了包含 8 种机器学习算法的集成框架, 自动进行模型的参数调优和最优模型选择, 并在此基础上进行了材料逆向设计. 实验结果表明, 在 470 ${^\circ}$C 固溶 40 min, 120${^\circ}$C 时效 15 h 的热处理工艺下, SiCp(0.5CNT)/7075Al-1.0Mg 复合材料抗拉强度和延伸率的预测值为 617.48 MPa 和 2.98%, 实验值为 647.0 MPa 和 3.31%, 两项物理性能的平均绝对百分比误差(mean absolute percentage errors, MAPE)较小, 依次为 4.56% 和 9.97%. 这说明本数据驱动方法对铝基复合材料的工艺优化和性能提升有一定指导意义.     

桉树杂交种与其亲本的近红外光谱判别

研究桉树控制授粉后目标性状的基因作用方式是探索其基因重组规律的重要内容。常规的数量统计分析精度往往不高,而DNA分析的专业要求高,且费时费力。该研究利用近红外光谱(NIRs)研究不同基因型桉树杂交种、亲本及杂交种与亲本间近红外光谱信息的关系,探索NIRs用于桉树杂交种与其亲本判别的可行性和准确性。以控制授粉的桉树亲本及其杂交F1代材料为对象,每种基因型从各自田间试验分别选取10个单株,采集树冠中上部新鲜健康叶片。用手持式近红外仪Phazir Rx(1624)采集桉树杂交种与其亲本叶片的NIRs信息。每单株选10片完全生理成熟的健康叶片,避开叶脉扫描其正面光谱5次,以50条NIRs信息的均值代表单个叶片的NIRs信息,最终每个基因型获得10条NIRs信息。对原始NIRs采用二阶多项式S.G一阶导数预处理。预处理后的NIRs用于多元统计分析,首先对桉树杂交亲本和子代样本进行主成分分析(PCA),直观展示不同基因型的分类情况。然后运用簇类独立软模式(SIMCA)和偏最小二乘判别分析(PLS-DA)两种有监督的判别模式验证NIRs用于桉树杂交种与其亲本树种的分类判别效果。PCA结果显示,不同的亲本间、杂交种间及杂交种与亲本间样本的主因子得分可以清晰地将各基因型分开。SIMCA模式判别分析中,桉树杂交种样本到亲本PCA模型的样本距离显示,待判别样本能够形成单独的聚类,且能直观反映两者的遗传相似。PLS-DA判别结果显示,桉树杂交亲本的PLS模型能通过预测其杂交子代的响应变量将其与亲本准确分开。结果表明,桉树叶片的NIRs信息可以准确地反映桉树杂交子代遗传信息的传递规律,NIRs判别模型可以准确地将各种基因型予以区分。因此,NIRs信息不仅可用于桉树杂交种和纯种的定性判别,还可以分析桉树基因重组过程中加性遗传效应的大小,从而为桉树遗传基础分析及其育种改良研究提供理论支撑。     

A probabilistic approach to spectral analysis of growth-fragmentation equations

The growth-fragmentation equation describes a system of growing and dividing particles, and arises in models of cell division, protein polymerisation and even telecommunications protocols. Several important questions about the equation concern the asymptotic behaviour of solutions at large times: at what rate do they converge to zero or infinity, and what does the asymptotic profile of the solutions look like? Does the rescaled solution converge to its asymptotic profile at an exponential speed? These questions have traditionally been studied using analytic techniques such as entropy methods or splitting of operators. In this work, we present a probabilistic approach: we use a Feynman–Kac formula to relate the solution of the growth-fragmentation equation to the semigroup of a Markov process, and characterise the rate of decay or growth in terms of this process. We then identify the Malthus exponent and the asymptotic profile in terms of a related Markov process, and give a spectral interpretation in terms of the growth-fragmentation operator and its dual.     

Mass distribution and skewness for passive scalar transport in pipes with polygonal and smooth cross sections

We extend our previous results characterizing the loading properties of a diffusing passive scalar advected by a laminar shear flow in ducts and channels to more general cross‐sectional shapes, including regular polygons and smoothed corner ducts originating from deformations of ellipses. For the case of the triangle and localized, cross‐wise uniform initial distributions, short‐time skewness is calculated exactly to be positive, while long‐time asymptotics shows it to be negative. Monte Carlo simulations confirm these predictions, and document the timescale for sign change. The equilateral triangle appears to be the only regular polygon with this property—all others possess positive skewness at all times. Alternatively, closed‐form flow solutions can be constructed for smooth deformations of ellipses, and illustrate how both nonzero short‐time skewness and the possibility of multiple sign switching in time is unrelated to domain corners. Exact conditions relating the median and the skewness to the mean are developed which guarantee when the sign for the skewness implies front (more mass to the right of the mean) or back (more mass to the left of the mean) “loading” properties of the evolving tracer distribution along the pipe. Short‐ and long‐time asymptotics confirm this condition, and Monte Carlo simulations verify this at all times. The simulations are also used to examine the role of corners and boundaries on the distribution for short‐time evolution of point source , as opposed to cross‐wise uniform, initial data.     

基于LQG控制的整车8-DOF系统振动分析

建立了整车8-DOF系统动力学模型,考虑了主动悬架控制,并增设了主动座椅控制,设计了车辆主动悬架系统的LQG控制器。基于Matlab仿真平台建立了整车8-DOF系统动力学仿真模型,对所得最优控制策略下的动态响应进行了仿真验证。仿真结果表明:为了改善人椅系统质心及车身质心的跳振性能需要在一定程度上弱化各轮轮胎动位移性能。从控制效能上来看,该最优控制器能够满足各行驶状态下对悬架性能的要求,改善了车辆的行驶平顺性。     

基于Web of Science的河北大学科研论文统计分析

以Web of Science数据库为文献来源，利用文献计量学的方法，从文献年收录量、文献类型、语种、学科分布、作者分布、合作情况、来源期刊和引用情况等方面，对Web of Science收录河北大学2004—2013年的科研论文进行统计分析，结果表明：河北大学近10年来被Web of Science数据库收录的文献数量和被引频次呈现逐年上升的趋势，在化学、物理学、动物学和数学方面具有一定的科研能力和影响力，但同时应注重国际合作交流和文献的质量。