Tiebout and sympathy

In its simplest form the Tiebout hypothesis suggests that redistribution by local government is not sustainable because individuals, when confronted by negative net fiscal benefits, will vote with their feet, changing their residential locations to jurisdictions which offer a more favorable fiscal balance. It is usually thought, moreover, that they will move (e.g. from central city to suburbs) in descending order of income.Recognition of extended preference modifies this simple characterization of the tiebout process, in which the process of relocation is like ‘peeling an onion’. Any relocation sequence is possible, with either sympathy or antipathy. Even for sympathetic individuals with identical tastes, restrictive and unrealistic assumptions are required to predict, with certainty, that individuals with higher incomes would be the first to move. In particular the marginal tax rate must exceed unity. With antipathy, individuals with lower incomes may move before those with higher incomes, even if net fiscal benefits decrease with income, if they become more willing to begrudge transfers to others as their incomes increase.     

纳税最优的工资奖金分配方案研究

根据我国现行的税法,个人所得税纳税采用九级累进税率.年工资和年终奖在速算扣除数个数上存在不同,使得对于相同的税前年收入,如果采用不同的年工资和年终奖分配方案会产生不同的税后实际所得.通过简化变量和缩小有效解区域,以及一系列严格的数学推导,得到了任意年收入下,月工资和年终奖的最优分配方案,使得在现有税制下,纳税额最小,税后收入最大.这个最优方案避免了税金负效应现象,保证了纳税公平性,有利于国家税务监管,企业员工薪金分配和个人纳税筹划;具有广阔的应用前景.     

Simulation with system dynamics and fuzzy reasoning of a tax policy to reduce CO2 emissions in the residential sector

This methodological paper presents a planning and control methodology illustrated by a simplified case study on the carbon-tax design in the residential sector. The first objective is to show how to simulate with system dynamics the consumers’ behaviour and the continuous tax-control mechanism depending on few important feedbacks, often ignored in static macroeconomic modelling. A second objective is to show how to aggregate external data driving this model and stemming from different sources with various credibility levels. This is realised by means of fuzzy-reasoning techniques incorporated into the system-dynamics model.     

气候政策的经济环境效应分析与比较—基于碳税、许可交易和总量控制的动态微分博弈

基于产品差别化假设,建立双寡头动态微分博弈模型,比较碳税和许可交易以及总量控制3种气候政策的经济环境效应.研究发现,不同气候政策对两国的经济效应不同.进一步研究还发现,在企业产品差别化竞争时,从碳排放流量来看,碳税政策和许可交易政策与总量控制政策之间没有严格的优劣之分;碳排放存量对碳税政策最敏感.从碳存量对政策的边际影响来看,许可交易政策与总量控制政策是相同的,而碳税政策与之相反.当两国生产的产品完全同质时,从均衡碳排放流量和碳排放存量来看,许可交易政策最优,总量控制政策次之,碳税政策最差.若政府单纯以控制碳排放量为目的,许可交易政策是最佳选择.     

基于可计算一般均衡模型的出口退税政策效应分析

使用Chinagem模型计算了我国2010年6月份出口退税率下调对我国经济以及各行业的影响.研究表明,此次调整导致我国GDP实际减小0.016%,投资、出口与进口分别下降0.075%、0.041%与0.116%,居民消费和政府消费上升0.005%,就业下降0.016%,两高一资行业受挫较大.同时,各个行业实施出口退税时,对该行业的影响表现为:将直接导致行业出口价格上升,出口量下降,从而国内销售部分增加;由于国内供给增加,进口有所减少;而总产出的变化则由于行业不同而呈现出不同的变化.与此同时,各个行业出口退税率的变化将导致上游行业产出下降,下游行业产出增长.     

中国现行财政体制下“买税”行为的博弈分析

博弈论为理论依据,通过对高、低两种任务下买税利益团体和上级监管部门的利益偏好和行为特征进行建模对比分析,考察影响其行为的各种因素,从经济学角度探求引起“买税”行为的根源,并试着给出建议.     

碳税政策下时变需求依赖库存与价格的供应链协调模型

研究由一个供应商和一个零售组成的二级供应链系统在碳税政策下的协调问题.对于市场需求率为时变函数且依赖于当前库存水平和销售价格的情形,建立分散式和集中式供应链决策模型.比较两种模型得出供应商和零售商合作能够提高供应链的整体利润但是也会产生更多的碳排放.分别利用批发价格契约和两部收费契约协调分散式决策模型得出供应链协调的条件.最后通过数值算例验证理论结果并分析碳税单价对供应链在两部收费契约下实现协调的影响.     

A dynamic analysis of corporate investments and emission tax policy in an oligopoly market with network externality

We investigate the product innovation, green R&D investments and the emission tax policy in an oligopoly market with network externality. It is shown that an appropriate tax policy should be deployed to effectively control pollution and motivate innovation. At the early stage of the market, the emission tax should gradually reduce to motivate firms to achieve optimal investments. Later at the mature stage, the emission tax policy should carefully consider both the market competition and green technology levels.     

宏观税负与经济增长关系的影响分析

本文讨论了近些年来我国宏观税负的发展态势,就最优税负问题进行了理论探讨,并运用时间序列模型等,讨论了税负与经济增长的影响关系,及行业、地区间的税负差异问题。     

税源预测的数学模型

税源预测是财税部门的重要工作。本文通过实例提出税源预测中常用的折扣最小二乘法、一元线性回归、税收弹性及马尔柯夫预测方法等数学模型，使预测税源工作定量化、科学化。