排序方式: 共有142条查询结果,搜索用时 15 毫秒
1.
Dashan Huang Yoshitaka Kai Frank J. Fabozzi Masao Fukushima 《European Journal of Operational Research》2007
This paper presents a model for optimally designing a collateralized mortgage obligation (CMO) with a planned amortization class (PAC)-companion structure using dynamic cash reserve. In this structure, the mortgage pool’s cash flow is allocated by rule to the two bond classes such that PAC bondholders receive substantial prepayment protection, that protection being provided by the companion bondholders. The structure we propose provides greater protection to the PAC bondholders than current structures during periods of rising interest rates when this class of bondholders faces greater extension risk. We do so by allowing a portion of the cash flow from the collateral to be reserved to meet the PAC’s scheduled cash flow in subsequent periods. The greater protection is provided by the companion bondholders exposure to interest loss. To tackle this problem, we transform the problem of designing the optimal PAC-companion structure into a standard stochastic linear programming problem which can be solved efficiently. Moreover, we present an extended model by considering the quality of the companion bond and by relaxing the PAC bondholder shortfall constraint. Based on numerical experiments through Monte Carlo simulation, we show the utility of the proposed model. 相似文献
2.
We apply random matrix theory to compare correlation matrix estimators C obtained from emerging market data. The correlation matrices are constructed from 10 years of daily data for stocks listed on the Johannesburg stock exchange (JSE) from January 1993 to December 2002. We test the spectral properties of C against random matrix predictions and find some agreement between the distributions of eigenvalues, nearest neighbour spacings, distributions of eigenvector components and the inverse participation ratios for eigenvectors. We show that interpolating both missing data and illiquid trading days with a zero-order hold increases agreement with RMT predictions. For the more realistic estimation of correlations in an emerging market, we suggest a pairwise measured-data correlation matrix. For the data set used, this approach suggests greater temporal stability for the leading eigenvectors. An interpretation of eigenvectors in terms of trading strategies is given, as opposed to classification by economic sectors. 相似文献
3.
In this paper we study the problem of simultaneous minimization of risks, and maximization of the terminal value of expected funds assets in a stochastic defined benefit aggregated pension plan. The risks considered are the solvency risk, measured as the variance of the terminal fund’s level, and the contribution risk, in the form of a running cost associated to deviations from the evolution of the stochastic normal cost. The problem is formulated as a bi-objective stochastic problem of mean–variance and it is solved with dynamic programming techniques. We find the efficient frontier and we show that the optimal portfolio depends linearly on the supplementary cost of the fund, plus an additional term due to the random evolution of benefits. 相似文献
4.
David Edelman 《Annals of Operations Research》2007,151(1):325-336
The methodology of Support Vector Machine Methods is adapted in a straightforward manner to enable the analysis of stratified
outcomes such as horseracing results. As the strength of the Support Vector Machine approach lies in its apparent ability
to produce generalisable models when the dimensionality of the inputs is large relative to the the number of observations,
such a methodology would appear to be particularly appropriate in the horseracing context, where often the number of input
variables deemed as being potentially relevant can be difficult to reconcile with the scarcity of relevant race results. The
methods are applied to a relatively small (200 races in-sample) sample of Australian racing data and tested on 100 races out-of-sample
with promising results, especially considering the relatively large number (12) of input variables used. 相似文献
5.
In this paper we give definitions of matrix rates of return which do not depend on the choice of basis describing baskets. We give their economic interpretation. The matrix rate of return describes baskets of arbitrary type and extends portfolio analysis to the complex variable domain. This allows us for simultaneous analysis of evolution of baskets parameterized by complex variables in both continuous and discrete time models. 相似文献
6.
This paper completes a previous work on a Black and Scholes equation with stochastic volatility. This is a degenerate parabolic equation, which gives the price of a European option as a function of the time, of the price of the underlying asset, and of the volatility, when the volatility is a function of a mean reverting Orstein-Uhlenbeck process, possibly correlated with the underlying asset. The analysis involves weighted Sobolev spaces. We give a characterization of the domain of the operator, which permits us to use results from the theory of semigroups. We then study a related model elliptic problem and propose a finite element method with a regular mesh with respect to the intrinsic metric associated with the degenerate operator. For the error estimate, we need to prove an approximation result.
7.
Using five alternative data sets and a range of specifications concerning the underlying linear predictability models, we study whether long-run dynamic optimizing portfolio strategies may actually outperform simpler benchmarks in out-of-sample tests. The dynamic portfolio problems are solved using a combination of dynamic programming and Monte Carlo methods. The benchmarks are represented by two typical fixed mix strategies: the celebrated equally-weighted portfolio and a myopic, Markowitz-style strategy that fails to account for any predictability in asset returns. Within a framework in which the investor maximizes expected HARA (constant relative risk aversion) utility in a frictionless market, our key finding is that there are enormous difference in optimal long-horizon (in-sample) weights between the mean–variance benchmark and the optimal dynamic weights. In out-of-sample comparisons, there is however no clear-cut, systematic, evidence that long-horizon dynamic strategies outperform naively diversified portfolios. 相似文献
8.
By mixing concepts from both game theoretic analysis and real options theory, an investment decision in a competitive market can be seen as a “game” between firms, as firms implicitly take into account other firms’ reactions to their own investment actions. We review two decades of real option game models, suggesting which critical problems have been “solved” by considering game theory, and which significant problems have not been yet adequately addressed. We provide some insights on the plausible empirical applications, or shortfalls in applications to date, and suggest some promising avenues for future research. 相似文献
9.
A comprehensive note on: An inventory model under two levels of trade credit and limited storage space derived without derivatives 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
In 2006, Huang proposed an inventory model with two warehouses when the supplier offers the retailer a permissible delay of M periods, and the retailer also provides its customers a permissible delay of N periods. He then solved it without derivatives. In this note, we extend his model to complement the shortcomings of his model. In contrast to the complicated and tedious quadratic–algebraic method suggested by Huang, we propose a simple arithmetic–geometric method to solve the inventory problem. Finally, we run computer programs for several numerical examples to illustrate the proposed model and obtain some managerial implications. 相似文献
10.
We propose a structural credit risk model for consumer lending using option theory and the concept of the value of the consumer’s reputation. Using Brazilian empirical data and a credit bureau score as proxy for creditworthiness we compare a number of alternative models before suggesting one that leads to a simple analytical solution for the probability of default. We apply the proposed model to portfolios of consumer loans introducing a factor to account for the mean influence of systemic economic factors on individuals. This results in a hybrid structural-reduced-form model. And comparisons are made with the Basel II approach. Our conclusions partially support that approach for modelling the credit risk of portfolios of retail credit. 相似文献