基于区间证据推理的不确定性航线配船方法

为弥补不确定性航线配船模拟算法的不足,提出一种基于区间证据推理的航线配船解析算法.该方法以证据推理理论为基础,以船舶公司期望效用最大化为目标,考虑航线特征及船舶属性等因素,构建出一个多航线、多船型的航线配船模型.与目前的模拟算法相比,该方法具有稳定性好、准确性高、可以处理模糊数据等优点.最后,通过算例验证了模型的可行性和方法的有效性.     

一类区间不确定时滞系统超前/滞后补偿器设计

针对一类具有全极点的区间不确定时滞系统,给出了相位超前/滞后补偿器的一种图解鲁棒设计方法.对滞后因子采用一阶Pade近似,应用广义Kharitonov定理,证明了图解法设计出的相位超前/滞后补偿器可以镇定区间不确定近似系统.通过仿真验证了该补偿器亦可镇定原区间不确定时滞系统,并保持良好的系统性能.该种图解设计方法选择参数灵活,便于实际应用.     

基于正交试验设计的区间数立体决策方法

为了减少决策信息损失,针对区间数决策问题,提出了一种立体决策方法。将m维区间数决策向量看作具有2m个顶点的超矩形。利用Ls(2m)正交表在超矩形上均匀、分散地选取s个顶点代表该超矩形,再根据不同超矩形对应顶点之间的相对熵度量超矩形之间的差异,最后利用各决策方案同理想解的贴近度进行决策方案排序。实例验证表明该文方法有效、可行。由于选取了多个多维实数点代表区间数决策向量,在丰富了决策信息的同时也增加了计算量。     

沿空留巷联合支护技术研究

基于巷旁支护前期的切顶作用以及后期支护体的高支撑力的要求,通过综合技术比较和经济比较,提出了一种将切顶支柱和间隔＂编织袋＂混凝土墙联合布置使用的方案。＂编织袋＂混凝土在充填采空区提供高强支撑力的同时可以有效防止采空区矸石冲击切顶支柱。工程实践表明,在采场顶板坚硬出现悬顶的中厚煤层中,该方案是一种理想的沿空留巷技术。     

工伤认定标准的几个法律问题

对上下班途中发生的交通事故、职工"过劳死",以及由于工作压力过大造成的精神损害是否一律认定为工伤问题进行了探讨。提出,是否认定为工伤不仅要依据相关的法律规定,更要有一个统一的工伤认定原则,即事故的发生是否"与工作有关",凡是"与工作有关"就应当认定为工伤,反之,则应以非工伤处理。     

Distribution function estimates by Wasserstein metric and Bernstein approximation for C-1 functions

The aim of the paper is to estimate the density functions or distribution functions measured by Wasserstein metric, a typical kind of statistical distances, which is usually required in the statistical learningBased on the classical Bernstein approximation, a scheme is presented.To get the error estimates of the scheme, the problem turns to estimating the L1 norm of the Bernstein approximation for monotone C-1functions, which was rarely discussed in the classical approximation theoryFinally, we get a probability estimate by the statistical distance.     

The long‐term extreme price risk measure of portfolio in inventory financing: An application to dynamic impawn rate interval

Different from the short‐term risk measure for traditional financial assets (stocks, bonds, etc.), the key to illiquid inventory portfolio traded in the over‐the‐counter markets is to estimate the long‐term extreme price risk with time varying volatility. In this article, a new long‐term extreme price risk (value at risk and conditional value at risk) measure method for inventory portfolio and an application to dynamic impawn rate interval are proposed. To realize this, we first establish AutoRegressive Moving Average‐Exponential Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity‐Extreme Value Theory model and multivariatet‐Copula to depict the autocorrelation, fat tails, and volatility clustering of returns of inventories and the nonlinear dependence structure of inventories. Furthermore, we obtain the long‐term extreme price risk with time varying volatility via Monte Carlo simulation instead of square‐root‐of time rule. The results show that, first, benefits from risk diversification is significant; second, long‐term extreme price risk measure of inventory portfolio via Monte Carlo method outperforms the square‐root‐of time rule; the last is that the dynamic rate interval based on the long‐term price risk is superior to the crude rules of thumb in terms of reducing efficiency loss and improving risk coverage. In summary, this article provides a new quantitative framework for managing the risk of portfolio in inventory financing practice for banks constrained by risk limitation. © 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Complexity 20: 17–34, 2015     

客车侧翻碰撞中安全带对乘员损伤的影响分析

参照欧洲ECE R66法规要求,建立客车侧翻仿真模型及其乘员约束系统模型。利用LS_DYNA软件对客车侧翻碰撞试验和客车座椅动态试验进行模拟分析,并与试验结果进行对比,结果表明,有限元模型具有较高的精度。将4个HybridⅢ50%男性假人模型放置在客车最薄弱的车身段座椅上。对客车侧翻过程中,3种约束条件(无安全带、两点式安全带和三点式安全带)的乘员损伤情况进行分析。研究结果表明:无安全带约束时,假人头部和颈部将受到严重损害;两点式安全带和三点式安全带对于所有假人颈部及胸部的保护效果相近;两点式安全带能有效降低大部分假人的头部损伤风险,但碰撞侧外侧假人头部损伤值仍较高。     

Quantification of Volatile Aldehydes Deriving from In Vitro Lipid Peroxidation in the Breath of Ventilated Patients

Exhaled aliphatic aldehydes were proposed as non-invasive biomarkers to detect increased lipid peroxidation in various diseases. As a prelude to clinical application of the multicapillary column–ion mobility spectrometry for the evaluation of aldehyde exhalation, we, therefore: (1) identified the most abundant volatile aliphatic aldehydes originating from in vitro oxidation of various polyunsaturated fatty acids; (2) evaluated emittance of aldehydes from plastic parts of the breathing circuit; (3) conducted a pilot study for in vivo quantification of exhaled aldehydes in mechanically ventilated patients. Pentanal, hexanal, heptanal, and nonanal were quantifiable in the headspace of oxidizing polyunsaturated fatty acids, with pentanal and hexanal predominating. Plastic parts of the breathing circuit emitted hexanal, octanal, nonanal, and decanal, whereby nonanal and decanal were ubiquitous and pentanal or heptanal not being detected. Only pentanal was quantifiable in breath of mechanically ventilated surgical patients with a mean exhaled concentration of 13 ± 5 ppb. An explorative analysis suggested that pentanal exhalation is associated with mechanical power—a measure for the invasiveness of mechanical ventilation. In conclusion, exhaled pentanal is a promising non-invasive biomarker for lipid peroxidation inducing pathologies, and should be evaluated in future clinical studies, particularly for detection of lung injury.