Vasicek债券定价模型的推广形式

V asicek债券定价模型假定即期利率r(t)遵循O-U过程,利率的长期均值θ为一个常数.对此进行推广,假设θ遵循一个离散跳跃过程,跳跃的次数与幅度由中央银行根据物价指数确定,建立一个新的模型.运用Ito引理和无套利原理给出到期日价值为1的零息票债券的定价公式.     

Nonparametric estimation and adaptive control in a class of finite Markov decision chains

We consider a class of Markov decision processes withfinite state and action spaces which, essentially, is determined by the following condition: The state space isirreducible under the action of any stationary policy. However, except by this restriction, the transition law iscompletely unknown to the controller. In this context, we find a set of policies under which thefrequency estimators of the transition law are strongly consistent and then, this result is applied to constructadaptive asymptotically discount-optimal policies.Dedicated to Professor Truman O. Lewis, on the occasion of his sixtieth birthdayThis research was supported in part by the Third World Academy of Sciences (TWAS) under Grant TWAS RG MP 898-152, and in part by the Consejo Nacional de Ciencia y Tecnología (CONACYT) under Grant A128CCOEO550 (MT-2).     

中国股票市场分割(1991～2000)的理论探讨

与世界其他国家的证券市场相比,中国证券市场是一个高度分割的市场,这首先表现在它被划分成为A、B和H股三个市场,这三个市场不仅计价货币、交易机制和募集方式不同,而且各自允许开放的投资者对象也严格限定、互不开放。由此,这三个市场的股票价格彼此差别较大。重点考察了中国大陆的股票市场分割,其重要体现是中国B股市场普遍存在着严重的折价问题,在B股市场向国内持有外币的投资者开放之前,大多数上市公司B股价格不仅远低于其A股价格,有的还曾跌破发行价、资产净值和面值,这使得我国B股市场已经成为世界证券市场平均市盈率最低的市场,其平均市盈率只有11倍,这不仅大大低于A股市场平均市盈率(大于50倍),也低于国际股市的平均市盈率(15～20倍)。认为,资本控制,即投资限制、B股相对于A股的信息不对称和对人民币汇率的预期是形成B股折价的主要因素。     

Some Results behind Dividend Problems

We consider the basic dividend problem of the compound Poisson model with constant barrierstrategy.Some results concealed behind the dividend problem are made explicit in the present work.Differentmethods and some of which are firstly given in this paper.All these results presented certain direct relationshipbetween some important actuary variables in classical risk theory is also revealed.     

实物期权在折扣销售上的创新应用

介绍了实物期权定价技术,为中国电信“一元小灵通”建立了定价模型,探讨了其中所隐含的实物期权定价技术,并评价了其潜在的风险、盈利及取得盈利的相应条件。     

Dynamic complexity of optimal paths and discount factors for strongly concave problems

We study the relationship between the dynamical complexity of optimal paths and the discount factor in general infinite-horizon discrete-time concave problems. Given a dynamic systemx _t+1=h(x _t ), defined on the state space, we find two discount factors 0 < ^{* **} < 1 having the following properties. For any fixed discount factor 0 < < ^*, the dynamic system is the solution to some concave problem. For any discount factor ^** < < 1, the dynamic system is not the solution to any strongly concave problem. We prove that the upper bound ^** is a decreasing function of the topological entropy of the dynamic system. Different upper bounds are also discussed.This research was partially supported by MURST, National Group on Nonlinear dynamics in Economics and Social Sciences. The author would like to thank two anonymous referees for helpful comments and suggestions.     

上市公司股利不分配问题的原因分析及对策研究

针对我国上市公司股利分配中存在的普遍不分配问题,进行了基本原因分析和数据统计分析。在此基础上,以规范上市公司行为和促进证券市场健康发展为目标,提出了解决上市公司股利不分配问题的对策。     

季节性商品供应商的生产库存及定价策略研究

针对需求率对价格敏感的季节性商品,研究了其供应链上制造商为主动调控零售商的采购量、平稳需求及减少库存等而应采用的最佳定价及生产库存策略;给出了寻优的迭代算法和应用实例,说明了所给策略确实能让供应商和销售商获得更多的利润。     

公司股利政策研究综述——兼论股利政策的行为假说及进展

在对以往研究进行梳理的基础上，重点考察了股利政策行为假说的研究及进展，并指出利用行为经济学、行为金融学的理论与方法重新构建财务理论（包括股利政策）是未来重要的研究方向。