Abrupt climate change：Debate or action

Global abrupt climate changes have been documented by various climate records, including ice cores, ocean sediment cores, lake sediment cores, cave deposits, loess deposits and pollen records. The climate system prefers to be in one of two stable states, i.e. interstadial or stadial conditions, but not in between. The transition between two states has an abrupt character. Abrupt climate changes are, in general, synchronous in the northern hemisphere and tropical regions. The timescale for abrupt climate changes can be as short as a decade. As the impacts may be potentially serious, we need to take actions such as reducing CO2 emissions to the atmosphere.     

城市技术创新促进城乡统筹发展的研究

揭示了城市技术创新系统和城乡统筹发展的内涵,并在技术创新、增长极和区域经济等理论框架下阐述了城市技术创新与城乡统筹发展的关系,进而提出城市技术创新促进城乡统筹的路径。     

层次分析法在城市土地分级中的应用

探讨了用层次分析法对城市土地等级进行定量评价的原理和方法，并以济南市为例进行实证研究，取得了较好的效果，为土地有偿使用和城市规划提供了依据。     

应用加权列联表分析预测汛期（4─9月）洪涝趋势

本文根据汉寿县１９６０─１９８８年洪涝灾害资料，应用加权列联表分析法，与前期气候因子建立洪涝趋势预测模式。最后对１９８９─１９９０年洪涝试报，取得了满意的效果。     

高温多雨地区高等级沥青路面材料的分析与应用措施

针对南方高温多雨地区的气候特点 ,为解决沥青混凝土路面修筑后的高温稳定性和水稳定性这两个突出的问题 ,依据本单位的一个工程实践 ,从集料、沥青、级配设计、施工工艺等方面进行了系统的分析与阐述。说明高温多雨地区高等级沥青路面只要材料科学选择、严格控制、应用措施得当 ,质量是能够达到规范要求的     

建筑的地域性

论述了建筑活动与地域性的关系 ,认为建筑活动作为社会活动的一部分 ,是具有地域性的。一定地域内的材料资源、气候状况及地形地貌都对建筑的形式产生重要影响。在这种影响下形成的风格迥异的建筑形式 ,又为建筑创新提供借鉴、参考的机会。     

A transport model for the evolution of urban systems

When comparing an urban system to an elasto-plastic lattice, an analogy to the solid state of matter can be exploited using the concepts of the band theory similarly. Thereafter, the population dynamics – in a region of certain stability in the state space and within appropriate energy bands – can be described in terms of Cellular Automata, with two mobile agents or pseudo particles: the inhabitant (representative of an average individual) and the recurson (representative of its multidimensional resources). As in the solid state, transition rules take the form of two coupled transport equations, comprising the terms equivalent to the generation-recombination and circulation processes. The first process can be compared to a predator–prey growth model, typical of Ecology; whereas the circulation process – composed of a drift component and a diffusion component – should be compared to the concentration-sprawl demographic balance seen in urban occupation and dynamics. Thus, it needs to be defined and determined an urban potential function, an equivalent population charge, mobility and diffusion parameters, as well as net growth factors. This analogy, discussed within the context of a case study for Great Mendoza, plausibly explains the varied growth rates of the political departments, as well as the principal urban trends for spatial occupation.     

特殊气候条件下水泥混凝土路面施工质量控制

从雨季施工，高温季节和低温季节施工以及施工质量检测等方面，论述了水泥混凝土路面在特殊气候条件下的施工质量控制方法及应注意的事项。     

基于CMIP6集合优化数据集的全球陆地极端气候变化预估

预估极端气候事件趋势能够降低其引起的灾害风险.该文基于CMIP6集合优化数据集EPTGODD-WHU,选取5个极端气候指数,即最高气温极大值(TXx)、最高气温极小值(TXn)、最低气温极大值(TNx)、最低气温极小值(TNn)和最大月降水量(PXx),并结合GIS分析手段,对2021—2100年SSP1-2.6、SSP2-4.5和SSP5-8.5情景下的全球陆地极端气温及降水进行预估.结果表明：1)相较于CMIP单一模式,EPTGODD-WHU数据集模拟性能显著提升,气温及降水的空间相关系数分别达到0.99和0.81.2) SSP5-8.5情景下,年最低气温和最高气温均上升明显,且这种上升趋势年内波动不大,地球陆地极寒地区将面临升温的风险,而赤道等极热地区将处于年内长时间酷热状态.3)六大洲在SSP5-8.5情景下的极端降水整体上升趋势最剧烈,但北美洲密西西比平原和滨海平原的地区在SSP5-8.5情景下在未来面临较高的旱灾风险.4)中国西南部地区的极端降水在三个情景下均呈稳定的增幅,且增幅高达60%,预示面临较高的洪灾风险.