中国股票市场波动特性的实证研究

本文以上证综指和深成分指数的日收益率为研究对象 ,应用 GARCH、TARCH模型理论 ,进一步分析了日收益率波动的条件异方差性、非对称性 ,同时比较了两个股票市场的不同波动特征     

Memory and a priori best strategy in complex adaptive systems

We employ an agent‐based model to show that memory and the absence of an a priori best strategy are sufficient for self‐segregation and clustering to emerge in a complex adaptive system with discrete agents that do not compete over a limited resource nor contend in a winner‐take‐all scenario. An agent starts from a corner of a two‐dimensional lattice and aims to reach a randomly selected site in the opposite side within the shortest possible time. The agent is isolated during the course of its journey and does not interact with other agents. Time‐bound obstacles appear at random lattice locations and the agent must decide whether to challenge or evade any obstacle blocking its path. The agent is capable of adapting a strategy in dealing with an obstacle. We analyze the dependence of strategy‐retention time with strategy for both memory‐based and memory‐less agents. We derive the equality spectrum to establish the environmental conditions that favor the existence of an a priori best strategy. We found that memory‐less agents do not polarize into two opposite strategy‐retention time distributions nor cluster toward a center distribution. © 2004 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Complexity 9: 41–46, 2004     

关于“信息熵”分析及其应用的研究

本文用Ｓｈａｎｎｏｎ熵函数的观点及最大离散熵原理，探讨了对随机试验项目的优选问题：即压缩某种“不确定性”试验项目的实施与探索．并通过应用实例的计算，获得了满意的聚类效果．这种方法对于信息资料的数据处理及压缩“不确定性“验项目具有普遍意义．     

Clustering Effect on the Statistical Estimation Accuracy of Distribution Density

The paper is devoted to statistical nonparametric estimation of multivariate distribution density. The influence of data pre-clustering on the estimation accuracy of multimodal density is analyzed by means of the Monte Carlo method. It is shown that the soft clustering is more advantageous than the hard one. While a moderate increase in the number of clusters also increases the calculation time, it considerably reduces the estimation error.     

On a new stochastic global optimization algorithm based on censored observations

In this paper a new algorithm is proposed for global optimization problems. The main idea is that of modifying a standard clustering approach by sequentially sampling the objective function while adaptively deciding an appropriate sample size. Theoretical as well as computational results are presented.     

《左传》人物祸福预言类型考论

将<左传>中所记载的人物祸福预言,作出分类与考论,将其分为形貌,言语行为、梦境、卜筮、灾异、天象、歌谣(谶语)六类,并通过此类预言对其所具有的社会思想价值作出分析与评论.     

煤与瓦斯突出预报的模糊聚类关联分析法

首先采用模糊聚类分析对煤与瓦斯突出的样本集合进行分类，建立不同突出程度的模糊模式。然后用关联分析确定待预报样本与模式的关联程度，以此预测预报样本的煤与瓦斯突出危险程度。这种预报方法相对于模糊聚类分类后，将模式与待预报样本组成新的样本集合，再进行聚类分析，以此分类结果进行预报法。不仅可靠程度高，而且能定量描述待报样本与模式的亲和程度。     

The k-means range algorithm for personalized data clustering in e-commerce

This paper describes the k-means range algorithm, a combination of the partitional k-means clustering algorithm with a well known spatial data structure, namely the range tree, which allows fast range searches. It offers a real-time solution for the development of distributed interactive decision aids in e-commerce since it allows the consumer to model his preferences along multiple dimensions, search for product information, and then produce the data clusters of the products retrieved to enhance his purchase decisions. This paper also discusses the implications and advantages of this approach in the development of on-line shopping environments and consumer decision aids in traditional and mobile e-commerce applications.     

文化的悲剧 --老舍小说中人物的悲剧实质

老舍小说中的众多人物根据其鲜明的文化身份，大致可分为“老派人物”、“理想人物”、“新派人物”三大类。他们的身份虽不同，但悲剧性的命运却十分相似。其悲剧主要是由他们各自所负载的文化与时代、历史的不谐调造成的。三类人物分别属于“被旧文化管辖而死的悲剧”、“反抗旧文化而死的悲剧”、“受劣质文化浸染而死的悲剧”，虽不悲壮激烈，却也深沉凝重，令人警醒。