新设计矿井总负压的预测

本文所探讨井巷断面优化的前提——矿井总负压的确定,改变了前人以不超过3000Pa风压为原则的观点。考虑井型、开拓方式、井深、通风方式、沼气含量、煤层倾角等主要因素,使所预测的总负压落在合理的取值范围内。它不仅完善了矿井的优化理论,也为如何预定矿井总负压开辟一条新的技术途径。     

昆明地区窄叶青冈萌生群落生物量的研究

本文用收获法和维量分析法相结合对窄叶青冈萌生群落地上部分生物量的研究，结果如下：总平均生物量２１．９７吨／公顷。其层次分布规律是：第Ｉ层即窄叶青冈形成的层的生物量为１４．６５吨／公顷，占绝对优势，第ＩＩ层小灌木的生物量为４．５吨／公顷，占的比例较小，而草本层生物量仅为０．５吨／公顷，所占比例极小，甚至可以忽略不计：径级分布规律是：径级小的萌枝数量较多，但生物量较小，径极大的萌枝数量较少但生物量较大     

一种智能电子测量系统中粗大误差的处理方法

在智能电子测量系统中,常会使测量数据产生粗大误差,含有粗大误差的数据必须剔除.分析了传统粗大误差判据的不足,应用数理统计参数估值理论提出了一种粗大误差的判据,该判据适用于采样次数较少(一般n≤10时)的测量系统中,剔除粗大误差的准确性高,应用于高精度智能电子测量系统中,可以提高测量数据的精确度.     

粗大误差的灰色判别方法及其应用

介绍一种基于灰色系统理论的粗大误差判别方法。该方法对于数据少或分布规律不明的情况能给出准确的结果。以核磁共振稳态吸收实验中磁场强度与励磁电流的线性拟合为例,使用灰色判别方法进行粗大误差的判定和对比,说明该方法在物理实验异常值剔除中的高效性和实用性。     

Real-time filter based on the quasi-accurate detection of gross errors

Because of the sensitivity of the Kalman framework to gross errors, proper techniques for detection of gross errors are necessary. By integrating the selection of quasi-accurate observations and the Kalman framework, a new filter called the quasi-accurate filter (QUAF) is developed. The expansibility and implementation scheme of the new algorithm are then discussed in detail, and the reliability matrix for the Kalman filter is proposed to analyze the reliability of the filters with different detection technologies. Finally, the experimental results from a real world case study are used to validate the conclusions. The QUAF carries out the preliminary selection of the quasi-accurate observations (QAOs) using the innovation of the Kalman filter, and use the check QAOs to determine reasonable observations. This causes the QUAF to handle more easily and possess wider expansibility. QUAF can be reformulated to the special cases of several common detection methods, such as the innovation method, robust estimation and quasi-accurate detection (QUAD). Since only reasonable observations are used, the QUAF has better detection accuracy and stronger avoidance of gross errors than the innovation method and robust estimation. Meanwhile, compared with QUAD methods, QUAF introduces the state-predicted model, requiring fewer quasi-accurate observations and making it more suitable for systems with complicated observation structures or sparse observations.     

Theory of Economic Equilibrium

Abstract

New concepts of economics such as an average demand matrix of society, strategy of a firm and consumer behaviour, and others are introduced. We give sufficient conditions for technological mapping under which there exist both the Walras equlibrium state and optimal Walras equilibrium one. We obtain the set of equations which equilibrium price vector solves. The theory of interindustry economic equilibrium is developed. The model of economy with regular interests of consumers is proposed.     

2004年以来河南省粮食生产变化趋势及增产途径探析

2004—2013年这10年中,河南粮食连年增产,为保障国家粮食安全作出了重要贡献。但我们也必须清醒地看到,河南粮食生产中还存在许多问题,主要是：种粮成本上升的幅度超过粮食生产效益上升的幅度,影响农民种粮积极性;粮食主产区的生产能力接近极限,增产压力较大;粮食主产区抵御自然灾害的能力不强,基本上还是靠天收粮;土地流转总量不大,粮食生产规模效益偏低,等等。对此,应加强农田基础设施建设,提高粮食生产者抵御自然灾害的能力;依靠科技进步来提高粮食单产水平;提高粮食收购价格,控制农资涨价幅度,切实保护粮食生产者的利益;建立现代规模化、集约化粮食生产体系。总之,只有充分利用粮食生产这一大优势,才能真正实现河南经济社会的可持续发展。     

神经网络集成模型在广东省海洋生产总值预测中的应用

海洋生产总值预测是一项极其复杂但又非常重要的工作,本文探讨了神经网络集成模型在广东省海洋生产总值预测中的应用.通过采集广东省2000—2010年海洋统计年鉴数据,借助Bagging方法生成仿真数据训练网络个体,将12个个体网络集成对广东省2010年海洋生产总值进行预测分析,该模型解决了海洋经济数据非线性、时变性、样本量少和偏差大等问题.与线性回归方法的比较结果表明,神经网络集成模型预测海洋生产总值的结果更可靠.     

一种动态过程辩识的鲁棒BP算法

提出一种ＢＰ网络的鲁棒算法,该算法克服了ＢＰ网络收敛速度慢,不具有抗强干扰的缺点,并用于动态系统辩识,仿真结果表明了算法的有效性。     

Radioactivity measurements and risk assessments of spa waters in some areas in Turkey

The current study presents the results of the activity of radionuclides in spa waters, and evaluates their radiological influences on the population consuming these waters in the Central and Eastern Black Sea regions of Turkey. Since these waters are used for therapy and consumption purposes unconsciously, their radiological impact on the people was computed by taking into consideration the annual intake through ingestion of ²²⁶Ra, ²³²Th, ⁴⁰K, ¹³⁷Cs and ²²²Rn. The mean activities were estimated to be 11.35 for gross alpha, 6.23 for gross beta, 2.96 for ²²⁶Ra, 0.42 for ²³²Th, 0.069 for ¹³⁷Cs, 0.19 for ⁴⁰K, and 267 Bq L^–1 for ²²²Rn, respectively. The estimated effective doses from spa water were found to be 49.77 µSv a^–1 (²²⁶Ra), 5.95 µSv a^–1 (²³²Th), 0.07 µSv a^–1 (¹³⁷Cs), 0.83 µSv a^–1 (⁴⁰K) and 56.03 µSv a^–1 (²²²Rn). These values were evaluated and compared with related verified values from literature. Also, physico-chemical characterizations of spa water samples considered in the current study were investigated. This study would be useful for consumers and official authorities for the assessment of radiation exposure risk due to usage of the considered spa waters.