On Quantum Team Games

Recently Liu and Simaan (2004) convex static multi-team classical games have been introduced. Here they are generalized to both nonconvex, dynamic and quantum games. Puu's incomplete information dynamical systems are modified and applied to Cournot team game. The replicator dynamics of the quantum prisoner's dilemma game is also studied.     

不完全信息群体决策专家权重的集结

本文对于属性权重信息和属性效用信息都不完全的群体多属性决策问题，通过构造属性值区间和运用系统聚类分析法，对群体决策中的专家进行分类，并确定每位专家的权重．     

BP神经网络在上海住宅市场需求预测中的应用

人工神经网络是近期发展最快的人工智能领域研究成果之一 ,本文在介绍 BP神经网络的有关原理的基础上 ,建立了一个上海住宅市场的 BP神经网络模型 ,并通过该模型对上海住宅市场的需求进行了预测和分析 .分析结果表明人工神经网络方法在住宅市场需求预测中的应用是可行的并且是有效的 .     

公路货运行业政府管制的变迁

本文首先阐述了管制的概念内涵以及进行管制的必要性 ,并对影响管制的主要因素进行分析 .随后运用管制经济学和规范经济学的基本理论 ,考察公路货运业行业管制制度的变迁与管制效果 ,对管制失效的原因加以分析 .最后对加入 WTO后如何对公路运输行业进行管制加以探讨     

Investigation of Scale Exponents of Complete and Incomplete Aggregation-Annihilation Processes

The complete and incomplete aggregation-annihilation processes are investigated with the method of generating function, and the scale exponents are obtained exactly. We find that the scale exponents of incomplete aggregation-annihilation process are different from the previous exponents obtained by different methods. The time dependence of the total number of clusters and the total mass of clusters are analytically obtained.     

Portfolio optimization in stochastic markets

We consider a multiperiod mean-variance model where the model parameters change according to a stochastic market. The mean vector and covariance matrix of the random returns of risky assets all depend on the state of the market during any period where the market process is assumed to follow a Markov chain. Dynamic programming is used to solve an auxiliary problem which, in turn, gives the efficient frontier of the mean-variance formulation. An explicit expression is obtained for the efficient frontier and an illustrative example is given to demonstrate the application of the procedure.     

带风险指数的金融均衡的存在性定理及其结构特征(下)

本文主要论证了在不完全市场条件下带风险指数的金融均衡的存在性，并揭示其均衡结构的特征．本文中建立的模型是一、二期货币投入产出金融经济且具有可微的资产结构，这一模型包括了许多具有特殊资产结构的均衡模型，如实资产结构、虚资产结构、恒秩资产结构的均衡模型．因此本文的这一模型具有广泛的应用前景和实用价值．接着给出了本文的金融均衡的存在性定理，再借助微分拓扑给出它的证明过程，这一证明过程较之以前证明均衡存在性的经典方法（如Duffie，D＆W．Shfer（1985）的方法）要简便得多．同时也应注意到本文的这一结论既适用于资产市场下会随机风险因素的情形，也适用于商品空间为无限维的情形，除此之外，还给出了怎样判别资产结构是否属于T类的判别法，为检验均衡存在性提供了更为便利的途径．最后，本文论证了在金融市场里，尽管由于稀缺性的存在，从而导致均衡分配的多样化，然而均衡分配集却形成了一光滑子流，但该流形的维数与稀缺性有关．换句话说，尽管市场是不完全的，但均市分配不确定性的反却是可比的．如此使得人们对均衡资产结构的认识更进一步．     

一种区间数的因子分析技术及其在证券市场中的应用

传统的因子分析技术能够有效地对高维变量空间进行降维处理,但它对于样本空间却缺乏行之有效的降维效果.为了解决这一问题,一种针对大量样本数据、新的因子分析技术———区间数因子分析技术(intervaldatafactoranalysis,IFA)被提出并得到了迅速的发展。IFA方法对传统的数据概念做了本质性的扩张,运用'数据打包'的理念,对海量原始数据在不破坏其原有内在逻辑关系的前提下,可以进行变量和样本点维度的双重降维。本文详细阐述了区间数因子分析技术的原理,并以中国股票市场为案例研究背景,结果表明IFA分析技术对大规模多维数据系统做综合简化是十分有效的。     

SHFE与LME期铜价格关系实证研究

本文介绍了Granger引导关系模型,并利用这个模型对伦敦金属交易所(LME)三个月期铜和上海期货交易所(SHFE)五个月期铜进行了价格引导关系检验。检验结果显示,伦敦金属交易所三个月期铜价格滞后引导上海期货交易所五个月期铜价格,但是上海期货交易所对伦敦金属交易所的期铜价格不具有滞后价格引导关系。     

Analysis of a Duopoly Supply Chain and its Application in Electricity Spot Markets

This paper studies a supply chain consisting of two suppliers and one retailer in a spot market, where the retailer uses the newsvendor solution as its purchase policy, and suppliers compete for the retailer’s purchase. Since each supplier’s bidding strategy affects the other’s profit, a game theory approach is used to identify optimal bidding strategies. We prove the existence and uniqueness of a Nash solution. It is also shown that the competition between the supplier leads to a lower market clearing price, and as a result, the retailer benefits from it. Finally, we demonstrate the applicability of the obtained results by deriving optimal bidding strategies for power generator plants in the deregulated California energy market. Supported in part by RGC (Hong Kong) Competitive Earmarked Research Grants (CUHK4167/04E and CUHK4239/03E), a Distinguished Young Investigator Grant from the National Natural Sciences Foundation of China, and a grant from Hundred Talents Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences.