Assessing the Error Probability of the Model Selection Test

The asymptotic error probability of Linhart's model selection test isevaluated, and compared with the nominal significance level. We examine thecase where the expected discrepancies of the candidate models from the truemodel are asymptotically equal. The local alternatives method is employed inthe limiting operation of the asymptotic evaluation. Although the errorprobability under the null hypothesis is actually shown to be equal to orless than the level for most situations, intolerable violations of the errorcontrol are observed for nested models: It is often erroneously concludedthat the smaller model is significantly better than the larger model. Toprevent this violation, a modification of Linhart's test statistic isproposed. The effectiveness of the proposed test is confirmed throughtheoretical analysis and numerical simulations.     

三球式和转台式角动量守恒演示器的研制与应用

本文详细介绍了笔者研制的三球式和转台式两种新型角动量守恒演示器的结构、特点和使用方法。     

管节点疲劳裂纹扩展规律和寿命估算

对Ｔ型管节点的疲劳试验进行分析，研究疲劳裂纹的扩展规律，用“柔度法”计算应力强度因子范围ΔＫ，确定材料常数ｃ，ｍ，提出并运用“直线－曲线模式法”估算管节点疲劳寿命，结果与试验吻合，具有一定的实用参考价值。     

基于重复测量数据的Poisson回归模型的偏大离差的Score检验

Poisson回归模型广泛应用于分析计数型数据 ,Dean&Lawless(1989)和Dean(1992 )讨论了非重复测量得到的计数型数据的偏大离差存在性的检验问题 .本文分别利用随机系数模型和对数非线性模型讨论了基于重复测量得到的计数型数据的偏大离差的检验问题 ,得到了检验的score统计量 .     

标准体系的比例型寿命使用期模型与分析

本文在基于标准被废除按比例进行时的标准体系使用期的两个新模型。首先给出了模型假设条件,然后定义了标准使用期。根据假设给出了两个模型条件下的标准使用期公式,最后通过数值示例说明了标准使用期的公式使用。     

A Constraint Programming Approach to Extract the Maximum Number of Non-Overlapping Test Forms

This paper introduces a novel approach for extracting the maximum number of non-overlapping test forms from a large collection of overlapping test sections assembled from a given item bank. The approach involves solving maximum set packing problems (MSPs). A branch-and-bound MSP algorithm is developed along with techniques adapted from constraint programming to estimate lower and upper bounds on the optimal MSP solution. The algorithm is general and can be applied in other applications including combinatorial auctions. The results of computer simulations and experiments with an operational item bank are presented. An erratum to this article is available at .     

古交矿区煤的热解脱硫试验

文章详细介绍了对古交矿区8号煤进行不同升温速度和不同终温条件下的硫试验。     

Detecting and Diagnostic Checking Multivariate Conditional Heteroscedastic Time Series Models

Two tests for multivariate conditional heteroscedastic models are proposed. One is based on the cross-correlations of standardized squared residuals and the other is a score (Lagrange multiplier) test. The cross-correlations test can be used to detect the presence of multivariate conditional heteroscedasticity whereas the other test can be used for diagnostic checking. Simulation studies on the size and power of the test statistics are reported. The application of the tests is illustrated by an example using the S & P 500 and Sydney All Ordinary Indexes.     

A Joint Integral Test for the Locations of Extrema for Brownian Motion

Let μ⁺(t) and μ⁻(t) be the locations of the maximum and minimum, respectively, of a standard Brownian motion in the interval [0,t]. We establish a joint integral test for the lower functions of μ⁺(t) and μ⁻(t), in the sense of Paul Lévy. In particular, it yields the law of the iterated logarithm for max(μ⁺(t),μ⁻(t)) as a straightforward consequence. Our result is in agreement with well-known theorems of Chung and Erdős [(1952) Trans. Amer. Math. Soc. 72, 179–186.], and Csáki, F?ldes and Révész [(1987) Prob. Theory Relat. Fields 76, 477–497].