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基于组合权重的系统评价模型 总被引:13,自引:0,他引:13
提出了基于组合权重的系统评价新模型 ( CWSE) ,即 :直接根据评价指标样本数据集 ,用基于加速遗传算法的投影寻踪方法确定各评价指标的分类权重 ,用基于加速遗传算法的层次分析法确定各评价指标的排序权重 ,用加速遗传算法对各评价指标的分类权重和排序权重进行综合得到组合权重 ,然后以这些组合权重与各评价对象相应评价指标的标准化值进行加权平均 ,得到系统评价的综合指标值 ,据此可对各评价对象进行分类排序 .用 CW SE模型评价中国 30个区域 1995年开发度的结果表明 ,根据开发度的强弱可把这些区域分成 3个强开发区域、6个较强开发区域、10个中等开发区域和 11个弱开发区域 ;CWSE模型简便、通用 ,计算结果较为客观和稳定 ,为系统工程理论和实践提供了新的研究方法 . 相似文献
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Ju-liangZhang Xiang-sunZhang Yong-meiSu 《应用数学学报(英文版)》2004,20(4):557-572
In this paper, we analyze the global and local convergence properties of two predictor-corrector smoothing methods, which are based on the framework of the method in [1], for monotone linear complementarity problems (LCPs). The difference between the algorithm in [1] and our algorithms is that the neighborhood of smoothing central path in our paper is different to that in [1]. In addition, the difference between Algorithm 2.1 and the algorithm in [1] exists in the calculation of the predictor step. Comparing with the results in [1],the global and local convergence of the two methods can be obtained under very mild conditions. The global convergence of the two methods do not need the boundness of the inverse of the Jacobian. The superlinear convergence of Algorithm 2.1‘ is obtained under the assumption of nonsingularity of generalized Jacobian of Φ(x,y) at the limit point and Algorithm 2.1 obtains superlinear convergence under the assumption of strict complementarity at the solution. The efficiency of the two methods is tested by numerical experiments. 相似文献
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广义保险模型的破产概率问题研究 总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4
本文对于广义保险模型,利用鞅的表示性,随机Thiele微分方程,计数过程以及随机积分的有关理论,研究了保险的破产概率问题,得到了破产概率上界的理论形式以及Lunberg指数。 相似文献
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This paper addresses the simultaneous determination of pricing and inventory replenishment strate- gies under a fluctuating environment. Specifically, we analyze the single item, periodic review model. The demand consists of two parts: the deterministic component, which is influenced by the price, and the stochastic component (perturbation). The distribution of the stochastic component is determined by the current state of an exogenous Markov chain. The price that is charged in any given period can be specified dynamically. A replenishment order may be placed at the beginning of some or all of the periods, and stockouts are fully backlogged. Ordering costs that are lower semicontinuous, and inventory/backlog (or surplus) costs that are continuous with polynomial growth. Finite-horizon and infinite-horizon problems are addressed. Existence of optimal policies is established. Furthermore, optimality of (s,S,p)-type policies is proved when the ordering cost consists of fixed and proportional cost components and the surplus cost (these costs are all state-dependent) is convex. 相似文献
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如何合理确定综合评价函数是系统分析评价中的关键问题.目前,所采用的方法是单纯从"数学变换"的角度建立综合评价函数,没有考虑研究对象的实际含义.因此,探讨不同的综合评价函数方法具有重要意义.根据综合评价对象的实际含义,定义了联系函数的概念,在此基础上,通过对研究对象进行两次集对同异反分析,建立基于联系函数的系统综合评价模型.实例分析表明:基于联系函数的系统综合评价模型评价结果准确、合理、可信,具有推广应用价值. 相似文献
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在水库诱发地震综合风险评价指标体系建立的基础上,根据评价指标的物理含义及其对水库诱发地震的作用情况,建立了水库诱发地震综合风险评价等级标准.用基于加速遗传算法的模糊层次分析法确定水库诱发地震综合风险评价系统中各指标和各子系统的权重,建立了基于集对分析的水库诱发地震综合风险评价模型(SPA-IRAM).SPA-IRAM在克孜尔诱发地震综合风险评价中的应用结果表明:基于集对分析的级别特征值法和属性评判法的评价结果具有一致性和互补性,联合应用可保障SPA-IRAM评价结果的可靠性;该水库诱发地震综合风险评价等级接近于2到3级、介于弱险与中险之间,需要密切监测该水库所在地区的断层活动、水库周围断裂发育和库区岩层裂隙发育的情况,进一步提高水库所在地区人均GDP和水库所在地区钢筋混凝土房屋比例,降低第一产业产值在国民生产总值中的比重和水库所在地区砖木房屋比例.SPA-IRAM综合利用了评价指标、子系统和样本与评价等级标准间联系数的丰富的结构信息和层次信息,可从指标、子系统和样本3个层次定量地分析水库诱发地震综合风险的复杂状态,在水库诱发地震风险管理中具有重要意义. 相似文献