BP神经网络在上海住宅市场需求预测中的应用

人工神经网络是近期发展最快的人工智能领域研究成果之一 ,本文在介绍 BP神经网络的有关原理的基础上 ,建立了一个上海住宅市场的 BP神经网络模型 ,并通过该模型对上海住宅市场的需求进行了预测和分析 .分析结果表明人工神经网络方法在住宅市场需求预测中的应用是可行的并且是有效的 .     

恒载超声雾化制取金属粉末的改进方法

本文提出一种改进的超声雾化制取金属粉末方法。克服了因变幅杆负载变化所引起的粉末产率的周期变化，给出装置的框图及有关的参数和实验结果。     

A RAPID APPROXIMATION FOR PREDICTING THE HYDROCARBON DISCOVERY RATE: PART 1. ASSESSING THE ACCURACY

The hydrocarbon discovery prediction problem is important to firms having to make decisions about the deployment of scarce exploration resources. Traditional methods for estimating the discovery rate rely on the completion of time consuming simulation experiments. A rapid approximation that does not require the completion of simulation exists and has been shown to have some promise as a prediction tool. This paper investigates the accuracy of the approximation method under a wide variety of distributional and drilling efficiency assumptions. The results indicate that the approximation produces predictions close to those of simulation under most of the tested conditions. This suggests that resource exploration firms could conveniently use the method for a wide variety of planning purposes without incurring the same costs in time and personnel required for simulation.     

基于多Agent的宏观经济智能预测决策支持系统研究

在分析智能决策支持系统的发展基础上，将人工智能思想，特别是Agent应用于构建智能宏观经济预测决策支持系统。提出面向任务的Agent设计思想，以任务为核心设计多种类型Agent共同完成预测决策任务，给出基于多Agent的系统组成结构，并给出系统中不同类型Agent的具体实现结构，同时探讨了整个系统的运行机制以及系统中多Agent之间的合作。整个系统的构建过程也是面向Agent的程序设计的过程。     

用遗传算法拟合电力系统负荷短期预测的非线性模型

本文运用遗传算法，根据河北省１９８５—１９９０年春节期间每小时用电量的统计数字，建立了非线性回归模型（Ｇｏｍｐｅｒｔｄｚ），结果表明，遗传算法性能良好，可望成为电力系统各种非线性模型辨识的有效手段。     

Extension of multivariate regression trees to interval data. Application to electricity load profiling

Summary  Several data can be presented as interval curves where intervals reflect a within variability. In particular, this representation is well adapted for load profiles, which depict the electricity consumption of a class of customers. Electricity load profiling consists in assigning a daily load curve to a customer based on their characteristics such as energy requirement. Within the load profiling scope, this paper investigates the extension of multivariate regression trees to the case of interval dependent (or response) variables. The tree method aims at setting up simultaneously load profiles and their assignment rules based on independent variables. The extension of multivariate regression trees to interval responses is detailed and a global approach is defined. It consists in a first stage of a dimension reduction of the interval response variables. Thereafter, the extension of the tree method is applied to the first principal interval components. Outputs are the classes of the interval curves where each class is characterized both by an interval load profile (e.g. the class prototype) and an assignment rule based on the independent variables.     

Parallelization of three-center electron repulsion integrals

The parallelization of the three-center electron repulsion integrals arising from the variational fitting of the Coulomb potential is presented. A scheme for dynamical load balancing of the corresponding loop structure is discussed. The implementation in the density functional theory program deMon using the message passing interface is described. The efficiency of the parallelization is analyzed by selected benchmark calculations     

基于新型核与灰度序列的时滞GM(1,N)模型及其应用

为了解决GM(1,N)模型在新型核与灰度的基础上,对驱动项的延迟作用机理不明确的问题,将时滞参数引入到GM(1,N)模型的驱动项中,构建了基于新型核与灰度的时滞GM(1,N)模型,分析了时滞参数的辨识方法,讨论了新模型的建模机理。为了更好地对该模型的有效性进行验证,将优化的时滞GM(1,N)模型对南京市的雾霾进行预测分析,选择GM(1,N)模型、一元回归模型与文中的优化模型进行对比。结果显示,优化模型对PM₁₀浓度的拟合精度更高,且误差均控制在5%之内,从而验证了提出的优化模型适用于具有时滞特征数据的模拟和预测。     

Fluid inertia effects in ferrofluid squeeze film between a sphere and a plate

On the ground of the ferrohydrodynamic model proposed by Shliomis  and , the present study investigates the influences of fluid inertia forces on the ferrofluid squeeze film between a sphere and a plate in the presence of external magnetic fields. According to the results, the effects of fluid inertia forces enhance the load capacity and prolong the approaching time for the ferrofluid sphere–plate system. Further numerical results for the load capacity are also provided in a table for engineering applications.     

灰色Verhulst神经网络组合预测区域空域流量

能够对区域空域的流量做出准确的预测,可以为空中交通管理部门协调航班运行,减缓空域内航路的拥堵提供重要依据.运用灰色Verhulst模型与神经网络的组合模型对区域航班流量进行预测,并结合华东地区飞行流量的数据样本训练并测试模型.结果显示,由组合模型得出的流量预测值与实际值较吻合,说明组合模型比单种预测方法能够更为准确地对区域空域流量做出预测.