Possible triggering of solar activity to big earthquakes (Ms ≥ 8) in faults with near west-east strike in China

A big earthquake (Ms = 8.1) occurred at western Kunlun Mts gap on November 14, 2001. It is the biggest earthquake in China in the past 50 years and the only one with a magnitude bigger than 8 in China after Dangxiong Earthquake (M = 8) in Tibet in 1951. The big earthquake has drawn wide attention of scientists in seismological, geophysical, geological and astro-geodynamic circles. Scientists are interested in the occurrence regularity of the very big earthquakes and try to find out the fac…     

淫羊藿根与叶活性成分的分析和比较

采用细胞膜色谱法（ＣＭＣ）筛选，并结合离体药理实验确定主要活性成分，利用高效液相色谱法分析比较了淫羊藿根与叶中的活性成分及其差异性．色谱条件为Ｋｒｏｍａｓｉｌ ＯＤＳ 柱（１５０ ｍｍ× ４．６ ｍｍ．Ｉ．Ｄ ）流动相甲醇－水（７０：３０，Ｖ：Ｖ）；检测波长２７０ｎｍ。筛选发现淫羊藿根中的两个有效成分ＹＹＨ－２１４和ＹＹＨ－２１６对血管有较强的舒张作用，表明活性成分在ＣＭＣ模型体系中的保留特性与药理作用之间存在良好的相关性。在此色谱条件下淫羊藿叶未检测到这两种活性成分．     

A preliminary study of post-seismic effects of radon following the Ms 8.0 Wenchuan earthquake

The observation data for radon from national geochemical observation points have been collected and analyzed following the Ms 8.0 Wenchuan earthquake on 12th May, 2008 and a post-seismic effect of radon was observed. It has provided the most abundant record since the radon observation network had been set up in china. In this paper, the behaviour of the post-seismic effects of radon gas and water radon is reported. The results were obtained that observation points recording post-seismic effects of radon release were distributed mainly along the extended line of Longmenshan faults, and located on the boundary faults of regional tectonic blocks (Category II) and inside some tectonic blocks (Category II). The pattern of variation in radon emission observed was largely in the form of rising steps. A comparison was made with the variation of water level and flow observed simultaneously with radon measurement, to investigate a dynamic link with post-seismic radon with underground water conditions. This study confirmed a response of radon concentration to the seismic wave, and also raised other scientific issues, such as the dynamic association between geochemical composition of underground water and medium parameter variation of aquifers under dynamic loading, which may support the study of the mechanism of earthquake precursors of radon.     

Anomalous change of groundwater radon concentration monitored at Nakaizu well in 2011

An anomalous increase in radon concentration was measured at the Nakaizu observatory on the Izu Peninsula prior to the 2011 Tohoku earthquake using a custom-made radon counter. Since the increase was more than three times the standard deviation of radon concentration variations over 35 years of recorded data, it is considered likely that it is a precursor to the earthquake. Following the earthquake, the radon concentration decreased exponentially to the background level. The anomalous increase is explained using a modified volatilization model containing three important aquifer parameters: the groundwater saturation ratio, the fracture surface area per unit volume, and the porosity. The modified model can also explain the radon concentration behavior prior to the 1978 Izu-Oshima-Kinkai earthquake.     

Selectivity of seismic electric signal (SES) of the 2000 Izu earthquake swarm: a 3D FEM numerical simulation model

Although seismic electric signal (SES) has been used for short-term prediction of earthquakes, selectivity of SES still remains as one of the mysterious features. As a case study, we made a numerical simulation based on a 3D finite element method (FEM) on the selectivity of SES observed in the case of the 2000 Izu earthquake swarm. Our numerical results indicated that the existence of conductive channel under Niijima island could explain the reported SES selectivity.     

基于PI法的门源MS6.4地震前震中附近地震热点图像异常变化研究

基于1980年以来青海省和甘肃省区域地震台网的定位地震目录,分析了研究区最小完备震级,选取空间网格尺度为0.2°×0.2°、地震活动异常学习时间段和预测时间段均为3 a,应用图像信息（PI）法,分析了门源M_S6.4地震发生前震中附近地震热点图像的异常变化过程。结果表明,在2013年1月1日至2016年1月1日的预测时间窗内,冷龙岭断裂和祁连山北缘断裂附近存在明显的地震热点,且地震热点图像颜色偏深,发震概率较高,向前滑动至2014年1月1日至2017年1月1日,2015年1月1日至2018年1月1日和2016年1月1日至2019年1月1日3个预测时间窗,此两断裂附近仍存在地震热点,地震热点图像颜色逐渐由深变浅,而门源M_S6.4地震就落在PI法得到的地震热点内。门源M_S6.4地震前存在明显的地震热点,且地震热点相对集中,地震热点图像颜色由深变浅,震后消失;在祁连山北缘断裂附近,地震热点持续存在,分布较集中,地震热点图像颜色也呈由深变浅的过程。未来需关注祁连山北缘断裂,附近有发生强震的可能。     

