Asymmetric impacts of global risk appetite on the risk premium for an emerging market

This paper analyzes the impact of global risk appetite on the risk premium utilizing high-frequency data. Taking the Turkish economy as our laboratory, we find that the risk premium volatility responds only to a worsening in the risk appetite for the Turkish economy, which is a result that we do not observe for the other emerging markets. Then, we investigate the role of current account dynamics on this asymmetric effect, by focusing also on an economy with similar current account performance. The empirical results find supporting evidence for the role of current account dynamics on the estimated asymmetry.     

Robust designs for Haar wavelet approximation models

In this paper, we discuss the construction of robust designs for heteroscedastic wavelet regression models when the assumed models are possibly contaminated over two different neighbourhoods: G ₁ and G ₂ . Our main findings are: (1) A recursive formula for constructing D‐optimal designs under G ₁ ; (2) Equivalency of Q‐optimal and A‐optimal designs under both G ₁ and G ₂ ; (3) D‐optimal robust designs under G ₂ ; and (4) Analytic forms for A‐ and Q‐optimal robust design densities under G ₂ . Several examples are given for the comparison, and the results demonstrate that our designs are efficient. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

随机权函数半参数回归模型的导方差统计分析

在回归分析中,观测值的方差齐性只是一个基本的假定,在参数、半参数和非参数回归模型中关于异方差检验和估计问题已有很多研究.本文在冉昊和朱忠义(2004)讨论的半参数回归模型的基础上,用随机参数方法,讨论随机权函数半参数回归模型中的异方差检验问题,得到了方差齐性检验Score统计量,同时,当半参数模型存在异方差时,本文还给出了估计方差的方法.     

A note on levene's tests for equality of variances

Consider testing for equality variances in a one-way analysis of variance. Levene's test is the usual F-test for equality of means computed on psuedo-observations, which one defines as the absolute deviations of the data points from an estimate of the group ‘center’. We show that, asymptotically, Levene's test has the correct level whenever the estimate of group ‘center’ is an estimate of group median. This explains why published Monte-Carlo studies have found that Levene's original proposal of centering at the sample mean has the correct level only for symmetric distributions, while centering at the sample median has correct level even for asymmetric distributions. Generalizations are discussed.     

基于极大似然的异方差多正态总体均值的参数Bootstrap检验

本文考虑了异方差下多正态总体均值的检验问题。传统检验方法多为近似分布检验,且受总体数目及其样本量的影响较为严重,只有在总体数目较少、样本量适中或较大时才能很好的控制第一类错误。较近提出的参数bootstrap检验有效解决了在总体数目较多时检验的任意性,但在总体样本量都较小时,检验控制第一类错误倾向保守,或总体中存在个别样本量较少时犯第一类错误概率上升。本文从极大似然的角度推导出具有修正权重的极大似然检验统计量,并与bootstrap方法有效的结合,得到新的参数bootstrap检验方法。通过Monte Carlo模拟第一类错误和检验的势与Welch检验和广义F检验进行比较,结果表明本文提出的极大似然参数bootstrap检验在总体数目较多和存在小样本量时,均能很好地控制第一类错误,同时且有较好的势,适用范围更加广泛。     

Modelling lifetime data: a graphical approach

In this paper we point out the differences between the most common hazard-based models, such as the proportional hazards and the accelerated failure time models. We focus on the heteroscestaticity-across-individuals problem that cannot be accommodated by them, and give motivation and general ideas about more flexible formulations. We describe hybrid and extended models, which have the former models as particular cases, but keep enough flexibility to fit data with heteroscedasticity. We show that by considering simple graphical procedures it is easy to verify whether there is heteroscedasticity in the data, whether it is possible to describe it through a simple function of the covariates, and whether it is important to take it in account for the final fit. Real datasets are considered. Copyright © 1999 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

心率变异性的异方差特征研究

心率变异性数据具有非平稳和瞬时波动的特点,本文提出了采用自回归条件异方差(ARCH)分析方法分析这种波动.分析方法采用自回归移动平均模型消除序列的趋势和相关性,采用F检验法判断残差序列中是否存在ARCH效应,同时给出接受ARCH效应的概率.对充血性心衰竭病人和正常人的心率波动序列进行分析,两类人群ARCH特征接受概率及其变化率的统计值有较大差异,表明该方法可以区分不同的群体,为心电信息学研究提供了一种新的方法.     

戈德菲尔德匡特检验的推广

在大多数经济现象中,回归模型的随机扰动项并不具有同方差性,它可能随观察值的不同而变化。对这种异方差模型进行最小二乘估计,会产生严重的后果,因此研究异方差的检验方法具有重要意义。由于戈德菲尔德 匡特检验方法只适用于一个自变量,因此,本文对G Q检验进行了推广,说明在多变量的情况下,可以利用主成分对样本数据进行排序,从而解决了对多变量数据的排序问题,使戈德菲尔德 匡特异方差检验得到了推广,并举实例说明。     

Joint test for functional forms and heteroscedasticity with property sales and valuation data

This paper proposes an approach to jointly testing functional forms and heteroscedasticity within the general Box-Cox transformation framework. The approach is then applied to decide empirically the character of the residuals from regressions of properties' open market prices on their valuation.     

具有ARIMA(0,1,0)误差的非线性模型的异方差检验

本文讨论随机误差是 ARIMA( 0 ,1 ,0 )序列的非线性回归模型的异方差检验问题 .首先导出了检验的 score统计量 ,然后利用参数的正交变换 ,得到了调整的 score统计量 .最后 ,利用氯化物数据 ( Bates &Watts,1 988)说明了检验方法的应用