新疆灾害性地震环境因子预报判据的研究

本文在论述新疆灾害性地震的时空分布特征的基础上,主要对环境因子与新疆灾害性地震的关系进行了分析研究,通过大量的资料处理并采用多种方法的统计相关分析,在0.01或0.05的置信水平上通过相关检验,表明环境因子与新疆灾害性地震存在着某种内在联系,进而对新疆灾害性地震在不同时间段预报提出不同程度的预报判据。     

RESEARCH OF PREDICTION CRITERION FOR ENVIRONMENTAL FACTORS OF DISASTROUS EARTHQUAKES IN XINJIANG

In this paper, we studied the relationship between environmental factors and disastrousearthquakes of Xinjiang based on the characteristics of time--space distribution of disastrousearthquakes. Through a great deal of data handling and several statistic correlation analyses,the method has passed the correlation test on the confidence level of α= 0.01 or 0. 05, whichshows a certain relation between environmental factors and disastrous earthquakes, thus theprediction criterion for disastrous earthquakes with different scales in different time inter-vals is put forward.