基于Copula的金融资产相关结构建模

分析了几种相关结构函数(Copula)表示的相关结构模型,给出了用相关结构函数对金融资产间的相关结构进行建模的方法.结果表明混合Gumbel(M-Gumbel)相关结构函数能较全面地描述上海深圳两证券指数的相关结构,模拟计算VaR的结果支持了实证分析的结论.     

相关系数与相关性度量

研究了度量相关性的两个主要工具:线性相关系数和尾部相关系数.线性相关系数反映了变量间的线性相关性,这对于一般的椭圆型分布是合适的.但如果随机变量具有不对称的尾部变化特征时,要用尾部相关系数描述它们之间的相关性.通过相关函数C opu la,对沪深股市的尾部相关系数进行了定量分析.结果表明:沪深股市具有较强的相关性.     

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In this paper, a nonparametric method for reliability of the stress-strength model is proposed when the dependent stress variable and strength variable are subject to right censoring. The dependence between variables is measured by the common Farlie-Gumbel-Morgenstern copula function and Clayton copula function. Using the empirical process theory, consistency and asymptotic normality of the proposed estimator is established in this paper. The results of numerical simulation show that the proposed method performs well in the case of finite sample. The method proposed in this paper has a wide application prospect in practice.     

Dependence properties and comparison results for Lévy processes

In this paper we investigate dependence properties and comparison results for multidimensional Lévy processes. In particular we address the questions, whether or not dependence properties and orderings of the copulas of the distributions of a Lévy process can be characterized by corresponding properties of the Lévy copula, a concept which has been introduced recently in Cont and Tankov (Financial modelling with jump processes. Chapman & Hall/CRC, Boca Raton, 2004) and Kallsen and Tankov (J Multivariate Anal 97:1551–1572, 2006). It turns out that association, positive orthant dependence and positive supermodular dependence of Lévy processes can be characterized in terms of the Lévy measure as well as in terms of the Lévy copula. As far as comparisons of Lévy processes are concerned we consider the supermodular and the concordance order and characterize them by orders of the Lévy measures and by orders of the Lévy copulas, respectively. An example is given that the Lévy copula does not determine dependence concepts like multivariate total positivity of order 2 or conditionally increasing in sequence. Besides these general results we specialize our findings for subfamilies of Lévy processes. The last section contains some applications in finance and insurance like comparison statements for ruin times, ruin probabilities and option prices which extends the current literature. Anja Blatter was supported by the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG).     

Characterization of a Marshall-Olkin type class of distributions

Summary A class of bivariate distributions that generalize Marshall-Olkin's one is characterized through a functional equation which involves two associative operations. The obtained distributions concentrate positive mass on the linex=y when the two associative operations coincide; otherwise a positive mass is concentrated on a continuous monotone function. Work performed while the authors were members of CNR-GNAFA.     

二元Schur凹copula的次对角部分

任意给定一个二元Schur 凹copula, 结合其自身和次对角部分, 利用取大和取小运算, 构造了一类新copula, 使得次对角部分相互重合, 讨论了新copula 的Schur 凹性与Schur 几何凹性.     

Dependence structure of the Korean stock market in high frequency data

This paper analyzes the evolution of the dependence structure for various time window intervals, known as Epps effect, using the Trade and Quote data of 663 actively traded stocks in Korean stock market. It is found that the random matrix theory analysis could not represent the dependence structure of the stock market in the microstructure regime. The Cook-Johnson copula is introduced as a parsimonious alternative method to handle this problem, and the existence of the Epps effect is confirmed for the 663 stocks using high frequency data. It was also found that large capitalization companies tend to have a stronger dependence structure, except for the largest capitalization group, since the phenomenon of price level resistance leads to the weak dependence structure in the largest capitalization group. In addition, grouping the industry as a sub-portfolio is an appropriate approach for hour interval traders, whereas this approach is not a strategy recommended for high frequency traders.     

Quantifying the risk using copulae with nonparametric marginals

We show that copulae and kernel estimation can be mixed to estimate the risk of an economic loss. We analyze the properties of the Sarmanov copula. We find that the maximum pseudo-likelihood estimation of the dependence parameter associated with the copula with double transformed kernel estimation to estimate marginal cumulative distribution functions is a useful method for approximating the risk of extreme dependent losses when we have large data sets. We use a bivariate sample of losses from a real database of auto insurance claims.     

On the multidimensional extension of countermonotonicity and its applications

In a 2-dimensional space, Fréchet–Hoeffding upper and lower bounds define comonotonicity and countermonotonicity, respectively. Similarly, in the multidimensional case, comonotonicity can be defined using the Fréchet–Hoeffding upper bound. However, since the multidimensional Fréchet–Hoeffding lower bound is not a distribution function, there is no obvious extension of countermonotonicity in multidimensions. This paper investigates in depth a new multidimensional extension of countermonotonicity. We first provide an equivalent condition for countermonotonicity in 2-dimension, and extend the definition of countermonotonicity into multidimensions. In order to justify such extensions, we show that newly defined countermonotonic copulas constitute a minimal class of copulas. Two applications will be provided. First, we will study the relationships between multidimensional countermonotonicity and such well-known multivariate concordance measures as Kendall’s tau or Spearman’s rho. Second, we will give a financial interpretation of multidimensional countermonotonicity via the existing herd behavior index.     

On spatial contagion and multivariate GARCH models

We propose a method for defining and measuring spatial contagion between two financial markets via conditional copulas. Some theoretical results on monotonicity and asymptotic properties of Gaussian copulas with respect to conditioning are presented. Next, we combine the spatial contagion approach with time series models. We investigate which model from a large family of multivariate GARCH is the best tool for modelling spatial contagion. In an empirical study, we show that among models designed for general fit, a two‐step model fitting procedure reduces the ability to describe the contagion effect. This is a feature of copula‐GARCH models. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.