基于模糊数学的计算机性能评价和销售预测的研究

根据模糊数学理论,运用模糊意见集中评价和模糊综合评价方法,计算机性能评价和销售预测进行研究,为评价差别不是很明显和含有多种因素的事物,提供了科学有效的方法.     

Public Attitudes Toward Nanotechnology

Data from 3909 respondents to an Internet survey questionnaire provide the first insights into public perceptions of nanotechnology. Quantitative analysis of statistics about agreement and disagreement with two statements, one positive and the other negative, reveals high levels of enthusiasm for the potential benefits of nanotechnology and little concern about possible dangers. The respondents mentally connect nanotechnology with the space program, nuclear power, and cloning research, but rate it more favorably. In contrast, they do not associate nanotechnology with pseudoscience, despite its imaginative exploitation by science fiction writers. Qualitative analysis of written comments from 598 respondents indicates that many ideas about the value of nanotechnology have entered popular culture, and it provides material for an additional 108 questionnaire items that can be used in future surveys on the topic. The findings of this exploratory study can serve as benchmarks against which to compare results of future research on the evolving status of nanotechnology in society.     

领导者的非权力性影响力探微

在领导者的领导活动中，既有权力性影响力，又有非权力性影响力。非权力性影响力是领导者在实施权力性影响力的同时，运用自身的品格、能力、知识、情感等对被领导者实施影响的行为。与权力性影响力使人“畏服”不同，非权力性影响力是以内驱动力形式服人；因而比权力性影响力要自然得多，广泛得多，也稳定得多。     

Iterative behaviour of generalized majority functions

Let us consider a society of n persons {P₁,…,P_n} with interaction coefficient a_ij between P_i and P_j. Let {θ₁,…,θ_p} be the set of opinions which may be assumed by any person. We study the dynamical behaviour of such a society under local majority rules.The results presented in this paper generalize many partial results previously obtained by several authors (Tchuente, 1977; Goles and Olivos, 1980; Poljak and Sura, 1982). Furthermore, by introducing algebraic invariants, analogous to those exhibited in Goles (1980) for the study of Boolean threshold functions, we provide a tool for a general approach of such dynamical models.     

Leaders and followers in mutual funds: A dynamic Bayesian approach

This article proposes a dynamic Bayesian framework to analyze the leadership relationships between mutual funds. To this end, a two‐step procedure is proposed. First, a Bayesian rolling window based on the Capital Asset Pricing Model is used to estimate the evolution of mutual funds' market exposure over time. Then, a vector autoregressive (VAR) model is used to analyze the leader‐follower relationship between pair of mutual funds. Several leadership measures are studied. An application to Spanish mutual funds is carried out. In addition, the study examines the determining factors of mutual fund leadership.     

组织系统中领导绩效因素动态分析

组织系统的领导绩效主要取决于行为绩效、成本绩效和组织绩效.在行为绩效保持平稳的状态下,结合投入成本和组织绩效的变化情况,构建连续时间的领导绩效动态模型,以最优领导绩效为目标,应用边际分析方法和最优控制方法,定量分析组织系统的主控因素对于领导绩效的影响度.在组织系统中寻求改进和完善领导绩效的最优路径.     

浅析美国大众媒体对司法办案的影响--以“罗德尼?金案”为例

“罗德尼·金案”是美国历史上最受争议的案件之一。原本证据确凿的案件却因大众媒体的介入，通过删减过的录像和偏离事实真相的报道误导民众，从而引发了一场前所未有的都市大暴乱，产生巨大的轰动效应和无法挽回的后果。这既充分显示出媒体和大众舆论对于司法审判的影响，又从侧面反映出美国社会中复杂的种族关系，多面的民主制度和日益突出的阶级问题。     

基于中文微博语料的情感倾向性分析

微博的兴起与传播使得短文本情感分类成为目前的热门研究领域。通过对中文微博语料的情感倾向性分析进行研究,提出了一种新的情感分类方法。首先构建了两级情感词典,并对不同级别情感词作不同增强;然后在情感特征方面使用N-Gram方法,尽量获取有限长度博文中的未登录情感词和情感信息。经实验验证与传统方式相比较,该方法的准确率和召回率都有所提高,在COAE2014微博情感倾向性评测任务中也取得了较好的成绩。     

我国网络民主兴起的三维视角分析

厘清网络民主在我国政治生态下的生成过程和发展逻辑对于我国的社会主义民主政治建设具有积极意义。作为一种框架性的研究思路,我国网络民主的兴起可以从网络主体的形成动力、网络舆论场域的重新构建以及现实政治稳定结构下的参与激活三个层面进行解读。对于网络民主的发展需和现实政治有效对接,避免对社会稳定造成冲击。     

网络舆论传播与控制策略

互联网技术的快速发展及其与移动通信技术的高度融合促使网络舆论的草根性、多元化、及时性特征更加明显,成为参与社会议程设置的重要力量。但存在信息可信度不高、受众对信息的接收和再传播过程中的盲目性、强大的破坏力等问题。我们应当在引导和控制网络舆论的问题上从多个方面入手,调动各个层面的力量共同解决网络舆论发展和控制问题。