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1.
“后配额时代”中国纺织品服装出口预测 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
本文利用单整自回归移动平均模型,依据2000年1月至2004年12月中国纺织品服装出口额数据,对2005年和2006年中国纺织品服装出口走势进行预测分析。 相似文献
2.
3.
基于自相关的激光编码解算 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
分析了半自主激光制导武器的激光编码规律,提出了运用自相关技术对激光编码进行解算。通过仿真试验验证,运用该技术可准确预测、精确同步复制敌方激光编码,并形成有效的激光诱饵,达到全程自适应干扰的目的。 相似文献
4.
E. A. Zheligovskaya 《Journal of Structural Chemistry》2003,44(5):827-835
A computer simulation of proton-ordered ice IX and its proton-disordered analog III (768 molecules, 90 K) was carried out by the molecular dynamics method using Poltev–Malenkov's potential. For ice IX, the differences in the dynamic characteristics of molecules with O(1) and O(2) are much wider than those in the case of ice III. The libration spectrum of ice IX has a number of distinct acute peaks, and the spectrum of ice III is strongly smoothed. These peculiarities are explained by the proton ordering of ice IX and disordering of ice III. The latter is responsible for the great differences in the short- and especially long-range environment of water molecules in ice crystals and hence for the presence of many molecules with different dynamic characteristics. Thus averaging over a large number of different vibrational spectra of molecules leads to a smoothed total spectrum in the case of the proton-disordered crystal modification of ice. 相似文献
5.
胺、醇、醚类化合物电离能的自相关拓扑研究 总被引:1,自引:3,他引:1
原子的染色序数 fi 定义为 :fi=gi·xi,式中 gi 为原子i在分子中的序数 ,xi 为其染色系数 .基于fi 建立改进的原子序数自相关拓扑指数mF ,其中的1F对烷烃及其衍生物具有良好的结构选择性 .使用第一电离能 (Ip)与0 F ,1F的数量关系模型对 32种脂肪族胺、醇、醚进行估算、预测 ,结果令人满意 相似文献
6.
Electron micrographs of parallel arrays of negatively stained ramie cellulose protofibrils were analyzed using the two-dimensional digital autocorrelation function (ACF). The method is based upon the statistical analysis of images in real space. The ACF shows strong parallel streaks of high correlation, and the lateral distance between adjacent streaks allows the mean interfibrillar distance to be estimated as 3.7 nm. The intensity profile along the streaks shows a weak modulation with peaks occurring at integral multiples of 3 or 6 nm. These results provide direct evidence that there is a regular axial texture in the protofibrils, and corroborate the conclusions previously drawn from optical diffraction analysis. Using the difference vectors found in the ACF it has been possible to reduce the picture noise level by linear integration, thereby obtaining an enhanced image. A preliminary result obtained in this way suggests that the projected protofibril morphology associated with the observed axial periodicity is a ribbon-like zigzag structure. Possible applications of the method for future work are discussed. 相似文献
7.
Three-dimensional systems possessing a homoclinic orbit associated to a saddle focus with eigenvalues ±i, – and giving rise to homoclinic chaos when the Shil'nikov condition < is satisfied are studied. The 2D Poincaré map and its 1D contractions capturing the essential features of the flow are given. At homoclinicity, these 1D maps are found to be piecewise linear. This property allows one to reduce the Frobenius—Perron equation to a master equation whose solution is analytically known. The probabilistic properties such as the time autocorrelation function of the state variablex are explicitly derived. 相似文献
8.
We simulate the classical diffusion of a particle of massM in an infinite one-dimensional system of hard point particles of massm in equilibrium. Each computer run corresponds to about 108 collisions of the diffusive particle. We find that (t) 1/t
fort large enough, and a crossover from an M m regime where=2 to=3 forM=m. The diffusion constant has a sharp maximum atM=m. We study moments x(t)2 and x(t)4, and examine the behavior ofq
2
(t)=x(t)4/3x(t)22. We find thatq(t)1 (consistent with a normal distribution) in theM limit (for all timest) and in the t limit for allM.
On sabbatical leave from IVIC-Instituto Venezolano de Investigaciones Cientificas. 相似文献
9.
10.
Consider a simple random walk on
d
whose sites are colored black or white independently with probabilityq, resp. 1–q. Walk and coloring are independent. Letn
k
be the number of steps by the walk between itskth and (k+1) th visits to a black site (i.e., the length of itskth white run), and let
k
=E(n
k
)–q
–1. Our main result is a proof that (*) lim
k
k
d/2
k
= (1 –q)q
d/2 – 2(d/2)
d/2. Since it is known thatq
– 1
k
=E(n
1
n
k + 1 B) –E(n
1 B)E(n
k + 1 B), withB the event that the origin is black, (*) exhibits a long-time tail in the run length autocorrelation function. Numerical calculations of
k
(1k100) ind=1, 2, and 3 show that there is an oscillatory behavior of
k
for smallk. This damps exponentially fast, following which the power law sets in fairly rapidly. We prove that if the coloring is not independent, but is convex in the sense of FKG, then the decay of
k
cannot be faster than (*). 相似文献