民族地区绿色物流发展对策研究

要加快我国民族地区发展,应不断探索适合民族地区经济、社会与人口资源环境相协调的开发模式.绿色物流业应该成为民族地区经济发展的优先选择.在分析了民族地区绿色物流的发展现状及差距的基础上,从社会物流和企业物流两个方面提出促进民族地区绿色物流发展的具体对策.     

鄱阳湖区洪水灾害损失与社会经济发展关系的研究

该文分析了鄱阳湖区社会经济发展现状,并绘制了1995~2004年10年间GDP增长曲线图.结果表明,一次特大型或偏大型洪水对湖区内的社会经济发展产生较大的影响;运用洪水灾害损失评估模型计算出洪水灾害损失值,并绘制洪水灾害损失增长曲线图和洪水灾害损失与GDP比值曲线图,经分析得出防洪能力的提高可以减少洪水灾害的相对经济损失,而且当防洪能力提高到一定程度后,洪水灾害绝对经济损失也可能得到控制.然后,运用皮尔曲线得出典型洪水灾害直接经济损失增长曲线.     

Passenger management strategy and evacuation in subway station under Covid-19

Under the background of Covid-19 sweeping the world, safe and reasonable passenger flow management strategy in subway stations is an effective means to prevent the spread of virus. Based on the social force model and the minimum cost model, the movement and path selection behavior of passengers in the subway station are modeled, and a strategy for passenger flow management to maintain a safe social distance is put forward. Take Qingdao Jinggangshan Road subway station of China as the simulation scene, the validity of the simulation model is verified by comparing the measured value and simulation value of the time required for passengers from getting off the train to the ticket gate. Simulation results indicate that controlling the time interval between incoming passengers at the entrance can effectively control the social distance between passengers and reduce the risk of epidemic infection. By comparing the evacuation process of passengers under different initial densities, it is found that the greater the initial density of passengers is, the longer the passengers are at risk social distance. In the process of passenger emergency evacuation, the stairs/escalators and ticket gates are bottleneck areas with high concentration of passenger density, which should be strictly disinfected many times on the basis of strictly checking the health code of incoming passengers and controlling the arrival time interval. The simulation results of this paper verify the harmfulness of passenger emergency evacuation without protective measures, and provide theoretical support for the operation and management of subway station under the epidemic situation.     

Epistemic Communities under Active Inference

The spread of ideas is a fundamental concern of today’s news ecology. Understanding the dynamics of the spread of information and its co-option by interested parties is of critical importance. Research on this topic has shown that individuals tend to cluster in echo-chambers and are driven by confirmation bias. In this paper, we leverage the active inference framework to provide an in silico model of confirmation bias and its effect on echo-chamber formation. We build a model based on active inference, where agents tend to sample information in order to justify their own view of reality, which eventually leads to them to have a high degree of certainty about their own beliefs. We show that, once agents have reached a certain level of certainty about their beliefs, it becomes very difficult to get them to change their views. This system of self-confirming beliefs is upheld and reinforced by the evolving relationship between an agent’s beliefs and observations, which over time will continue to provide evidence for their ingrained ideas about the world. The epistemic communities that are consolidated by these shared beliefs, in turn, tend to produce perceptions of reality that reinforce those shared beliefs. We provide an active inference account of this community formation mechanism. We postulate that agents are driven by the epistemic value that they obtain from sampling or observing the behaviours of other agents. Inspired by digital social networks like Twitter, we build a generative model in which agents generate observable social claims or posts (e.g., ‘tweets’) while reading the socially observable claims of other agents that lend support to one of two mutually exclusive abstract topics. Agents can choose which other agent they pay attention to at each timestep, and crucially who they attend to and what they choose to read influences their beliefs about the world. Agents also assess their local network’s perspective, influencing which kinds of posts they expect to see other agents making. The model was built and simulated using the freely available Python package pymdp. The proposed active inference model can reproduce the formation of echo-chambers over social networks, and gives us insight into the cognitive processes that lead to this phenomenon.     

新营销视域下的高校图书馆阅读推广新模式

从5个方面比较了传统营销和新营销的理念，介绍了新营销理念指导下高校图书馆单独推广和联合推广的典型策略，列举了广西民族大学近年来所进行的阅读推广活动。     

古典社会契约论的现代性剖析

任何哲学都是属于它那个时代的,但任何哲学都无不深刻地影响着以后的时代。现代性的标志之一就是人的关系从身份走向契约,社会契约论与现代世界有许多契合点。从现代性的角度看,所有社会契约思想具有两个共同特征：个人主义和主体间性意志主义。这使得社会契约论既为现代性的制度构建奠定了基础,又为批判精神的产生准备了条件。从现代性的视角也可以阐释近代社会契约论展开的逻辑起点、推演思路和基本理论观点。这些可能就是社会契约论思想在当代兴起的缘由所在。     

高校图书馆服务地方经济文化的可行性——以河西学院图书馆为例

以河西学院图书馆为例,从专业人才优势、文献资源优势、技术设备优势3方面探讨了高校图书馆服务为地方经济、文化服务的可行性,提出了高校图书馆服务为地方经济、文化服务的具体措施。     

四卡问题的新视角——社会契约理论

Cosmides所提出的社会契约理论表明,人的推理能力具有领域特殊性的和内容依赖性。这不仅挑战了传统的推理假设,更以一种超越常规的方式促进了心理学特别是认知和发展心理学的发展。     

我国农村应用现代信息技术的阶段性特征聚类分析

参考有关学者提出的我国农村信息化测度指标体系原则,结合可得到的可用数据,以直接简明的指标,运用主成分聚类方法,对我国农村应用现代信息技术的阶段性特征进行聚类分析,得出从1995—2009年我国农民应用现代信息技术的阶段性演变分类结果,说明国家政策和农村经济状况对农民应用现代信息技术的程度影响显著,可为我国农民家庭应用现代信息技术持续发展的整体水平推进提供参考,以便为促进农村经济社会发展发挥作用。     

公共图书馆如何应对社会老龄化的挑战

简述了我国人口老龄化的特点,分析了人口老龄化在服务对象和事业经费等方面给我国公共图书馆事业发展带来的挑战,指出图书馆应在资源配置、资源共享、发展规划以及政策法规方面采取相应对策,促进图书馆事业的健康发展.