多元分析法在评价股份公司盈利能力中的应用

本文试用主成分分析法，结合我国上市股份公司的实践，对股份公司的盈利能力作出综合评价。提出了利用聚类分析的方法、按盈利能力大小来评判股份公司等级的设想。     

A fuzzy voting scheme for hardware and software fault tolerant systems

Voting algorithms are used to arbitrate between the results of redundant modules in fault-tolerant systems. Inexact majority and weighted average voters have been used in many applications, although both have problems associated with them. Inexact majority voters require an application-specific 'voter threshold’ value to be specified, whereas weighted average voters are unable to produce a benign output when no agreement exists between the voter inputs. Neither voter type is able to cope with uncertainties associated with the voter inputs. This paper introduces a novel voting scheme based on fuzzy set theory. It softens the harsh behaviour of the inexact majority voter in the neighbourhood of the ‘voter threshold’, and handles uncertainty and some multiple error cases in the region defined by the fuzzy input variables. The voter assigns a fuzzy difference value to each pair of voter inputs based on their numerical distance. A set of fuzzy rules then determines a single fuzzy agreeability value for each individual input which describes how well it matches the other inputs. The agreeability of each voter input is then defuzzified to give a weighting value for that input which determines its contribution to the voter output. The weight values are then used in the weighted average algorithm for calculating the voter final output. The voter is experimentally evaluated from the point of view safety and availability, and compared with the inexact majority voter in a Triple Modular Redundant structured framework. The impact of changing some fuzzy variables on the performance of the voter is also investigated. We show that the fuzzy voter gives more correct outputs (higher availability) than the inexact majority voter with small and large errors, less incorrect outputs (higher safety) than the inexact majority voter in the presence of small errors, and less benign outputs than the inexact majority voter. The percentage of the benign outputs of the majority voter that are successfully handled by the fuzzy voter (resulting in correct outputs) is more than the percentage of those that are unsuccessfully resolved by the fuzzy voter (resulting in incorrect outputs). Our results suggest that the fuzzy voter is a viable alternative to a traditional inexact voter in cases where the benefits of a large increase in availability, and a considerable decrease in the number of benign outputs outweighs the cost of a small degradation in the safety performance of the system. The fuzzy voter is also a useful voting algorithm when arbitrating between the responses of dynamic channels of control systems incorporating uncertainties. This is the first reported use of a complete fuzzy voter in the context of fault tolerance.     

城市交通信号实时控制问题

以车辆平均延误时间最小为目标,建立单交叉口和线状区域的多交叉口信号实时配置的优化模型,结合外点罚函数法和模式搜索法求解,解决函数的不可微问题,算法简单可行.     

基于Delaunay三角剖分的地表平均温度模拟

利用Delaunay三角网对目标区域进行剖分,在对地表温度进行高度插值后,运用二重积分的思想建立了基于Delaunayr三角剖分的地表平均温度测量模型.同时以南极地表平均温度的测量为例,将67个自动气象地表台站、46个气象地表台站以及56个高空气象观测站的加权平均温度与地表平均温度的数据进行分析,得到南极2015全年地表平均温度均在-8℃以下,最低温约为-20℃,符合南极大陆地表温度的实际情况.     

用边际法求解－类设备的最优分配问题

本文针对一类设备的最优分配问题，将利润表转化为边际利润表，并建立了相应的寻优方程，通过实例说明，在一定情况下，用改进后的算法比常规算法节省一定的计算工作量．     

Bootstrapping Autoregressive and Moving Average Parameter Estimates of Infinite Order Vector Autoregressive Processes

We consider anr-dimensional multivariate time series {y_t, tZ} which is generated by an infinite order vector autoregressive process. We show that a bootstrap procedure which works by generating time series replicates via an estimated finitek-order vector autoregressive process (k→∞ at an appropriate rate with the sample size) gives asymptotically valid approximations to the joint distribution of the growing set of estimated autoregressive coefficients and to the corresponding set of estimated moving average coefficients (impuls responses).     

Density averaging for Markov processes and the invariant measures problem

A necessary and sufficient condition is given for the existence of a finite invariant measure equivalent to a given reference measure for a discrete time, general state Markov process. The condition is an extension of one given by D. Maharam in the deterministic case and involves an averaging method (called by Maraham ‘density averaging’) applied to the Radon-Nikodym derivatives with respect to the reference measure of the usual sequence of measures induced by the Markov process acting on the fixed reference     

Diffeomorphisms with C 1-stably average shadowing

Let M be a closed smooth manifold M, and let f : M → M be a diffeomorphism. In this paper, we consider a nontrivial transitive set Λ of f . We show that if f has the C1-stably average shadowing property on Λ, then Λ admits a dominated splitting.