On effectiveness of wiretap programs in mapping social networks

Snowball sampling methods are known to be a biased toward highly connected actors and consequently produce core-periphery networks when these may not necessarily be present. This leads to a biased perception of the underlying network which can have negative policy consequences, as in the identification of terrorist networks. When snowball sampling is used, the potential overload of the information collection system is a distinct problem due to the exponential growth of the number of suspects to be monitored. In this paper, we focus on evaluating the effectiveness of a wiretapping program in terms of its ability to map the rapidly evolving networks within a covert organization. By running a series of simulation-based experiments, we are able to evaluate a broad spectrum of information gathering regimes based on a consistent set of criteria. We conclude by proposing a set of information gathering programs that achieve higher effectiveness then snowball sampling, and at a lower cost. Maksim Tsvetovat is an Assistant Professor at the Center for Social Complexity and department of Public and International Affairs at George Mason University, Fairfax, VA. He received his Ph.D. from the Computation, Organizations and Society program in the School of Computer Science, Carnegie Mellon University. His dissertation was centered on use of artificial intelligence techniques such as planning and semantic reasoning as a means of studying behavior and evolution of complex social networks, such as these of terrorist organizations. He received a Master of Science degree from University of Minnesota with a specialization in Artificial Intelligence and design of Multi-Agent Systems, and has also extensively studied organization theory and social science research methods. His research is centered on building high-fidelity simulations of social and organizational systems using concepts from distributed artificial intelligence and multi-agent systems. Other projects focus on social network analysis for mapping of internal corporate networks or study of covert and terrorist orgnaizations. Maksim’s vita and publications can be found on Kathleen M. Carley is a professor in the School of Computer Science at Carnegie Mellon University and the director of the center for Compuational Analysis of Social and Organizational Systems (CASOS) which has over 25 members, both students and research staff. Her research combines cognitive science, social networks and computer science to address complex social and organizational problems. Her specific research areas are dynamic network analysis, computational social and organization theory, adaptation and evolution, text mining, and the impact of telecommunication technologies and policy on communication, information diffusion, disease contagion and response within and among groups particularly in disaster or crisis situations. She and her lab have developed infrastructure tools for analyzing large scale dynamic networks and various multi-agent simulation systems. The infrastructure tools include ORA, a statistical toolkit for analyzing and visualizing multi-dimensional networks. ORA results are organized into reports that meet various needs such as the management report, the mental model report, and the intelligence report. Another tool is AutoMap, a text-mining systems for extracting semantic networks from texts and then cross-classifying them using an organizational ontology into the underlying social, knowledge, resource and task networks. Her simulation models meld multi-agent technology with network dynamics and empirical data. Three of the large-scale multi-agent network models she and the CASOS group have developed in the counter-terrorism area are: BioWar a city-scale dynamic-network agent-based model for understanding the spread of disease and illness due to natural epidemics, chemical spills, and weaponized biological attacks; DyNet a model of the change in covert networks, naturally and in response to attacks, under varying levels of information uncertainty; and RTE a model for examining state failure and the escalation of conflict at the city, state, nation, and international as changes occur within and among red, blue, and green forces. She is the founding co-editor with Al. Wallace of the journal Computational Organization Theory and has co-edited several books and written over 100 articles in the computational organizations and dynamic network area. Her publications can be found at: http://www.casos.cs.cmu.edu/bios/carley/publications.php     

电子商务的应用及对企业的影响

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识别混凝土板内部缺陷的人工神经网络算法

以一维有缺陷混凝土板为研究对象，分别采用Leverberg-Marcluardt和径向基神经网络算法，对缺陷的深度与厚度进行识别，从而实现对混凝土板内部缺陷的三维重构，称为红外CT模拟．两类神经网络算法的识别结果表明：Leverberg-Marcluardt神经网络较径向基神经网络具有更好的收敛精度与计算效率．     

浅谈网络环境下高校图书馆信息资源建设

阐述了网络环境下高校图书馆信息资源建设存在的主要问题,探讨了网络环境对信息资源建设的影响,提出了信息资源建设的具体措施。     

开源软件在网络教育中的应用

论述了在教育领域中使用开源软件的必要性,介绍了几种应用于网络教育的开源软件,主要包括服务器软件、工作站软件和课程管理系统。     

网络股泡沫大小测度研究

网络股泡沫是最能反映网络泡沫本质的表现形式，本文利用理性预期理论，构建了网络股泡沫大小的测度模型，说明网络股泡沫的存在，在此基础上确定了网络股泡沫大小的测度指标，并以雅虎公司股票为例对泡沫的大小进行了测度，结果符合网络泡沫的实际情况。     

强流束晕-混沌的外部磁场开关控制

研究了强流离子束在周期聚焦磁场通道中束晕-混沌的外部磁场开关参数控制方法. 将该方法应用在多粒子模型中，实现了对5种不同初始分布质子束的束晕-混沌的有效控制，得到了消除束晕及其再生现象的理想结果.在强流加速器系统中，由于外部磁场是可测和可调 的物理量，因此该控制方法有利于实验研究，可为强流质子加速器中周期聚焦磁场的设计和实验提供参考. 关键词： 强流离子束 周期聚焦磁场通道 束晕_混沌 混沌控制 开 关控制     

神经网络法计算镉（Ⅱ）,羟基及碳酸根三元体系的形态分布

采用前馈线笥网络ＢＰ算法，计算了Ｃｄ６２＋－ＯＨ＾－ＣＯ＾２－３三元体系的累积稳定常数。用Ｈｏｐｆｉｅｌｄ反馈网络研究了体系中络合物的形态分布。溶液中溶解的ＣＯ２对ｌｇβ１的计算结果有重要影响，对ｌｇβ２，ｌｇβ３，ｌｇβ４的结果影响不大。     

Max—min神经网络的一种有效学习算法

本文在Ａ．Ｂｌａｎｃｏ等人的算法的基础上，提出了ｍａｘ－ｍｉｎ神经网络的一种改进了的反馈学习算法，严格证明了该算法的迭代收敛性，理论分析及实例计算结果均表明，本文算法具有算法简单，收敛速度快，输出误差小等显著特点。     

Intelligent Control Mechanism of Part Picking Operations of Automated Warehouse

This paper studies the part picking operations of a ut omated warehouse. It assumed the demand of picking orders of automated warehouse are dynamic generated. Once the picking orders of certain period of time are kn own, it is necessary to decide an efficient order picking sequence and routing t o minimize the total travel distance to complete those orders. Assumed there are n i items to be picked in order O i. Each item in the picking ord er is located in different locations in the warehouse. Since i...