A Genetic Search for Exploiting a Fuzzy Preference Model of Portfolio Problems with Public Projects

When an organization solves a portfolio problem with public projects evaluated by multiple criteria, in which the economic dimension is not essential or not well characterized, the classical methods are not useful. We propose a non-linear preference model developed from normative Value Theory and using fuzzy sets to model some sources of imprecision. This model can be considered as a generalization of the classical approaches. However, the optimization problem is very complex in order to be solved with non-linear programming techniques. Therefore, the model is exploited by an evolutionary algorithm, able to achieve a strong improvement of the quality of solution.     

PPP项目中非完全利益群体的合作形成机制研究

协调政府与社会资本合作的利益分歧,进而实现个体理性向集体理性的趋同,这是纾解PPP项目合作困境的切入点之一。基于合作博弈理论,本文构建PPP项目非完全利益群体的合作形成机制,分析政府与社会资本间“合作共赢”的必要因素。研究表明,由政府与社会资本组成的PPP项目非完全利益群体,可在“理性-效用转移-有效协商”机制的协同作用下主动采取最优合作策略。其中,理性机制验证了政府与社会资本达成合作意向的前提,效用转移机制可实现二者之间的风险-收益对等,有效协商机制将达成政府与社会资本合作的帕累托均衡。     

Spectroscopic and theoretical investigation of molecular complexes of 2,4,6-trinitropyridine-1-oxide with some pyridine derivatives

Summary Stability constants and enthalpies of formation were determined forEDA complexes of 2,4,6-trinitropyridine-1-oxide (TNPO) with some pyridine bases. Energies of transition,hv _CT , calculated by the SCF MO CI-1 PPP method fit well the corresponding experimental data. Based on these results, geometries for the systems under study are proposed.

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Spektroskopische und theoretische Untersuchung von molekularen Komplexen des 2,4,6-Trinitropyridin-1-oxids mit einigen Pyridinderivaten

Zusammenfassung Es wurden Stabilitätskonstanten und Bildungsenthalpiewerte einigerEDA-Komplexe von 2,4,6-Trinitropyridin-1-oxid mit ausgewählten Pyridinbasen bestimmt. Dabei wurde eine gute Übereinstimnmung zwischen den Anregungsenergienhv _CT aus den UV-VIS-Spektren und den mit der SCF-MO-CI-1 PPP-Methode errechneten Werten gefunden. Es werden für die untersuchten Komplexe entsprechende Strukturen vorgeschlagen.

     

高速公路PPP项目股权结构、质量水平与VFM的关系研究

高速公路PPP项目属于具有经营收益的准经营性项目,政府制定有效的激励措施,可以鼓励项目公司发挥专业的建设和运营能力,提高项目质量和收益水平。本文以VFM作为政府绩效评价指标,通过构建完全信息静态博弈模型,研究了PPP项目股权结构、质量水平与VFM之间的关系,结果发现:虽然社会资本较多持有项目公司股份有助于提高VFM水平,但随着社会资本方股权比例的增加,项目质量水平在不断降低,所以政府应该将社会资本方的持股比例控制在一定范围内,在保证项目质量的同时达到VFM最大化,从而降低政府方风险,提高社会效益。在高速公路PPP项目中,政府应优化股权决策,激励项目公司改善项目质量和水平,为公私双方带来良好的绩效水平。     

企业自主研发与合作创新的风险测度及组合优化

企业在整合内部创新要素进行自主研发的同时,也会寻求外部创新资源进行合作创新,当前同时从事多个R&D项目已成为常见的企业经营活动,如何在不确定条件下分析多个R&D项目投资的策略选择及风险优化,对于企业的长期发展具有重要意义。根据企业是否采取合作创新策略,可将其R&D项目分为自主研发与合作创新两类,以项目的研发成功率和投资收益率代表技术风险和市场风险,分别测度自主研发与合作创新项目的风险特性,并在此基础上构建企业R&D项目投资组合优化模型,以在自主研发与合作创新项目之间进行权衡取舍。结果表明,企业对于自主研发与合作创新项目投资组合的最优投资权重,主要取决于这两类组合的期望收益率、收益率方差、期望成功率以及两组合之间的协方差。企业可基于关键参数制定出最优的R&D项目投资组合选择策略,合理分配资金以达到风险最小化的投资目标。     

不完全契约下政府实施公共品负担对私人部门行为选择影响机制研究

政府部门往往会承担公共品负担提高社会公共福利和满足社会诉求,私人部门在PPP项目建设运营中会采取机会主义行为损害政府部门利益和降低社会福利。本文运用演化博弈分析私人部门的机会主义行为演化机制。通过模型分析可得,当政府补贴系数低于一定程度时,私人部门采取机会主义行为的概率随着公共品负担强度的增加而增加;当政府实施公共品负担小于一定强度时,私人部门会随着政府补贴程度提高而不采取机会主义行为,而当公共品负担强度大于一定值时,政府补贴政策正相关性就被严重削弱;私人部门占据更多的利益分配比重,更有倾向采取机会主义行为。根据研究结果,政府部门应增强契约精神,公共品负担下,政府补贴并不能有效降低机会主义行为,而应完善监管机制和提升私人部门对项目收益的信心。     

Deposition of Ni<Subscript> 13</Subscript> and Cu<Subscript> 13</Subscript> clusters on Ni(111) and Cu(111) surfaces

The soft deposition of Ni₁₃ and Cu₁₃ clusters on Ni(111) and Cu(111) surfaces is studied by means of constant-energy molecular-dynamics simulations. The atomic interactions are described by the Embedded Atom Method. It is shown that the shape of the nickel clusters deposited on Cu(111) surfaces remains rather intact, while the copper clusters impacting on Ni(111) surfaces collapse forming double and triple layered products. Furthermore, it is found that for an impact energy of 0.5 eV/atom the structures of all investigated clusters show the lowest similarity to the original structures, except for the case of nickel clusters deposited on a Cu(111) surface. Finally, it is demonstrated that when cluster and substrate are of different materials, it is possible to control whether the deposition results in largely intact clusters on the substrate or in a spreading of the clusters. This separation into hard and soft clusters can be related to the relative cohesive energy of the crystalline materials.     

Estimation of investment project profitability in the modified Cantor-Lipman model

The profitability of investment projects in the modified Cantor-Lipman model is analyzed. The possibility of making lower estimates of the investment project profitability by searching for periodic trajectories is studied. The necessary and sufficient conditions for the existence of a trajectory with the period 2 are derived. The sufficient conditions ensuring the existence of a certain trajectory with the period 2 are derived in the form of explicit requirements on the investment project structure.