Recursive partition and amalgamation with the exponential family: Theory and applications

The theory of tree-growing (RECPAM approach) is developed for outcome variables which are distributed as the canonical exponential family. The general RECPAM approach (consisting of three steps: recursive partition, pruning and amalgamation), is reviewed. This is seen as constructing a partition with maximal information content about a parameter to be predicted, followed by simplification by the elimination of ‘negligible’ information. The measure of information is defined for an exponential family outcome as a deviance difference, and appropriate modifications of pruning and amalgamation rules are discussed. It is further shown how the proposed approach makes it possible to develop tree-growing for situations usually treated by generalized linear models (GLIM). In particular, Poisson and logistic regression can be tree-structured. Moreover, censored survival data can be treated, as in GLIM, by observing a formal equivalence of the likelihood under random censoring and an appropriate Poisson model. Three examples are given of application to Poisson, binary and censored survival data.     

Inhomogeneous Voter Models in One Dimension

We establish conditions for survival and extinction of types of one-dimensional voter models, and show that increasing the flip rates at a finite number of sites typically does not affect survival, unless the flipping mechanism is altered. We provide an example of a modified voter model that does not survive but can be made to survive simply by altering the flip mechanism at one site. We also show that a rather general class of such models have clustering behavior.     

对于工学硕士的《数理统计》教学的研究

工学硕士的《数理统计》教学 ,要根据工学硕士的培养目标和数理统计课程的特点编写教材、确定讲授内容和授课方式 .力求使学员掌握处理随机数据的思考方法 ,培养解决问题、分析问题和善于应用知识的能力 .改革《数理统计》教学 ,实现和普及多媒体教学是时代发展的趋势 .     

武器系统生存能力模型分析

对抗过程中，武器系统的生存概率包括以下的四个方面，即：被发现的可能性、被命中的可能性、易毁性和可修理性。武器系统生存能力的动态描述主要划分为四个阶段：被发现阶段、被命中阶段、被毁伤和修复阶段。本文从这四个阶段给出了对抗过程中武器系统生存能力的动态描述，并分析了各个阶段的计算模型。     

因子分析在企业竞争力评价中的应用

根据因子分析原理,建立了企业竞争力的规模因子、效益因子和成长因子得分模型。通过现实竞争力和潜在竞争力分析,实现了企业竞争力和可持续发展的评价。     

Properties of noninteger moments in a first passage time problem

We calculate the moments t ^q , whereq is not necessarily an integer, of the first passage time to trapping for a simple diffusion problem in one dimension. If a characteristic length of the system isL and t _q ~L (q) asL, then we show that there is a phase transition atq=q _c such that whenq<q _c ,(g)=0, and forq>q _c , (q) is a linear function ofq. These analytical results can be used to explain results for large moments for diffusion on a hierarchic structure. We also show how to calculate noninteger moments in terms of characteristic functions.     

抗肿瘤药物氮三乙酰肼和金属离子配位能力的研究

本文研究了抗癌药物氮三乙酰肼(Nitrilotriacetic hydrizide,NTH)和生命必需元素以及Al~(3 ),Ga~(3 ),In~(3 )的配位能力并用pH电位法测定了它们在生理条件下(37℃,Ⅰ=150mM dm~(-3)NaCl)的配合物生成常数。电位滴定数据是用ZPLOT,MINIQUAD,ESTA等计算机程序处理的。实验结果表明NTH与它的非生理活性的母体化合物氮三乙酸相比较,对Zn~(2 ),Mn~(2 )等过渡元素的配位能力表现较大的差异性。这种情况在Revercan,ICRF-198,ICRF-236和5-烯去甲基斑蝥酸等其他抗肿瘤活性化合物中也曾观察到。 NTH与三价金属Fe~(3 ),Ga~(3 ),Al(3 )和In~(3 )等有较大的配位能力,这与它的烯醇式结构有关。由于这些配合物在广泛的pH范围内生成,以及它的高稳定性,因此有可能被用作为肿瘤定位试剂或生物体营养元素铁传输的有效载体。     

过渡金属离子对HPAsMoVO杂多酸的氧化性能的影响

用H2-TPR方法研究了过渡金属离子及其含量对杂多酸-HxPAs0.2Mo10VOy的氧化性能的影响,并在固定床反应器上考察了M0.2HxPAs0.2Mo10VOy(M=Fe3 、Co2 、N i2 和Cu2 )催化剂对异丁烷选择性氧化的催化性能.研究结果表明用过渡金属离子取代杂多酸中的质子,可以在较大程度上增强杂多酸的低温氧化能力,其中Fe3 对增强杂多酸的催化活性最为明显,而Cu2 却有利于提高目的产物甲基丙烯酸的选择性.     

INTROMISSION OF WATER-REPELLENT AND HYDROSCOPIC PROPERTIES SIMULTANEOUSLY TO PP BY PLASMA DISCHARGE METHOD

Plasma-induced surface graft copolymerization of acrylic acid on polypropylene non-woven fabric (PP-g-AA) and polypropylene membrane were reported. The extents of grafting were controlled by the plasma and polymerization condition. Hexadecyltrimethyl ammonium bromide was then coupled with the carboxyl group of PP-g-AA to obtain a polyion complex (PIC). At last, CF4 plasma was used to give PICs hydrophobic property. The moisture regain and water-repellency of the processed PICs was investigated. The surfaces were characterized using ATR FT-IR and XPS. The result indicates that the products have very high ability to adsorb moisture, even better than cotton fiber. At the same time, the products show excellent hydrophobic property, which can‘t be wetted by those reagents whose surface tensions were higher than 327mN/m.     

Synthesis and Crystal Structure of 4,5-Diazafluorene-9-one Azine Hydrochloride Hydrate

1 INTRODUCTION During the study of polynuclear complexes with the aim to investigate the magnetic super-exchange interaction between the adjacent metal ions bridged by a conjugation molecule[1], we have made efforts to prepare complexes bridged by 4, 5-diazafluorene-9-one azine (DAA) and found that the coordination ability of DAA is poor in the acidic solution. In order to probe the reason, DAA has been crystallized from the hydrochloric acid solution and its crystal structure has b…