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For structural systems with both epistemic and aleatory uncertainties, the effect of epistemic uncertainty on failure probability is measured by the variance based sensitivity analysis, which generally needs a “triple-loop” crude sampling procedure to solve and is time consuming. Thus, the Kriging method is employed to avoid the complex sampling procedure and improve the computational efficiency. By utilizing the Kriging predictor model, the conditional expectation of failure probability on the given epistemic uncertainty can be calculated efficiently. Compared with the Sobol’s method, the proposed one can ensure reasonable accuracy of results but with lower computational cost. Three examples are employed to demonstrate the reasonability and efficiency of the proposed method.  相似文献   
3.
Using a class of linear static controllers, we stabilize the Petersen open-loop two-dimensional linear system (Ref. 1), which consists of one time-varying uncertainty in the state matrixA and one timevarying uncertainty in the input matrixB. We show that the worst-case uncertainty strategy for the closed-loop system is a piecewise constant strategy of the angular state with three switches on the half-turn, –/2/2; it is unique with respect to a set of measure zero. Formulas are derived for the worst-case half-turn radius gainr HT as a function of the parameters of the class of stabilizing linear static controllers. Using the class of scalar-quadratic Lyapunov functions, we show that a necessary and sufficient condition for the closed-loop system to be robustly stable against all time-varying admissible uncertainties is thatr HT be less than unity. The bound on the time-varying real parameter uncertainties for the closed-loop system to be robustly stable is derived for the class of linear static feedback controllers. We obtain stabilizing linear static controllers such that the bound is as close to infinity as desired. The derived results are compared with numerical results obtained using commerical robust-control software.  相似文献   
4.
This Letter is concerned with the robust state estimation problem for uncertain time-delay Markovian jumping genetic regulatory networks (GRNs) with SUM logic, where the uncertainties enter into both the network parameters and the mode transition rate. The nonlinear functions describing the feedback regulation are assumed to satisfy the sector-like conditions. The main purpose of the problem addressed is to design a linear estimator to approximate the true concentrations of the mRNA and protein through available measurement outputs. By resorting to the Lyapunov functional method and some stochastic analysis tools, it is shown that if a set of linear matrix inequalities (LMIs) is feasible, the desired state estimator, that can ensure the estimation error dynamics to be globally robustly asymptotically stable in the mean square, exists. The obtained LMI conditions are dependent on both the lower and the upper bounds of the delays. An illustrative example is presented to demonstrate the feasibility of the proposed estimation schemes.  相似文献   
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This work honors the 75th birthday of Professor Ionel Michael Navon by presenting original results highlighting the computational efficiency of the adjoint sensitivity analysis methodology for function‐valued operator responses by means of an illustrative paradigm dissolver model. The dissolver model analyzed in this work has been selected because of its applicability to material separations and its potential role in diversion activities associated with proliferation and international safeguards. This dissolver model comprises eight active compartments in which the 16 time‐dependent nonlinear differential equations modeling the physical and chemical processes comprise 619 scalar and time‐dependent model parameters, related to the model's equation of state and inflow conditions. The most important response for the dissolver model is the time‐dependent nitric acid in the compartment furthest away from the inlet, where measurements are available at 307 time instances over the transient's duration of 10.5 h. The sensitivities to all model parameters of the acid concentrations at each of these instances in time are computed efficiently by applying the adjoint sensitivity analysis methodology for operator‐valued responses. The uncertainties in the model parameters are propagated using the above‐mentioned sensitivities to compute the uncertainties in the computed responses. A predictive modeling formalism is subsequently used to combine the computational results with the experimental information measured in the compartment furthest from the inlet and then predict optimal values and uncertainties throughout the dissolver. This predictive modeling methodology uses the maximum entropy principle to construct an optimal approximation of the unknown a priori distribution for the a priori known mean values and uncertainties characterizing the model parameters and the computed and experimentally measured model responses. This approximate a priori distribution is subsequently combined using Bayes' theorem with the “likelihood” provided by the multi‐physics computational models. Finally, the posterior distribution is evaluated using the saddle‐point method to obtain analytical expressions for the optimally predicted values for the parameters and responses of both multi‐physics models, along with corresponding reduced uncertainties. This work shows that even though the experimental data pertains solely to the compartment furthest from the inlet (where the data were measured), the predictive modeling procedure used herein actually improves the predictions and reduces the predicted uncertainties for the entire dissolver, including the compartment furthest from the measurements, because this predictive modeling methodology combines and transmits information simultaneously over the entire phase‐space, comprising all time steps and spatial locations. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   
6.
刘子龙  陈锐  廖宁放  李在清  王煜 《物理学报》2012,61(23):133-138
随着生物医学影像和航天军事测量的发展,对用于光学成像底片和视觉校正的视觉密度的测量范围和不确定度的要求越来越高.以自行设计的光纤半球发射器形成的复合漫射器为特征的新方案将视觉漫透射密度国家基准的光源漫射系数提高到0.945,比欧美国家基准高0.02—0.03.实验得到新基准的测量范围为0—6.0,合成不确定度为0.0015(0相似文献   
7.
基本物理化学常数的CODATA最新推荐值   总被引:5,自引:1,他引:5  
刘瑞珉  张钟华  沈乃 《物理》2000,29(10):602-609
文章给出了由国际科学技术数据委员会(简称CODATA)推荐的基本物理化学常数及转换因子的1998的自洽组的数值,供国际上普遍使用。新推荐值的村准不确定度,与1986年推荐值的相应不确定度比较,在多数情况下,前约为后者的1/5至1/12,而在某些情况下,则为其1/160,然后,几科在所有情况下,1998年数值与1986年相应值之差的绝对值均小于1986年数值的标准不确定度的两倍。  相似文献   
8.
M. D. Srinivas 《Pramana》2003,60(6):1137-1152
We derive an optimal bound on the sum of entropic uncertainties of two or more observables when they are sequentially measured on the same ensemble of systems. This optimal bound is shown to be greater than or equal to the bounds derived in the literature on the sum of entropie uncertainties of two observables which are measured on distinct but identically prepared ensembles of systems. In the case of a two-dimensional Hilbert space, the optimum bound for successive measurements of two-spin components, is seen to be strictly greater than the optimal bound for the case when they are measured on distinct ensembles, except when the spin components are mutually parallel or perpendicular  相似文献   
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不确定非线性动力系统的稳定性分析   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
本文讨论渐近稳定的非线性名义动力系统在非线性时变扰动下的鲁棒稳定性问题。应用Lyapunov稳定性定理及其推广定理得出了非线性动力系统鲁棒稳定的若干判别准则,并给邮了应用所得准则的实际算例。  相似文献   
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