Assessing the Error Probability of the Model Selection Test

The asymptotic error probability of Linhart's model selection test isevaluated, and compared with the nominal significance level. We examine thecase where the expected discrepancies of the candidate models from the truemodel are asymptotically equal. The local alternatives method is employed inthe limiting operation of the asymptotic evaluation. Although the errorprobability under the null hypothesis is actually shown to be equal to orless than the level for most situations, intolerable violations of the errorcontrol are observed for nested models: It is often erroneously concludedthat the smaller model is significantly better than the larger model. Toprevent this violation, a modification of Linhart's test statistic isproposed. The effectiveness of the proposed test is confirmed throughtheoretical analysis and numerical simulations.     

空调热泵系统R22替代的理论分析及试验研究

空调热泵系统Ｒ２２替代的理论分析及试验研究杨昭,马一太,吕灿仁,陈东（天津大学热能研究所大津３０００７２）关键词替代物;可燃性;空调;热泵１前言制冷工质Ｒ２２因优良的热力学性质已被广泛应用。但因其ＯＤＰ值为０．０５５且ＧＷＰ值为０．３６,在１９９４年...     

Anchored Synthesis for Some Novel Mono and Disarylazo 1,2,4-Benzothiadiazine-Based Dyestuffs as Alternatives for Benzidine-Based Dyes

A one mono and two disarylazo series of 1,2,4-benzothiadiazine-based dyestuffs has been synthesized with a view that these products, with their new all-round tinctorial properties, might find an application as new categories of direct dyes that satisfactorily replace prohibited benzidine-based dyes.

The assigned structures for the hitherto prepared dyes were confirmed on the basis of elemental analysis as well as spectral data and, whenever possible, by alternative synthetic routes. Moreover, the predominant tautomeric structures for these highly colored products were tested and discussed on the basis of their spectral behavior.     

大自然为什么选择磷主导生命

磷酸单酯和双酯被漫长的进化过程选择为生命体的核心.磷酸酯功能的多样性需要磷酰基转移酶不断地进化来实现.现今磷酰基转移酶的催化机制已经得到了广泛研究.通过高分辨X射线晶体衍射技术(X-ray)与19FNMR的联用,来研究磷酰基转移酶的金属氟化物过渡态类似物,可以从原子层面上阐述磷酰基转移的机理.该催化机理充分地解释了磷酸酯的一对相互"矛盾"的性质,即磷酸酯结构的极其稳定性与磷酰基在信号传导过程中的灵活可调性.通过对元素周期表中其他元素的含氧酸根及其酯的性质的研究,目前还无法找出一个更加合适的元素来替代磷的这些重要功能,因而这些证据都支持了Todd的说法:"哪里有生命,哪里就一定有磷".     

离心式冷水空调机组中CFC11替代工质的研究

对几种 HFCs、HFEs 类新工质和混合工质M1、M2进行了以在离心式冷水空调机组中替代 CFC11为目标的理论循环性能分析。结果表明,M1具有作为 CFC11 灌注式替代物的潜力;HFC143 循环性能优良,更适合应用于新设计的系统中。     

Local Power Properties of Kernel Based Goodness of Fit Tests

If (X_i, i ) is a strictly stationary process with marginal density function f, we are interested in testing the hypothesis H₀: {f=f₀}, where f₀ is given. We consider different test statistics based on integrated quadratic forms measuring the proximity between f_n, a kernel estimator of f, and f₀, or between f_n and its expected value computed under H₀. We study the asymptotic local power properties of the testing procedures under local alternatives. This study generalizes to the multidimensional case in a context of dependence the corresponding one made by P. J. Bickel and M. Rosenblatt in 1973 (Ann. Statist.1, 1071–1095).     

Testing for Unit Roots in a Nearly Nonstationary Spatial Autoregressive Process

The limiting distribution of the normalized periodogram ordinate is used to test for unit roots in the first-order autoregressive model _st= _s-1,t+_s,t-1- _s-1,t-1+_st. Moreover, for the sequence _n = e ^c/n , _n = e ^d/n of local Pitman-type alternatives, the limiting distribution of the normalized periodogram ordinate is shown to be a linear combination of two independent chi-square random variables whose coefficients depend on c and d. This result is used to tabulate the asymptotic power of a test for various values of c and d. A comparison is made between the periodogram test and a spatial domain test.     

完全区组设计下基于Aligned秩的有方向检验问题

本文基于Aligned秩给出了用于解完全区组设计有方向检验问题的, 我们称之为$C$-检验的检验方法. 本文分别对每个试验单元仅有一个观测值以及等重复观测值和不等重复观测值各种情形下的$C$检验进行了讨论, 并在原假设$H_0$成立时计算了上述各种情形下$C$检验统计量的数学期望和方差, 且证明了$C$检验统计量的渐近分布为正态分布.     

Number of alternatives and efficiency in different types of top-management decisions

What are the causes of the efficiency of complex strategic decisions? To answer this question, the impact of information searching, alternative designing, and complexity of a decision problem on its decision quality are analyzed in a longitudinal study of 83 top-management decisions, made the by executive board of a medium-sized firm (1380 employees). Decision quality is negatively influenced by the complexity of the decision problem. Alternative designing has a strong positive impact on decision quality. Information search shows no significant relationship to decision quality. The results indicate that designing of alternatives is an important instrument to counter the challenges of complex strategic decision-problems. However, one should not simply maximize the number of alternatives. There seems to be a very small optimal number beyond which decision quality will decrease. Besides, alternative designing has to be coordinated with other problem-solving activities, namely goal formation, process organization, and information searching.