马歇尔-勒纳条件的实证研究

本文从人民币实际汇率变动是否会对我国贸易收支产生影响出发，基于马歇尔．勒纳条件，对计算贸易弹性常用的OLS回归模型进行了改进，建立了向量自回归误差修正模型来估算我国的国际贸易弹性。实证研究表明：我国进出口需求的价格弹性之和大于1。因此人民币贬值可改善贸易收支；反之升值将使贸易收支恶化。     

剑桥中学证书国际物理实验考试介绍

介绍了剑桥大学地方考试联合会制定的普通水平学校证书国际考虑大纲对高中学生物理实验技能的要求。分析了剑桥国际物理实验考试和实验试题的特点。     

基于GARCH模型的石油价格变动模拟

石油是一种特殊的商品,是国家重要的战略物资,世界各国都十分重视其价格变动问题,因为油价变化会影响到各国经济发展,甚至国家安全。因此,本文采用GARCH模型,通过基于Gibbs抽样的MCMC方法分析了国际市场石油价格的分布特征,对石油价格波动的异方差特性进行描述和模拟,实证分析结果说明从石油价格波动序列峰度系数和平方价格波动序列自相关函数的描述来看,基于t分布的模型模拟效果优于基于正态分布的模型,这一结论反映了石油价格波动序列的分布特性。     

Broader Societal Issues of Nanotechnology

Nanoscale science and engineering are providing unprecedented understanding and control over the basic building blocks of matter, leading to increased coherence in knowledge, technology, and education. The main reason for developing nanotechnology is to advance broad societal goals such as improved comprehension of nature, increased productivity, better healthcare, and extending the limits of sustainable development and of human potential. This paper outlines societal implication activities in nanotechnology R&D programs. The US National Nanotechnology Initiative annual investment in research with educational and societal implications is estimated at about $30 million (of which National Science Foundation (NSF) awards about $23 million including contributions to student fellowships), and in nanoscale research with relevance to environment at about $50 million (of which NSF awards about $30 million and EPA about $6 million). An appeal is made to researchers and funding organizations worldwide to take timely and responsible advantage of the new technology for economic and sustainable development, to initiate societal implications studies from the beginning of the nanotechnology programs, and to communicate effectively the goals and potential risks with research users and the public.     

电力市场中合同电量与竞争电量交易比例的研究

在单边开放的区域电力市场中,合理的合同电量与竞争电量交易比例是保证电力市场有效运行的一个重要环节。竞争电量所占的比例将主要取决于当前发电公司的市场行为。首先使用BP神经网络对电力需求弹性系数进行了预测,然后以长期电力市场均衡为目标函数,考虑贵州电网发电机组的可用容量与负荷预测的误差,以及贵州输电线路的可靠性诸因素,推导出合同电量与竞争电量交易比例,经过与南方区域电力市场目前运营规则规定的交易比例比较,该比例是合理的,可以规避电力市场价格波动等带来的风险。     

Summary of ISO/TC 201 Standard XI. ISO 17974:2002—Surface chemical analysis—High‐resolution Auger electron spectrometers—Calibration of energy scales for elemental and chemical‐state analysis

This International Standard specifies a method for calibrating the kinetic energy scales of Auger electron spectrometers for elemental and chemical‐state analysis at surfaces. It is only applicable to instruments that incorporate an ion gun for sputter cleaning. This International Standard further specifies a method to establish a calibration schedule, to test for the kinetic energy scale linearity at one intermediate energy, to confirm the uncertainty of the scale calibration at one low and one high kinetic energy value, to correct for small drifts of that scale and to define the expanded uncertainty of the calibration of the kinetic energy scale for a confidence level of 95%. This uncertainty includes contributions for behaviours observed in interlaboratory studies but does not cover all of the defects that could occur. This International Standard is not applicable to instruments with kinetic energy scale errors that are significantly non‐linear with energy, to instruments operated at relative resolutions poorer than 0.2% in the constant ΔE/E mode or poorer than 1.5 eV in the constant ΔE mode, to instruments requiring tolerance limits of ±0.05 eV or less or to instruments equipped with an electron gun that cannot be operated in the energy range 5–10 keV. This standard does not provide a full calibration check, which would confirm the energy measured at each addressable point on the energy scale and should be performed according to the manufacturer's recommended procedures. Crown Copyright © 2003. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Characterization of SiO2-P2O5-ZrO2 Sol-Gel/NAFION™ Composite Membranes

Composite membranes were prepared by (a) infiltrating NAFION with SiO₂-P₂O₅-ZrO₂ sol, and (b) recasting a film using NAFION solution containing SiO₂-P₂O₅-ZrO₂ sol. The membranes were characterized by Differential Thermal Analysis and ac-impedance spectroscopy as a function of relative humidity. The influences of the heat treatment (80°C–150°C) and cleaning on the electrical properties were investigated. The incorporation of SiO₂-P₂O₅-ZrO₂ gels into NAFION lead to improvements in its thermal stability and proton conductivity.     

Optimization of spiroimidazolidinone derivatives synthesis on solid phase using SynPhase™ Lanterns

We report the synthesis of 1,4,8-triazaspiro[4.5]decan-2-one derivatives from N-benzyl-4-piperidone and N-protected amino acid amides on solid support. We have translated the chemistry from solution to solid phase using a backbone amide linker (BAL) mimic. Using a parallel combinatorial approach, we performed the optimization of the synthesis on SynPhase™ Lanterns.     

高中有机化学教材“烃类化合物”的国际比较研究

基于闫春更等建立的二维度四指标教材难度微观评价模型，重点对中国、美国、新加坡、澳大利亚、日本、英国的高中化学教材中"烃类化合物"内容的整合广度、表征深度进行测评和比较。研究发现6国教材内容的整合广度整体上差异不大，但其表征深度差异明显；美国教材注重学生认识物质的思路和方法的渗透，日本教材注重基本知识与技能的掌握，中国教材将概念诠释与样例分析相融合；英国、新加坡、美国教材注重情境推理或比较等信息处理策略的运用，对学习者学习的引导性较强。     

The impact of environmental regulations on forest product trade in China

Forest product trade plays an important role in the development of the Chinese forest industry. The trading value of forest product has shown a yearly growth rate of 12% during the last five recent years. Stringent environmental regulations in China have a profound impact on raw material supplies and industrial production in the forest sector; however, their impact on the forest product trade is still unclear. This study applies fixed and random effects models as well as a seemingly unrelated regression model to investigate the impact of environmental regulations on the trade of forest product from 2002 to 2015. The results indicate that the stringent environmental regulations promoted the import but restricted the export of forest product in general. Specifically, the stringent environmental regulations stimulated the import but had an ambiguous impact on the export of the paper product. The stringent environmental regulations had also stimulated the import of wood product but inhibited the export. In contrast, wooden furniture had been affected minimally; only export got slightly negatively affected by environmental regulations. Recommendations for resource managers:

• Trade‐offs between economic growth and environmental regulations are needed to smoothly promote the forest product trade in China.
• Paper and wooden furniture product sectors are less likely to be affected by stringent environmental regulations, because high value‐added products could compensate for environmental costs.
• The wood product sector is more likely to be negatively affected by stringent environmental regulations because environmental costs could severely impact the competitiveness of low value‐added products.