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1.
William J. Reed 《Natural Resource Modeling》1989,3(4):463-480
It is assumed that the probability of destruction of a biological asset by natural hazards can be reduced through investment in protection. Specifically a model, in which the hazard rate depends on both the age of the asset and the accumulated invested protection capital, is assumed. The protection capital depreciates through time and its effectiveness in reducing the hazard rate is subject to diminishing returns. It is shown how the investment schedule to maximize the expected net present value of the asset can be determined using the methods of deterministic optimal control, with the survival probability regarded as a state variable. The optimal investment pattern involves “bang-bang-singular” control. A numerical scheme for determining jointly the optimal investment policy and the optimal harvest (or replacement) age is outlined and a numerical example involving forest fire protection is given. 相似文献
2.
基于突变论的林火蔓延分析 总被引:8,自引:0,他引:8
在对森林火灾进行能量和质量守恒分析的基础上,把尖点突变模型应用于森林火灾蔓延的预测,使突变理论在 森林火灾的模型中从理论上有了初步的应用。文中计算了林火发生突变时的一些分歧点,分析了林火突变的特点和变化规 律。 相似文献
3.
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5.
R.-L. Yun Y.-M. Chang C.-H. Lin K.-H. Hu C.-M. Shu 《Journal of Thermal Analysis and Calorimetry》2006,85(1):107-113
In industrial processes, information
on the safety property of chemicals is essentially crucial for safe handling
during unit operations. Ensuring the safe use of combustible or flammable
substances in processes is unlikely without detailed investigations of their
flammability characteristics and related hazards. We studied 3-methyl pyridine
(3-picoline), e.g., flammability limits (LFL/UFL), maximum explosion pressure
(P
max), maximum
explosion pressure rise (dP/dt)max, minimum oxygen concentration
(MOC), vapor deflagration index (K
g),
and characterized the influence of inert steam (H2O)
on critical parameters for 3-picoline/water mixtures at 270°C, 1 atm,
various oxygen concentrations, and vapor mixing ratios (100/0, 30/70, 10/90
and 5/95 vol.%) with a 20-L-Apparatus in simulated conditions, respectively.
The results showed that the flammability characteristics
of 3-picoline(aq) all increased with the oxygen concentration.
However, as the composition of inert steam increased, the flammability parameters
and the degree of fire and explosion hazards were significantly reduced, instead.
This study elucidated the flammability properties of 3-picoline mixed with
inert steam. The conclusions could be applied to proactively prevent the relevant
processes from incurring fire and explosion accidents. 相似文献
6.
Junfeng Xiao Yuan Hu Ling Yang Lei Song Weicheng Fan 《Polymer Degradation and Stability》2006,91(9):2093-2100
The fire retardant efficiency of melamine (MA) and triphenyl phosphate (TPP) in poly(butylene terephthalate) (PBT) was studied by the limiting oxygen index (LOI) and the UL94 test. On adding 10 wt. % MA and 20 wt. % TPP, LOI increased from 20.9 to 26.6 and the UL94 V-0 rating was achieved. SEM and DSC analyses show that the fire retardants are compatible with PBT and facilitate crystallization of PBT. The occurrence of an interaction between MA + TPP and PBT was elucidated by TGA, dynamic FTIR, and pyrolysis/GC/MS. MA + TPP changes the degradation path of PBT and modifies the compositions of the gas and condensed-phase products. 相似文献
7.
8.
深层高温油藏在开采过程中,由于近井地带压力变化剧烈,地层水蒸发致使结晶盐析出,进而导致储层孔隙度、渗透率降低.为研究稠油油藏高温盐析调剖的孔渗变化规律,根据盐类溶解/沉淀原理及储层孔隙度渗透率关系和填砂管模型高温盐析实验结果,建立了考虑地层水蒸发、水中氯化钠析出和储层孔渗变化的综合盐析模型.研究结果表明:随着堵剂注入量... 相似文献
10.
为了实现装甲装备灭火系统故障的快速诊断,提出了一种故障树模块化分析方法;对灭火系统故障树进行深度优先最左遍历,并记录遍历过程,按照遍历顺序对故障树中的每个事件进行标定,并将灭火系统故障树划分为相互独立的模块,依据划分的模块可以通过故障现象对模块内的故障进行排查及修复;实验结果分析表明,该方法可以快速修复模块故障,恢复系统功能,简化了以往对灭火系统所有子事件遍历查错的繁琐过程。该方法同样可以计算故障模块的失效概率,并可以实现故障模块的整体更换,恢复系统性能;证明了故障树模块化方法在灭火系统故障诊断中具有较高的效率,简化了灭火系统诊断流程,在装甲车辆其他系统故障诊断中具有借鉴作用,符合现代作战对于装备保障的需求。 相似文献