The harmonic consistency index for the analytic hierarchy process

A new consistency measure, the harmonic consistency index, is obtained for any positive reciprocal matrix in the analytic hierarchy process. We show how this index varies with changes in any matrix element. A tight upper bound is provided for this new consistency measure when the entries of matrix are at most 9, as is often recommended. Using simulation, the harmonic consistency index is shown to give numerical values similar to the standard consistency index but it is easier to compute and interpret. In addition, new properties of the column sums of reciprocal matrices are obtained.     

拟协调元的精度分析

利用双参数有限元的框架，证明利用拟协调元方法构造的非协调三角形板元都具有一个非常特殊的性质。即相容误差比插值误差高一阶。这是常规有限元和一般非协调元所不具备的。     

嵌套病例对照研究中的两步估计方法（英）

本文讨论嵌套病例对照研究中相对危险率的估计问题，引入了相对危险率的两步估计，并在一般嵌套病例对照抽样的假设下讨论了相对危险率的两步估计的相合性问题，最后给出了几个例子。     

Improving weighted information criterion by using optimization

Although artificial neural networks (ANN) have been widely used in forecasting time series, the determination of the best model is still a problem that has been studied a lot. Various approaches available in the literature have been proposed in order to select the best model for forecasting in ANN in recent years. One of these approaches is to use a model selection strategy based on the weighted information criterion (WIC). WIC is calculated by summing weighted different selection criteria which measure the forecasting accuracy of an ANN model in different ways. In the calculation of WIC, the weights of different selection criteria are determined heuristically. In this study, these weights are calculated by using optimization in order to obtain a more consistent criterion. Four real time series are analyzed in order to show the efficiency of the improved WIC. When the weights are determined based on the optimization, it is obviously seen that the improved WIC produces better results.     

污染数据线性回归模型参数估计的两个问题

研究了简单回归模型中响应变量在某一时刻受到另一随机变量序列污染时,模型参数和污染系数的估计方法及其相合性与渐近正态性,并证明了第Ⅰ类污染数据回归模型在假定22σ=l221σ(其中21σ和22σ未知,l2已知)下,其参数的矩估计不存在.     

基于乘性模糊互补判断矩阵的FAHP

根据乘性一致性的定义,从人的主观判断与其权重的函数关系出发,获得了乘性模糊互补判断矩阵的元素表达式,论证了利用乘性模糊互补判断矩阵求取因素相对权重的可行性,最后给出了一种基于乘性一致模糊判断矩阵的排序方法.从而使得乘性模糊互补判断矩阵的应用的理论基础更加坚实.     

ON THE CONSISTENCY OF CROSS-VALIDATION IN NONLINEAR WAVELET REGRESSION ESTIMATION

1IntroductionConsidernonparametricregressiollwherextli=;E[O,1],En1,.',Ejl1larei.d.d.errorswitl11llea11o,a11dgisanunkl1ownfunctiontobeestimated-Nouparametricregressionestil11ationaimstoesti111atetl1euukllow11regressionfunctiong(x).Tl1enolllinearwaveletesti111atorshavebeenintroducedalldstudiedbyDonoho(1995).DonohoandJohnstoue(1994,1995).Do11oho,Johnstolle-KerkyachariallandPicard(1995)andDelyollandJuditsky(l996).Tl1eseauthorshavedenlo11stratedthevirtuesofllonlineaxwaveletmetl1odsf1o1llthev…     

Characterizing properties of approximate solutions for optimization problems

Approximate solutions for optimization problems become of interest if the ‘true’ optimum cannot be found: this may happen for the simple reason that an optimum does not exist or because of the ‘bounded rationality’ (or bounded accuracy) of the optimizer. This paper characterizes several approximate solutions by means of consistency and additional requirements. In particular we consider invariance properties. We prove that, where the domain contains optimization problems without maximum, there is no non-trivial consistent solution satisfying non-emptiness, translation and multiplication invariance. Moreover, we show that the class of ‘satisficing’ solutions is obtained, if the invariance axioms are replaced with Chernoff’s Choice Axiom.     

非线性再生散度模型的渐近性质

对非线性再生散度模型,给出了类似于Ｆａｈｒｍｅｉｒ＆Ｋａｕｆｍａｎｎ（１９８５）和Ｗｅｉ（１９９８）的正则条件．基于这些正则条件,证明了最大似然估计的存在性、强相合性和渐近正态性,推广了已有文献的工作．