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1.
本文首先对回报率与交易量之间的关系进行了研究,发现并不存在非对称的数量关系,但存在双向的葛兰杰因果关系;同时将交易量对波动率的解释能力进行了研究,发现在沪市交易量对波动率具有解释力,而在深市交易量对波动率没有解释力。 相似文献
2.
云天铨 《应用数学和力学(英文版)》2001,(1)
1 MeaningandMethodsofStudyingofFinancialDerivativesFinancialderivativesarethosefinancialproductswhicharederivedfrombasicasserts (orunderlyinginstrucments) (e .g .stock ,bond ,currency ,interestrate,etc.)oftraditionalmarkets(e.g .stockmarket,bond’smarket,currency… 相似文献
3.
We analyze the underlying economic forces of the stock markets in Germany, the U.K. and the U.S. Identifying a number of variables evincing return predictability, we follow a partial least‐squares (PLS) approach to combine these observables into a few latent factors. Conditional on European markets, our findings indicate (i) superior prediction performance of PLS‐based schemes in comparison with both, a random walk and a first‐order autoregressive benchmark model, (ii) consistent profitable trading on the German and British market, (iii) profitable linear forecast combinations, (iv) the U.S. stock market is diagnosed as informationally efficient. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
4.
Emission trading schemes such as the European Union Emissions Trading System (EUETS) attempt to reconcile economic efficiency with ecological efficiency by creating financial incentives for companies to invest in climate-friendly innovations. Using real options methodology, we demonstrate that under uncertainty, economic and ecological efficiency continue to be mutually exclusive. This problem is even worse if a climate-friendly project depends on investing in of a whole supply chain. We model a sequential bargaining game in a supply chain where the parties negotiate over implementation of a carbon dioxide (CO2) saving investment project. We show that the outcome of their bargaining is not economically efficient and even less ecologically efficient. Furthermore, we show that a supply chain becomes less economically efficient and less ecologically efficient with every additional chain link. Finally, we make recommendations for how managers or politicians can improve the situation and thereby increase economic as well as ecological efficiency and thus also the eco-efficiency of supply chains. 相似文献
5.
在理论上通过推导首次得出了Black-Litterman模型(B-L模型)最优权重与信心水平的公式.在各资产收益不相关及单一绝对观点的假设下,得出各资产的B-L模型最优权重与信心水平的简化表达式.借助于此,还对信心水平与最优权重公式的进一步理论分析,并以光大证券的"乌龙指"做实证,详细分析投资者在没有市场观点、拥有内幕信息、以及信心水平在某范围变化时,其所持各投资品权重的特点. 相似文献
6.
In this paper, we establish closed‐form formulas for key probabilistic properties of the cone‐constrained optimal mean‐variance strategy, in a continuous market model driven by a multidimensional Brownian motion and deterministic coefficients. In particular, we compute the probability to obtain to a point, during the investment horizon, where the accumulated wealth is large enough to be fully reinvested in the money market, and safely grow there to meet the investor's financial goal at terminal time. We conclude that the result of Li and Zhou [Ann. Appl. Prob., v.16, pp.1751–1763, (2006)] in the unconstrained case carries over when conic constraints are present: the former probability is lower bounded by 80% no matter the market coefficients, trading constraints, and investment goal. We also compute the expected terminal wealth given that the investor's goal is underachieved, for both the mean‐variance strategy and the aforementioned hybrid strategy where transfer to the money market occurs if it allows to safely achieve the goal. The former probabilities and expectations are also provided in the case where all risky assets held are liquidated if financial distress is encountered. These results provide investors with novel practical tools to support portfolio decision‐making and analysis. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
7.
Optimal trading strategies are found for an insider who is trading in two convergent stocks and is bound by margin constraints. 相似文献
8.
ZHANGSHUNMING 《高校应用数学学报(英文版)》1998,13(1):77-94
This paper analyzes the aritrage-tree security markets and the general equilibrium ex-istence problem for a stochastic economy with incomplete financial markets. Information structure is given by an event tree. This paper restricts attention to puraly financial securities. It isassume that trading takes place in the sequence of spot markets and futures markets for securi-ties payable in units of account. Unlimited short-selling in securities is allowed. Financial markets may be incomplete, some consumption streams may be impossible to obtain by any tradingstrategy. Securities may be individually precluded from trade at arbitrary states and dates. Thesecurity price process is arbitrage-free the dividend process if and only if there exists a stochaticstate price (present value) process : the present value of the security prices at every vertex isthe present value of their dividend and capital values over the set of immediate successors ; thecurrent value of each security at every vertex is the present value of its future dividend streamover all succeeding vertices. The existence of such an equilibrium is proved under the followingcondition: continuous, weakly convex, strictly monotone and complete preferences, strictlypositive endowmenta and dividends processes. 相似文献
9.
This paper uses a real options approach to establish a new evaluation model under uncertainty of both the volume of Internet securities transactions and the total transaction volume of a securities firm. The proposed approach can assist securities firms in evaluating the optimal thresholds for entering the Internet securities trading business and withdrawing from the conventional securities trading business. This paper assumes that the annual number of Internet securities transactions and the total annual number of securities transactions both follow a geometric Brownian motion. Besides, this model considers a start‐up time to complete the entry project's procedure. Accordingly, a decision model based on the real options approach is introduced, and the closed form solutions for the optimal threshold values of the entry or withdrawal models are determined. The conclusions provide some valuable references to help strategic managers of securities firms in making decisions on entering the Internet securities trading business or withdrawing from the conventional trading business. Copyright © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
10.
This paper is concerned with the strategic use of a private information on the stock market. A repeated auction model is
used to analyze the evolution of the price system on a market with asymmetric information.
The model turns out to be a zero-sum repeated game with one-sided information, as introduced by Aumann and Maschler.
The stochastic evolution of the price system can be explicitly computed in the n times repeated case. As n grows to ∞, this process tends to a continuous time martingale related to a Brownian Motion.
This paper provides in this way an endogenous justification for the appearance of Brownian Motion in Finance theory.
Received: February 2002 相似文献