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1.
网络股泡沫大小测度研究 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
网络股泡沫是最能反映网络泡沫本质的表现形式,本文利用理性预期理论,构建了网络股泡沫大小的测度模型,说明网络股泡沫的存在,在此基础上确定了网络股泡沫大小的测度指标,并以雅虎公司股票为例对泡沫的大小进行了测度,结果符合网络泡沫的实际情况。 相似文献
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The expression of the continuous distribution function F(x) is obtained whenever % MathType!MTEF!2!1!+-% feaafeart1ev1aaatCvAUfeBSjuyZL2yd9gzLbvyNv2CaerbuLwBLn% hiov2DGi1BTfMBaeXafv3ySLgzGmvETj2BSbqefm0B1jxALjhiov2D% aebbfv3ySLgzGueE0jxyaibaiGc9yrFr0xXdbba91rFfpec8Eeeu0x% Xdbba9frFj0-OqFfea0dXdd9vqaq-JfrVkFHe9pgea0dXdar-Jb9hs% 0dXdbPYxe9vr0-vr0-vqpWqaaeaabiGaciaacaqabeaadaqaaqGaaO% qaaerbhv2BYDwAHbacfiGaa8xBaiaabIcacaWG4bGaaiilaiaadMha% caqGPaGaa8hiaiaab2dacaWFGaGaa8xraiaa-HcacaWFybGaa8hiai% aa-XhacaWFGaGaa8hEaiaa-bcacqGHKjYOcaWFGaGaa8hwaiaa-bca% cqGHKjYOcaWFGaGaa8xEaiaa-Lcaaaa!53EE!\[m{\rm{(}}x,y{\rm{)}} {\rm{ = }} E(X | x \le X \le y)\]is known. Moreover, we obtain the necessary and sufficient conditions so that any function m: 2 is the conditional expectation % MathType!MTEF!2!1!+-% feaafeart1ev1aaatCvAUfeBSjuyZL2yd9gzLbvyNv2CaerbuLwBLn% hiov2DGi1BTfMBaeXafv3ySLgzGmvETj2BSbqefm0B1jxALjhiov2D% aebbfv3ySLgzGueE0jxyaibaiGc9yrFr0xXdbba91rFfpec8Eeeu0x% Xdbba9frFj0-OqFfea0dXdd9vqaq-JfrVkFHe9pgea0dXdar-Jb9hs% 0dXdbPYxe9vr0-vr0-vqpWqaaeaabiGaciaacaqabeaadaqaaqGaaO% qaaiaadweacaGGOaGaamiwaerbhv2BYDwAHbacfiGaa8hiaiaacYha% caWFGaGaa8hEaiaa-bcacqGHKjYOcaWFGaGaa8hwaiaa-bcacqGHKj% YOcaWFGaGaa8xEaiaacMcaaaa!4D0D!\[E(X | x \le X \le y)\]of a random variable X with continuous distribution function. Furthermore, we relate m(x,y) to order statistics. 相似文献
4.
受Peng-中心极限定理的启发,本文主要应用G-正态分布的概念,放宽Peng-中心极限定理的条件,在次线性期望下得到形式更为一般的中心极限定理.首先,将均值条件E[X_n]=ε[X_n]=0放宽为|E[X_n]|+|ε[X_n]|=O(1/n);其次,应用随机变量截断的方法,放宽随机变量的2阶矩与2+δ阶矩条件;最后,将该定理的Peng-独立性条件进行放宽,得到卷积独立随机变量的中心极限定理. 相似文献
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This article reviews static and dynamic models of information aggregation in the literature. It highlights the key assumptions these models make, the results they obtain and the issues that still need to be explored to further our understanding of information aggregation in financial markets. 相似文献
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Complex dynamics in equilibrium asset pricing models with boundedly rational,heterogeneous agents
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We study a simple model based upon the Lucas framework where heterogeneous agents behave rationally in a fully intertemporal setting but do not know other investors' personal preferences, wealth or investment portfolios. As a consequence, agents initially do not know the equilibrium asset pricing function and must make guesses, which they update via adaptive learning with constant gain. We demonstrate that even in this simple environment the economy can, depending on parameters, exhibit either stable convergence to equilibrium, or chaotic dynamical behavior of asset prices and trading volume without converging to the rational expectations equilibrium of the Lucas model. This contradicts the assertion that the Lucas model is stable in the face of modest deviations from the strong assumptions required to compute the equilibrium. © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Complexity 19: 38–55, 2014 相似文献
7.
This paper presents an analysis of the combining mechanism for status information postulated by the mathematical formulation of the theory of status characteristics and expectation states. Six lemmas on the basic features of the combining mechanism are derived from the formulation and discussed. Further, four theorems that illustrate the implications of the particular combining mechanism for power and prestige orders are presented and proven. 相似文献
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Theofanis Sapatinas 《Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics》1995,47(3):447-459
The concept of the identifiability of mixtures of distributions is discussed and a sufficient condition for the identifiability of the mixture of a large class of discrete distributions, namely that of the power-series distributions, is given. Specifically, by using probabilistic arguments, an elementary and shorter proof of the Lüxmann-Ellinghaus's (1987,Statist. Probab. Lett.,5, 375–378) result is obtained. Moreover, it is shown that this result is a special case of a stronger result connected with the Stieltjes moment problem. Some recent observations due to Singh and Vasudeva (1984,J. Indian Statist. Assoc.,22, 93–96) and Johnson and Kotz (1989,Ann. Inst. Statist. Math.,41, 13–17) concerning characterizations based on conditional distributions are also revealed as special cases of this latter result. Exploiting the notion of the identifiability of power-series mixtures, characterizations based on regression functions (posterior expectations) are obtained. Finally, multivariate generalizations of the preceding results have also been addressed. 相似文献
10.
This paper is concerned with the analysis of a Nash equilibrium of a noncooperative game. It can be shown that, without complete information about the other players' objectives or interests, the group of players, as a whole, can reach a Nash equilibrium by adopting a class of adaptive expectation and dynamic adjustment processes. It is shown that, if the expectation and adjustment processes are made continuously, the stability of the overall dynamic process is independent of the specific mechanisms of the expectation and the adjustment, but depends on the properties of each player's objective or payoff function. If, however, expectation and adjustment processes are made at discrete time intervals, the stability of the discrete process depends on the speed of adjustment chosen by each player.This research was supported by ONR Contract No. N00014-75-C-0738. The authors are indebted to the referee for several valuable comments and suggestions for improvement. 相似文献