Improved customer choice predictions using ensemble methods

In this paper various ensemble learning methods from machine learning and statistics are considered and applied to the customer choice modeling problem. The application of ensemble learning usually improves the prediction quality of flexible models like decision trees and thus leads to improved predictions. We give experimental results for two real-life marketing datasets using decision trees, ensemble versions of decision trees and the logistic regression model, which is a standard approach for this problem. The ensemble models are found to improve upon individual decision trees and outperform logistic regression.     

偏最小二乘回归的贝叶斯正则化神经网络集成模型在证券分析预测中的应用

神经网络集成技术能有效地提高神经网络的预测精度和泛化能力,已经成为机器学习和神经计算领域的一个研究热点.利用Bagging技术和不同的神经网络算法生成集成个体,并用偏最小二乘回归方法从中提取集成因子,再利用贝叶斯正则化神经网络对其集成,以此建立上证指数预测模型.通过上证指数开、收盘价进行实例分析,计算结果表明该方法预测精度高、稳定性好.     

上市公司高管薪酬和企业业绩关系研究

本运用我国生物医药上市公司的经验数据考察高管薪酬与企业业绩的关系问题。研究的结果表明高管薪酬水平与企业业绩显正相关，高管团队内的薪酬差距也与企业业绩显正相关，而高管持股则与企业业绩负相关，在统计上不显。因此章建议企业应该考虑股权激励的成本和效果，改善股权激励制度。研究还表明企业追求的目标是规模最大化而不是股东净资产收益率最大化。     

On the successive supersymmetric rank‐1 decomposition of higher‐order supersymmetric tensors

In this paper, a successive supersymmetric rank‐1 decomposition of a real higher‐order supersymmetric tensor is considered. To obtain such a decomposition, we design a greedy method based on iteratively computing the best supersymmetric rank‐1 approximation of the residual tensors. We further show that a supersymmetric canonical decomposition could be obtained when the method is applied to an orthogonally diagonalizable supersymmetric tensor, and in particular, when the order is 2, this method generates the eigenvalue decomposition for symmetric matrices. Details of the algorithm designed and the numerical results are reported in this paper. Copyright © 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

带W权Drazin逆的一种新算法

利用矩阵A的带W权Drazin逆的一个性质特征,对任意的矩阵A∈Cm×n,W∈Cn×m,建立了带W权的Drazin逆Ad,w的一种新的表示式,给出了具体的算法步骤,并且在文末给出了算例.     

热等离子体裂解天然气制备C2烃

采用氮气热等离子体来裂解天然气制备乙炔乙烯,着重研究了天然气转化率和乙炔、乙烯收率随氮气流量和天然气流量的变化.结果表明,天然气流量与氮气流量之比为11时,可得到较好的结果.当等离子体功率为15kW、天然气流量为3Nm3*h-1、氮气流量为3Nm3*h-1时得到最好的结果.这时天然气转化率为57%,乙炔、乙烯的收率分别为34%和9%;乙炔在反应气中的体积浓度为7.5%,与部分氧化法相似;扣除不参加反应的氮气,乙炔在气相产品中的体积浓度为13.2%,与热力学平衡计算结果基本符合.     

An algorithm for decomposing a polynomial system into normal ascending sets

We present an algorithm to decompose a polynomial system into a finite set of normal ascending sets such that the set of the zeros of the polynomial system is the union of the sets of the regular zeros of the normal ascending sets.If the polynomial system is zero dimensional,the set of the zeros of the polynomials is the union of the sets of the zeros of the normal ascending sets.     

改进的直接分支模态综合法

介绍了直接分支模态综合法的基本原理并通过算例对算法进行验算,分析了该方法计算结果很不准确的原因并进行了改进。改进的分支模态法将系统中主子结构的剩余模态加入,降低了略去高阶模态带来的严重误差。计算结果与有限元软件ANSYS的计算结果吻合较好,误差小于2%。改进的方法不仅使计算结果准确,而且保持了原方法的优点,适用于工程计算。     

一类拟线性大系统的稳定性

本文应用大系统的分解方法和一个推广的不等式,研究了一类拟线性大系统的稳定性问题,所得结果简洁、易于验证,且推导过程不复杂,最后给出了应用实例。     

Dielectric properties of KDP-type ferroelectric crystals in the presence of external electric field

Considering external electric field as well as third- and fourth-order phonon anharmonic interaction terms in the pseudospin-lattice coupled mode (PLCM) model Hamiltonian for KDP-type ferroelectrics, expressions for field-dependent shift, width, renormalized soft mode frequency, Curie temperature, dielectric constant and dielectric loss are evaluated. For the calculation, method of statistical double-time temperature-dependent Green’s function has been used. By fitting model values of physical quantities, temperature and electric field dependences of soft mode frequency, dielectric constant and loss have been calculated which compare well with experimental results of Baumgartner [8] and Choi and Lockwood [9]. Both dielectric constant and loss decrease with electric field.