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1.
Chou  JieMing  Dong  WenJie  Feng  GuoLin 《科学通报(英文版)》2011,56(13):1333-1335
A method is introduced in this paper to study the effect of future climatic change on the economy. The researchers determine the economic output of climate change from historical data, and provide a method to quantitatively predict economic output of climate change by an economic-climatic model. A historical reciprocating examination is used to analyze output data for various crops in eight agricultural areas in China and meteorological data from 160 observatories in China from 1980 to 2000. The results show that the methods used are reasonable to a certain extent and good in application.  相似文献   
2.
Changes in the daily maximum (Tmax) and minimum (Tmin) surface air temperatures and the associated temperature extremes have severe consequences on human society and the natural environment. In this study, we assess vegetation effects on mean Tmax and Tmin over China by computing a vegetation feedback parameter using the satellite-sensed Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and observed temperatures for the period 1982–2002. In all seasons, vegetation exerts a much stronger forcing on Tmax than on Tmin, and thus has a substantial effect on the diurnal temperature range (DTR) over China. Significant positive feedbacks on Tmax and the DTR occupy many areas of China with the feedback parameters exceeding 1°C (0.1 NDVI)–1, while significant negative effects only appear over the summertime climatic and ecological transition zone of northern China and some other isolated areas. Also, the vegetation feedbacks are found to vary with season. In areas where significant feedbacks occur, vegetation contributes to typically 10%–30% of the total variances in Tmax, Tmin, and the DTR. These findings suggest that vegetation memory offers the potential for improving monthly-to-seasonal forecasting of Tmax and Tmin, and the associated temperature extremes over China. Meanwhile, the limitations and uncertainties of the study should be recognized.  相似文献   
3.
Construction of a novel economy-climate model   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
An attempt has been made to construct a novel economy-climate model by combining climate change research with agricultural economy research to evaluate the influence of global climate change on grain yields. The insertion of a climate change factor into the economic C-D (Cobb-Dauglas) production function model yields a novel evaluation model, which connects the climate change factor to the eco-nomic variation factor, and the performance and reasonableness of the novel evaluation model are also preliminarily simulated and verified.  相似文献   
4.
孔文婕  吕力  张殿琳  潘正伟 《中国物理》2005,14(10):2090-2092
The $1/f$ noise in multiwalled carbon nanotubes bundles has been investigated between the frequency range of 0.1 to 30 Hz. At room temperature the noise spectrum is standard 1/f, and its level is proportional to the square of the bias voltage. With decreasing temperature the noise level also decreases. At 4.2 K the noise level follows a non-monotonic dependence against the bias voltage, showing a peak at a certain bias voltage, meanwhile its frequency dependence also deviates from the 1/f trend. This anomalous behaviour is discussed within the picture of environmental quantum fluctuation of charge transport in the samples.  相似文献   
5.
宏观-微观模型是核裂变机制理论研究的主要途径之一,是有希望可以很好诠释实验并与实验结果进行定量比较的理论方法.本文综述了在中子诱发锕系元素裂变的宏观-微观理论研究的主要进展.通过开展宏观-微观模型研究,实现了基于五维形变参量的势能曲面的真实计算,利用先进的搜索算法研究获得了核裂变路径、鞍点构型等势能曲面结构信息.基于五维势能曲面上的裂变动力学研究,实现了对主要锕系元素的裂变碎片质量分布数据的理论描述.  相似文献   
6.
应用全细胞膜片钳技术研究了胞外高钾对大鼠背根神经元(DRG)超极化电流(Ih)的影响.结果表明,Ih随着胞外钾离子浓度的增大而增大,同时随着外加刺激电压的增高而增强.当胞外钾离子浓度[Kext]为4,8和16mmol/L时,半数激活电压V1/2分别为-98±1.9,-106±1.3(p〈0.05)和-110±1.0mV(p〈0.05),其对应的最大电流的峰值分别为1085±340,1576±409和2124±614pA,与4mmol/L比较,后者分别增长了45%和92%.胞外高钾使,Ih激活曲线显著左移,说明高Kext改变了超极化电流的激活过程.提高细胞外钾离子浓度,可以使早期钾通道(又称快通道)的激活时间常数增大,使晚期钾通道(又称慢通道)激活时间常数减小.当胞外钾离子浓度由4mmol/L升高到8和16mmol/L时,翻转电位右移,但不具有显著性差异.结果提示,细胞外高浓度钾可增强大鼠背根神经元超极化电流,Ih,改变Ih的激活过程,从而提高了神经元的兴奋性,产生不正常的动作电位,对神经细胞产生损伤.  相似文献   
7.
A rapid and efficient synthesis of novel dendrimer homotriptycenes is presented. The dendronized 9,10-dihydroanthracen-9-ols 4, having high electron densities in the benzene rings of the Fréchet-type dendrons, exhibited in the presence of acid a quantitative transannular ring closure to the corresponding dendritic homotriptycenes. The electron-donating Fréchet-type dendrons enabled the intramolecular FC alkylation by a regioselective 1,7-elimination of H2O.  相似文献   
8.
We have used the China Homogenized Historic Temperature dataset and some long-term station series of the neighbor countries from CRUTEM3, a 5°×5° gridded dataset of monthly mean temperature since 1900, to provide a 107-year record of surface tem-perature trends and variability. We derived a comprehensive set of uncertainty estimates to accompany the data: measurement and sampling errors, uncertainties in temperature bias estimates, and uncertainties arising from limited observational coverage on large-scale averages have all been estimated. We reanalysed the temperature changes during the period of record. The best estimates of trends for 1900–2006 with uncertainties at 95% confidence range are about 0.09±0.017°C/decade for the year as a whole, and 0.14±0.021°C/decade, 0.11±0.021°C/decade, 0.04±0.017°C/decade, and 0.07±0.017°C/decade for winter, spring, summer and autumn respectively. For 1954–2006, the trends for annual, winter, spring, summer and autumn are: 0.26±0.032°C/decade, 0.35±0.046°C/decade, 0.25±0.051°C/decade, 0.16±0.037°C/decade and 0.22±0.055°C/decade. Winter saw the most significant warming trend in both 1900–2006 and 1954–2006, while during the most recent period (the satellite era, 1979–2006), all the seasons show similar warming trends: 0.45±0.13°C/decade, 0.51±0.11°C/decade, 0.52±0.16°C/decade, 0.37±0.10°C/decade and 0.50±0.16°C/decade for annual, winter, spring, summer and autumn. Trends arising from urbanization have been evaluated as less than 5% of the total warming trend for 1951–2001, so this bias was not removed.  相似文献   
9.
In this paper, we propose a construction of functions with low differential uniformity based on known perfect nonlinear functions over finite fields of odd characteristic. For an odd prime power q, it is proved that the proposed functions over the finite field Fq are permutations if and only if q≡3(mod 4).  相似文献   
10.
Gyrotrons are high powered coherent electromagnetic radiation sources, and are considered to be available powerful sources that have the potential to bridge the so-called terahertz gap. In the University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, a second harmonic gyrotron has been designed, manufactured, and tested. The gyrotron generated radiation at a 0.423 THz frequency in 5μs pulses with an 8.1 Tesla magnetic field, with a power per pulse of about 4.4 kW. To date this is the highest frequency recorded for vacuum electronic devices in China. The gyrotron design, operation and measurements are presented.  相似文献   
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