双曲冷却塔塔筒水平地震响应分析

为明确冷却塔在水平地震下的内力环向分布特征及内在原因,同时探究不同地震波时程与规范反应谱所得内力差异的原因,以某大型双曲冷却塔为例,在动力特性分析的基础上,通过反应谱方法和时程方法的水平地震响应计算及对比分析,对上述两个问题进行了研究。研究表明:由于仅侧弯振型对水平地震有贡献,而塔筒的侧弯振型和实际响应均表现为整体侧倾并伴随微弱的截面“流动”变形,这也使塔筒各内力的环向分布分别呈现正弦、余弦分布特征;其整体侧倾可类比于悬臂杆结构,塔筒子午向轴力FY、子午向弯矩MY、剪力FXY和扭矩MXY的环向分布可借助悬臂杆侧倾时截面正应力和剪应力分布来解释;而截面“流动”变形则决定了环向轴力FX和环向弯矩MX的环向分布;整体侧移显著而截面变形极小也使FY和FXY的幅值在塔筒中下部明显大于FX;由于冷却塔第1阶侧弯振型在水平地震响应中往往起绝对主导作用,因此可先对所选地震波计算得到其反应谱,对比第1阶侧弯振型周期对应的水平地震影响系数α值,即可初步推断不同时程及规范反应谱方法所得结果的大小关系。     

明代生命损失型地震的时空分布特征及成因分析

利用史料记录建立了明代生命损失型地震的数据库,构建生命损失型地震等级序列、10 a尺度上生命损失型地震的频次序列和县次序列,再现明代生命损失型地震的时空分布特征,探讨了生命损失型地震发生及导致人口死亡的时空差异原因。结果表明：（1）从明初到明末,生命损失型地震等级强度有逐渐扩大的趋势。（2）明代前期处于生命损失型地震发生较少的稳定时期;明代中后期处于生命损失型地震发生较多的波动时期。明代生命损失型地震发生频次存在明显的周期性变化特征。（3）生命损失型地震在明代大部分区域皆有分布。灾害重心随时间变化发生移动,由西南到中部再到华北、华东。（4）明代地震频繁的原因除地球本身因素外,太阳活动通过影响气候变化,进而间接影响地壳活动。气候寒冷与干旱和地震有较好的对应关系。明代后期生命损失型地震导致死亡人数大量增加,与明代经济发展,人口密度逐渐增长有关;不同地区生命损失型地震导致的死亡人数不同,且死亡人数与地震频发地区是否处于板块之间的活动构造带和人口分布密度有关。     

Unusual Surface Latent Heat Flux Variations and Their Critical Dynamics Revealed before Strong Earthquakes

We focus on the possible thermal channel of the well-known Lithosphere–Atmosphere–Ionosphere Coupling (LAIC) mechanism to identify the behavior of thermal anomalies during and prior to strong seismic events. For this, we investigate the variation of Surface Latent Heat Flux (SLHF) as resulting from satellite observables. We demonstrate a spatio-temporal variation in the SLHF before and after a set of strong seismic events occurred in Kathmandu, Nepal, and Kumamoto, Japan, having magnitudes of 7.8, 7.3, and 7.0, respectively. Before the studied earthquake cases, significant enhancements in the SLHF were identified near the epicenters. Additionally, in order to check whether critical dynamics, as the signature of a complex phenomenon such as earthquake preparation, are reflected in the SLHF data, we performed a criticality analysis using the natural time analysis method. The approach to criticality was detected within one week before each mainshock.     

FEEDBACK CONTROL OPTIMIZATION FOR SEISMICALLY EXCITED BUILDINGS

A feedback control optimization method of partially observable linear structures via stationary response is proposed and analyzed with linear building structures equipped with control devices and sensors. First, the partially observable control problem of the structure under horizontal ground acceleration excitation is converted into a completely observable control problem. Then the It6 stochastic differential equations of the system are derived based on the stochastic averaging method for quasi-integrable Hamiltonian systems and the stationary solution to the Fokker-Plank-Kolmogorov （FPK） equation associated with the It6 equations is obtained. The performance index in terms of the mean system energy and mean square control force is established and the optimal control force is obtained by minimizing the performance index. Finally, the numerical results for a three-story building structure model under E1 Centro, Hachinohe, Northridge and Kobe earthquake excitations are given to illustrate the application and the effectiveness of the proposed method.