加强档案事业单位固定资产管理之对策

从档案事业单位固定资产的特点出发，分析了档案事业单位固定资产管理中存在的问题及现状，提出了加强档案事业单位固定资产管理的一些具体措施，如完善资产管理各项规章制度、建立专门资产管理部门、定期进行固定资产的清查盘点工作等。     

对未来财务报告改进的几点思考

从财务报告的计量基础、信息质量特征和财务报告的方式和体系等方面分析了现行财务报告存在的缺陷。认为未来财务报告在计量基础上将突出多样性，在信息质量方面将突出相关性及有用性，在方式上将注重实效性、创新性与互动性，在体系上将体现出完整性与实用性。     

国企财务运行机制设计的因素分析

摘要：现行国有企业的财务运行机制已不适应新形势下企业发展的需要。因此，必须结合企业生存的内外环境构建新型的财务运行机制。本文从体制、法制、市场等因素入手分析了构建新型财务运行机制的外部环境，并提出应从构建有效的资金管理机制、设置新型财务管理机构、提高财务人员专业及综合素质等方面完善财务运行机制的内部环境。     

论中小企业的金融支持体系

改革开放以来,我国中小企业发展迅速,广大的中小企业在保持国民经济持续快速健康发展,满足社会需求,优化产业分工,推动技术创新以及创造就业机会等方面,具有举足轻重的地位和作用.因而建立中小企业的金融支持体系具有十分重要的意义.文章试图从中小企业研究出发,通过对中小企业融资现状及其原因分析,探询建立适合中国国情的中小企业金融支持体系.     

论企业财务风险的防范

简述了企业财务风险的基本特征，分析了企业财务风险的表现形式及其形成原因。提出了企业财务风险的防范措施及防范方法。     

略论我国金融会计风险防范体系的建立

造成金融会计风险的原因有制度因素、体制因素、管理因素、技术因素、人员因素等，金融会计风险防范体系的建立，可以从改进金融企业会计制度、改革现行金融会计管理体制、加强金融会计监督管理和加强金融会计电子化工作等方面入手。     

民营企业规范财务管理应解决的几个问题

规范财务管理对民营企业的发展非常重要。阐述了规范财务管理应解决的几个问题，包括有效协调资本负债关系、明确经营目标、重视资产的流动性管理、处理好纳税和经营的关系、保持经营的连续性、培养和使用管理专业人才等。     

互联网金融发展的国际比较研究

互联网金融的发展源于互联网技术的产业化,欧美发达国家受创新驱动,走在互联网金融发展的前列,但审慎的监管政策和传统金融信息化的发展,使得欧美国家互联网金融行业发展更加趋于理性化,目前近乎处于成熟状态。新兴发展中国家的互联网金融在巨大金融需求的拉动下,近年来得到迅速的发展,但监管政策的滞后和缺失使互联网金融风险事件频发,政府开始加大监管力度。互联网金融的发展增大了传统金融部门的竞争压力,但同时也促进了传统金融的改革和创新化发展。     

Statistical inference and modelling of momentum in stock prices

The following results are obtained, (i) It is possible to obtain a time series of market data {y(t)} in which the fluctuations in fundamental value have been compensated for. An objective test of the efficient market hypothesis (EMH), which would predict random correlations about a constant value, is thereby possible, (ii) A time series procedure can be used to determine the extent to which the differences in the data and the moving averages are significant. This provides a model of the form y(t)-y(t-l)=0.5{y(t- l)-y(t-2)}+ε(t)+0.8ε(r-1) where ε(t) is the error at time t, and the coefficients 0.5 and 0.8 are determined from the data. One concludes that today's price is not a random perturbation from yesterday's; rather, yesterday's rate of change is a significant predictor of today's rate of change. This confirms the concept of momentum that is crucial to market participants. (iii) The model provides out-of-sample predictions that can be tested statistically. (iv) The model and coefficients obtained in this way can be used to make predictions on laboratory experiments to establish an objective and quantitative link between the experiments and the market data. These methods circumvent the central difficulty in testing market data, namely, that changes in fundamentals obscure intrinsic trends and autocorrelations. This procedure is implemented by considering the ratio of two similar funds (Germany and Future Germany) with the same manager and performing a set of statistical tests that have excluded fluctuations in fundamental factors. For the entire data of the first 1149 days beginning with the introduction of the latter fund, a standard runs test indicates that the data is 29 standard deviations away from that which would be expected under a hypothesis of random fluctuations about the fundamental value. This and other tests provide strong evidence against the efficient market hypothesis and in favour of autocorrelations in the data. An ARIMA time series finds strong evidence (9.6 and 21.6 standard deviations in the two coefficients) that the data is described by a model that involves the first difference, indicating that momentum is the significant factor. The first quarter's data is used to make out-of-sample predictions for the second quarter with results that are significant to 3 standard deviations. Finally, the ARIMA model and coefficients are used to make predictions on laboratory experiments of Porter and Smith in which the intrinsic value is clear. The model's forecasts are decidedly more accurate than that of the null hypothesis of random fluctuations about the fundamental value.     

基于灰色聚类分析的风险评价方法研究——以江苏民间资本进入金融领域风险评价为例

运用灰色系统理论,结合AHP方法,建立灰色聚类分析模型,对风险进行评价,并以江苏民间资本进入金融领域风险评价为例进行研究.结果表明,民间资本进入金融领域的风险属于高风险范畴,其中进入风险中的产业风险和社会风险属于高风险,信用风险属于较高风险,政治风险属于中等风险.并针对上述风险的等级,提出了相应的政策建议.模型具有一定的实用价值,它对于正确认识民间资本进入金融领域的风险和有针对性地制定相应的政策措施具有一定的理论和现实意义.